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Metropolitan Institute

"A Study of Real Estate Markets in Declining Cities."_Follain [online report] - 0 views

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    Follain, James R., PhD. "A Study of Real Estate Markets in Declining Cities." 1-84. Washington, D.C: Research Institute for Housing America of the Mortgage Bankers Association, 2010. From Executive Summary: "The "Great Recession" of 2007 to 2009 has taken a great toll on housing markets in most cities and metropolitan areas in all parts of the country. Though the pace and extent of the overall economic recovery of these markets is still far from certain, many places will likely resume growth and fully recover within the next decade or so. This is almost certainly not to be the case for all metropolitan areas. In fact, a number of large metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) experienced severe recessions during the latter half of the 20th century and prior to the Great Recession and never fully recovered or took many years to do so. Even among those metro areas with relatively bright long-run prospects for growth, certain submarkets within them may remain well below recent house price peaks for many years to come. What is a declining city? Simply put, a declining city is one in which the people have left, but the houses, apartment buildings, offices and storefronts remain. At the extreme, think of a ghost town from the Old West, a town that lost its reason for being. Are there cities or large metro areas in the United States at risk of disappearing back into the desert (or the swamp) today? Probably not, but there are certainly neighborhoods and submarkets within metro areas that have passed a tipping point, and have little prospect of returning to anything close to their previous peaks. Lastly, another type of declining city may also be emerging - places that grew substantially during the housing boom and are now experiencing unprecedented declines in house prices and increases in foreclosures. The primary goal of this paper is to offer insights on the potential future evolution of real estate markets in cities that are in the midst of a severe and persistent
Metropolitan Institute

"Errors Expected - Aligning Urban Strategy with Demographic Uncertainty in Shrinking Ci... - 1 views

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    Wiechmann, Thorsten (2008). Errors Expected - Aligning Urban Strategy with Demographic Uncertainty in Shrinking Cities. International Planning Studies, 13(4), 431-446. Abstract: "At the beginning of the 21st century, the majority of Europe's cities experienced a population decrease. Dealing with the results of demographic, economic and physical contraction processes and planning for the future of considerably smaller but nevertheless livable cities presents some of the most challenging tasks for urban Europe in the near future. This article highlights the example of Dresden in Eastern Germany, where the breakdown of the state-directed economy caused economic decline, industrial regression, and high unemployment rates. Due to out migration and decreasing birth rates, the city lost 60,000 of its 500,000 residents within one decade. As a consequence, there were housing and office vacancies as well as infrastructure oversupplies. Yet the administrative system