Skip to main content

Home/ Tic&Travail/ Group items tagged automation

Rss Feed Group items tagged

Aurialie Jublin

Automation may require as many as 375 million people to find new jobs by 2030 - Quartz - 0 views

  • y 2030, up to 30% of the hours worked globally could be automated, according to a new report by the McKinsey Global Institute. Analysts in the consultancy’s research arm estimate that between 400 million and 800 million people could find themselves displaced by automation and in need of new jobs, depending on how quickly new technologies are adopted. Of this group, as many as 375 million people—about 14% of the global workforce—may need to completely switch occupational categories and learn a new set of skills to find work.
  • Notably, McKinsey argues that demand for work will increase as automation grows. Technology will drive productivity growth, which will in turn lead to rising incomes and consumption, especially in developing countries. Meanwhile, there will be more jobs in health care to meet the demands of aging societies and more investment in infrastructure and energy.
  • For these benefits to be realised, everyone needs to gain new skills, with governments and private companies taking on the unprecedented task of retraining millions of people in the middle of their careers. “Even if there is enough work to ensure full employment by 2030, major transitions lie ahead that could match or even exceed the scale of historical shifts out of agriculture and manufacturing,” the report says.
  • ...1 more annotation...
  • There will be other challenges too. In advanced economies, there is a risk that automation will worsen the trend of income polarization, with demand for high-wage jobs increasing, and demand for medium-wage jobs falling. Also, displaced workers will need to find jobs quickly—preferably within a year—otherwise frictional unemployment (lots of people moving between jobs) could put downward pressure on wages.
  •  
    "Fears that automation and machine learning will cause massive job losses and make people obsolete are starting to wane (well, unless you ask Stephen Hawking). Instead, there's a more optimistic prediction taking hold: that the new technology could actually lead to job gains. But the transition won't be easy."
anonymous

Gartner Says That by 2017, 25 Percent of Enterprises Will Have an Enterprise App Store - 0 views

  •  
    "Gartner Says That by 2017, 25 Percent of Enterprises Will Have an Enterprise App Store Growing Number of Enterprise Mobile Devices and Enterprise Adoption of MDM Will Drive Demand and Adoption of Enterprise App Stores Analysts Examine the State of the Industry at Gartner Application Architecture, Development By 2017, 25 percent of enterprises will have an enterprise app store for managing corporate-sanctioned apps on PCs and mobile devices, according to Gartner, Inc. Enterprise app stores promise greater control over the apps used by employees, greater control over software expenditures and greater negotiating leverage with app vendors, but this greater control is only possible if the enterprise app store is widely adopted.  "Apps downloaded from public app stores for mobile devices disrupt IT security, application and procurement strategies," said Ian Finley, research vice president at Gartner. "Bring your own application (BYOA) has become as important as bring your own device (BYOD) in the development of a comprehensive mobile strategy, and the trend toward BYOA has begun to affect desktop and Web applications as well. Enterprise app stores promise at least a partial solution but only if IT security, application, procurement and sourcing professionals can work together to successfully apply the app store concept to their enterprises. When successful, they can increase the value delivered by the application portfolio and reduce the associated risks, license fees and administration expenses."  Gartner has identified three key enterprise app store trends and recommendations of how organizations can benefit from them:  The increasing number of enterprise mobile devices and the adoption of mobile device management (MDM) by enterprises will drive demand and adoption of enterprise app stores. Enterprises already have numerous choices for downloading software onto PCs, but most of them don't include support for smartphones and tablets. Enterprises are beginning to f
Aurialie Jublin

The Future of Work | MIT Technology Review - 2 views

  •  
    Dossier de juillet 2012 "In July's business report Technology Review examines the cutting edge of automation-the jobs it is destroying and the prosperity it is creating. During the month, we'll explore the latest in commercial robotics and reveal how IT advances are bringing automation to jobs never before done by machines."
Aurialie Jublin

​The Future of Robot Labor Is the Future of Capitalism | Motherboard - 0 views

  • According to Marx, automation that displaces workers in favour of machines that can produce more goods in less time is part and parcel of how capitalism operates. By developing fixed capital (machines), bosses can do away with much of the variable capital (workers) that saps their bottom line with pesky things like wages and short work days.
  • Capital itself is the moving contradiction, [in] that it presses to reduce labour time to a minimum, while it posits labour time, on the other side, as sole measure and source of wealth.
  • In Marxist theory, capitalists create profit by extracting what’s called surplus value from workers—paying them less than what their time is worth and gaining the difference as profit after the commodity has been sold at market price, arrived at by metrics abstracted from the act of labour itself. So what happens when humans aren’t the ones working anymore? Curiously, Marx finds himself among the contemporary robotic utopianists in this regard. Once robots take over society’s productive forces, people will have more free time than ever before, which will “redound to the benefit of emancipated labour, and is the condition of its emancipation,” Marx wrote. Humans, once freed from the bonds of soul-crushing capitalist labour, will develop new means of social thought and cooperation outside of the wage relation that frames most of our interactions under capitalism. In short, Marx claimed that automation would bring about the end of capitalism
  • ...3 more annotations...
  • “Not immediately productive” is the key phrase here. Just think of all the forms of work that have popped up since automation began to really take hold during the Industrial Revolution: service sector work, online work, part-time and otherwise low-paid work. You’re not producing anything while working haphazard hours as a cashier at Walmart, but you are creating value by selling what has already been built, often by machines. In the automated world, precarious labour reigns. Jobs that offer no stability, no satisfaction, no acceptable standard of living, and seem to take up all of our time by occupying so many scattered parcels of it are the norm.
  • A radically different form of work is that of providing personal data for profit. This online data work is particularly insidious for two main reasons. First, because it is often not recognized as work at all. You might not think that messaging a pal about your new pair of headphones is work, but labour theorists like Maurizio Lazzarato disagree. Second, because workers are completely cut out of the data profit loop, although that may be changing.
  • Some people are already working toward this. The basic income movement, which calls for a minimum salary to be paid out to every living human regardless of employment status, is a good start, because it implies a significant departure from the purely economic language of austerity in political thought and argues for a basic income for the salient reason that we’re human and we deserve to live. However, if we really want to change the way things are headed, more will be needed.
Aurialie Jublin

This "Airbnb For Skills" Will Liberate You From Your 9 To 5 | Co.Exist - 1 views

  • Ultimately, he sees freelancing as the future. “We’re coming towards an automation kind of economy; most of Amazon will probably be automated within 10 years. As technology is liberating us, we’re becoming less necessary for routine jobs. Like Arthur C. Clarke and Buckminster Fuller said in the 1960s, 90% of people should just stay at home and play in the parks and have fun. If you build automation for the society, then the society can be free--and that’s starting to happen.”
  • The new site may help make that transition a little easier. “Airbnb has liberated apartments, and we can liberate people from their 9 to 5,” Hooks says. “We believe that most of us can freelance, most of us can Airbnb our place, most of us can take a day off to hang out with friends. That kind of shared economy is a visionary idea that is happening now.”
  •  
    "More people are freelancing than ever before--by some estimates, around 42 million Americans. But entrepreneur Ryan Hooks thinks that eventually almost everyone will be able to leave their office jobs, and he's built a new website called Avbl to help. "Essentially it's kind of like the Airbnb model for skillsearch," Hooks explains. "Whatever city you're in, wherever you are in the world, you can search for a skill--like editor, designer, illustrator, or seamstress--and the results come up based on proximity and date." If someone needs a video editor today, or a web designer next month, they can search and book the right person."
Aurialie Jublin

Uber's Augmented Workers - Uber Screeds - Medium - 0 views

  • Uber has long claimed it’s a technology company, not a transportation company. Uber’s drivers are promoted as entrepreneurs and classified as independent contractors. The company claims to provide only a platform/app that enables drivers to be connected with passengers; as an intermediary, the company relies on the politics of platforms to elude responsibility as a traditional employer, as well as regulatory regimes designed to govern traditional taxi businesses.
  • Drivers must submit to a system that molds their interactions, controls their behavior, sets and changes rates unilaterally, and is generally structured to minimize the power of driver (“partner”) voices. Drivers make inquiries to outsourced community support representatives that work on Uber’s behalf, but their responses are based on templates or FAQs.
  • Uber uses surge pricing to lure drivers to work at a particular place at a particular time, without guaranteeing the validity of the surge incentive if they do follow it. Surge is produced through an algorithmic assessment of supply and demand and is subject to constant dynamism. The rate that drivers are paid is based on the passenger’s location, not their own. Even when they travel to an active surge zone, they risk receiving passengers at lower or higher surge than is initially advertised, or getting fares from outside the surge zone. Drivers will be locked out of the system for varying periods of time, like 10 minutes, 30 minutes, etc. for declining too many rides. They also get warnings for “manipulating” surge.
  • ...2 more annotations...
  • Uber drivers are “free” to login or log-out to work at will, but their ability to make choices that benefit their own interests, such as accepting higher-fare passengers, is severely limited.
  • To a significant degree, Uber has successfully automated many of the processes involved in managing a large workforce, comprised of at at least 400 000 active drivers in the U.S. alone, according to Uber’s last public estimate. However, automation is not to be confused with independence. Uber has built a system that leverages significant control over how workers do their jobs, even as that control is structured to be indirect and semi-automated, such as through nudges, algorithmic labor logistics, the rating system, etc.
  •  
    "Summary Uber has done a lot of things to language to communicate a strong message of distance between itself and its relationship to Uber drivers. Uber insists drivers should be classified as independent contractors, labelled driver-partners, and promoted as entrepreneurs, although the company faces legal challenges over issues of worker misclassification. Beyond its attempts to label work as a type of "sharing" in the so-called "sharing economy," Uber's protracted efforts to celebrate the independence and freedom of drivers have evolved into a sophisticated policy push to design a new classification of worker that would accommodate Uber's business model. The emergent classification, "independent worker," does not acknowledge the significant control Uber leverages over how drivers do their job."
Aurialie Jublin

Où va l'économie numérique ? (2/3) : robotisation ou monopolisation ? Interne... - 1 views

  •  
    "C'est peut-être difficile à croire, mais avant la fin de ce siècle, 70 % des emplois d'aujourd'hui sera remplacé par l'automatisation. Oui, cher lecteur, même votre travail vous sera enlevé par des machines. En d'autres termes, votre remplacement par un robot n'est qu'une question de temps." "Ce bouleversement est induit par une deuxième vague dans l'automatisation, estime Kevin Kelly : une vague centrée sur la cognition artificielle, les capteurs bon marché, l'apprentissage automatique et l'intelligence distribuée. Et cette automatisation profonde va toucher tous les emplois, du travail manuel au travail intellectuel." (...) "Chaque succès de l'automatisation génère de nouvelles professions - professions que nous n'aurions pas imaginées sans l'impulsion de l'automatisation. Pour le dire autrement, la majeure partie des nouvelles tâches créées par l'automatisation sont des tâches que seulement d'autres automates peuvent réaliser. "
anonymous

L'adieu à la caisse - La Vie des idées - 1 views

  •  
    "Banques, cinémas, administrations publiques : on ne compte plus les lieux destinés à accueillir un public ayant adopté les automates. En France, les débats sur l'automatisation des services se sont largement focalisés sur le commerce de détail soulevant des inquiétudes pour l'emploi des salariés. Tout en reconnaissant l'importance de cet aspect, l'ouvrage de Sophie Bernard étudie l'automatisation du point de vue du travail. Et du travail humain, il en demeure dans ces dispositifs qui n'ont d'« automatiques » que le nom. En cumulant des savoirs élaborés à partir de la sociologie du travail industriel et de la sociologie des services, l'auteure fait de l'implantation des caisses automatiques dans la grande distribution un sujet d'interrogation plus générale permettant d'étudier le travail, le rapport au travail et l'avenir des professions engagées dans des situations impliquant une interaction avec un public. "
Aurialie Jublin

Tara - The on-demand team for small business - 0 views

  •  
    "T.A.R.A. began life as an AI recruiter, built for Talent Acquisition and Recruiting Automation, by veteran recruiters and machine learning engineers. Tara has the ability to analyze 100+ data points on each candidate and recruit the most effective engineers for specific positions or coding tasks, by quantifying their skills. Tara's functionality has expanded, with the ability to assemble full-stack product teams, on-demand."
Aurialie Jublin

Technology and jobs: Coming to an office near you | The Economist - 0 views

  • Even if new jobs and wonderful products emerge, in the short term income gaps will widen, causing huge social dislocation and perhaps even changing politics. Technology’s impact will feel like a tornado, hitting the rich world first, but eventually sweeping through poorer countries too. No government is prepared for it.
  • Worse, it seems likely that this wave of technological disruption to the job market has only just started. From driverless cars to clever household gadgets (see article), innovations that already exist could destroy swathes of jobs that have hitherto been untouched. The public sector is one obvious target: it has proved singularly resistant to tech-driven reinvention. But the step change in what computers can do will have a powerful effect on middle-class jobs in the private sector too.
  • One recent study by academics at Oxford University suggests that 47% of today’s jobs could be automated in the next two decades.
  • ...3 more annotations...
  • At the same time, the digital revolution is transforming the process of innovation itself, as our special report explains. Thanks to off-the-shelf code from the internet and platforms that host services (such as Amazon’s cloud computing), provide distribution (Apple’s app store) and offer marketing (Facebook), the number of digital startups has exploded. J
  • f this analysis is halfway correct, the social effects will be huge. Many of the jobs most at risk are lower down the ladder (logistics, haulage), whereas the skills that are least vulnerable to automation (creativity, managerial expertise) tend to be higher up, so median wages are likely to remain stagnant for some time and income gaps are likely to widen.
  • The main way in which governments can help their people through this dislocation is through education systems. One of the reasons for the improvement in workers’ fortunes in the latter part of the Industrial Revolution was because schools were built to educate them—a dramatic change at the time. Now those schools themselves need to be changed, to foster the creativity that humans will need to set them apart from computers. There should be less rote-learning and more critical thinking. Technology itself will help, whether through MOOCs (massive open online courses) or even video games that simulate the skills needed for work.
  •  
    "INNOVATION, the elixir of progress, has always cost people their jobs. In the Industrial Revolution artisan weavers were swept aside by the mechanical loom. Over the past 30 years the digital revolution has displaced many of the mid-skill jobs that underpinned 20th-century middle-class life. Typists, ticket agents, bank tellers and many production-line jobs have been dispensed with, just as the weavers were."
abrugiere

Économie numérique : Robots, le retour par Michel Volle - interview - 0 views

  •  
    Interview de Michel Volle par Dominique Lacroix sur l'économie numérique Nous sommes en train de vivre une 3e révolution industrielle, nous sommes en pleine transition. Référence à l'ouvrage l'Histoire des techniques, de Bertrand Gille Au 18e siècle une première révolution industrielle s'est produite, fondée sur les progrès de la métallurgie et l'invention de la machine à vapeur. 28 28À la fin du 19e siècle, sont apparues deux formes nouvelles d'énergie, l'électricité et le pétrole et le cortège d'inventions qui en ont découlé : moteur électrique, lampe électrique, moteur à essence etc. 28 28 La troisième révolution s'est produite vers 1975 avec l'informatisation. L'informatique et les réseaux transforment tellement la vie économique qu'il est utile d'employer un néologisme pour désigner le nouveau paradigme. C'est « l'iconomie ». Où seront les emplois de demain me demandez-vous ? En amont d'abord, dans la conception des produits et des automates. Et en aval, dans le service au client. Les produits sont devenus des assemblages de biens et de services. Je crois qu'à long terme, c'est-à-dire dans 20 ou 30 ans, on peut retrouver le plein emploi. Toute économie parvenue à la maturité utilise la totalité de la force de travail disponible
Aurialie Jublin

Jobs At Risk Of Being Replaced By Robots - Business Insider - 0 views

  •  
    "Mobile robots and "smart" computers are threatening to replace up to half the U.S. workforce within the next decade or two, according to a Bloomberg report.  The report cites an Oxford University study that identified more than 700 occupations at risk of computer automation. " Loan officers à 98% Receptionnistes et Information clerks à 96% (Para)legals assistants à 94% Vendeurs à 92% Conducteurs de taxi et chauffeurs à 89% Gardiens de sécurité à 84% Cuisiniers, fast food à 81% Bartenders à 77% Conseillers financiers à 58%
Aurialie Jublin

Why the Robots Might Not Take Our Jobs After All: They Lack Common Sense - NYTimes.com - 0 views

  • “Many of the middle-skill jobs that persist in the future will combine routine technical tasks with the set of non-routine tasks in which workers hold comparative advantage — interpersonal interaction, flexibility, adaptability and problem-solving,” Mr. Autor writes. He specifically mentions medical support jobs, building trades and some clerical jobs that require decision-making rather than typing and filing.In the paper, Mr. Autor presents data showing that these middle-skill jobs have indeed been under pressure over the last few decades, with much stronger growth in the number of both very basic low-paying jobs and the most advanced jobs for skilled professionals. It is a hollowing-out of the American work force, in effect, with fewer jobs for technicians and factory workers and the middle-class wages that come with them.
  • “I expect that a significant stratum of middle-skill, non-college jobs combining specific vocational skills with foundational middle skills — literacy, numeracy, adaptability, problem-solving and common sense — will persist in the coming decades.” He argues that it is hard to blame computerization for jobs that have disappeared over the last decade in that much of the shift happened after capital investment in information technology fell following the collapse of the dot-com bubble.
  •  
    "So what does that mean for workers over the years and decades ahead? Mr. Autor says that this weakness leaves plenty of opportunities for humans to serve as intermediaries of sorts between increasingly intelligent computers that nonetheless lack that common sense. He invokes the idea of "Polanyi's Paradox," named for the Hungarian thinker Michael Polanyi, who observed that "we know more than we can tell," meaning humans can do immensely complicated things like drive a car or tell one species of bird from another without fully understanding the technical details. "Following Polanyi's observation," Mr. Autor writes, "the tasks that have proved most vexing to automate are those demanding flexibility, judgment, and common sense - skills that we understand only tacitly.""
Aurialie Jublin

Robots:Terminators of the World Factory - 0 views

  •  
    If factory automation is practical, why does Apple still maintain a partnership with Hon Hai? The fact is, 90% of the assembly of a smart phone can only be done by human labor. It is impossible for a robot to put together 500-600 parts in a tiny space only 4-5 inches in length.
Thierry Nabeth

Technology at Work: The Future of Innovation and Employment | Report - 0 views

  •  
    Technology at Work: The Future of Innovation and Employment, is the latest Citi GPS report from the Oxford Martin School and Citi. It explores trends in automation and points to sluggish job creation caused partly by increasing automation, and argues that secular stagnation in the digital age can only be avoided by a shift towards inclusive growth. Technology at Work marks the start of a new programme of research supported by Citi, the Oxford Martin Programme on Technology and Employment.
Thierry Nabeth

Automation, jobs, and the future of work -- McKinseyQ - 0 views

  •  
    A group of economists, tech entrepreneurs, and academics discuss whether technological advances will automate tasks more quickly than the United States can create jobs. December 2014
Chamila Puylaurent

France : d'ici à 2025, les robots pourraient tuer trois millions d'emplois - 0 views

  •  
    "L'ère des robots approche. Une étude exclusive du cabinet Roland Berger, relayée par Le Journal du dimanche, révèle que les automates pourraient supprimer trois millions d'emplois en France d'ici les dix prochaines années. Près de 20 % des tâches seraient en effet automatisées d'ici à 2025. "
Aurialie Jublin

Robocolleague | The Economist - 1 views

  • As technology improves, Mr Autor writes, a pattern emerges. Machines take over routine tasks like repeated number-crunching or the welding of car parts. Such jobs can be programmed into machines using detailed, specific instructions. Displaced human workers are then reassigned to do more improvisational or intuitive work. At airline check-in counters, say, computers are displacing employees from mundane tasks like printing boarding passes. That makes it easier for the humans to respond to unexpected problems like cancelled flights or changed itineraries.
  • Machines serve as both a substitute for, and a complement to, labour in other industries.
  • Historically, technological advances have been relatively benign for workers. Labour-market trends through the 19th and 20th centuries show surprising continuity, according to Lawrence Katz of Harvard University and Robert Margo of Boston University. In recent decades, for example, computerisation and automation have displaced “middle-skilled” workers at the same time as employment among high- and low-skilled workers has increased.
  • ...1 more annotation...
  • Firms may find it more attractive to invest in technologies that boost the productivity of less-skilled domestic labour, pushing up their wages. One day, clever robots may change this. But as long as humans retain the edge on cognitive flexibility, firms will keep putting willing workers to good use.
  •  
    Robots are getting more powerful. That need not be bad news for workers
Aurialie Jublin

The new work | Harold Jarche - 0 views

  • Another factor in the changing nature of work is the changing perception of value. In the creative economy, more value is coming from intangible assets than tangible ones.
  • Learning to better deal with intangibles is the next challenge for today’s organizations and workers. I developed the following graphic to describe the four job types in relation to 1) work competencies and 2) economic value. It appears that an economy that creates more intangible value will require a greater percentage of Thinkers and Builders.
  • As we move into a post-job economy, the difference between labour and talent will become more distinct. Producers and Improvers will continue to get automated, at the speed of Moore’s law. Those lacking enough ‘Talent’ competencies may get marginalized. I think there will be increasing pressure to become ‘Thinkers + Builders’, similar to what  Cory Doctorow describes as Makers in his fictional book about the near future.
  • ...1 more annotation...
  • What is relatively certain is that ‘Labour’ competencies, which most education and training still focuses on, will have diminishing value. How individuals can improve their Thinking and Building competence should be the focus of anyone’s professional development plan. How organizations can support Thinking and Building should be the focus of Organizational Development and Human Resources departments. While Producing and Improving will not go away, they are not where most economic value will be generated in the Network Era.
  •  
    En partant des 4 types de travail définis par Lou Adler (Thinker, Builder, Improver, Producer), des compétences définies par Gary Hamel (obedience, diligence, intellect pour l'économie industrielle et de la information; initiative, créativité et passin pour l'économie créative), Harold Jarche essaie de définir le futur du travail 
1 - 20 of 35 Next ›
Showing 20 items per page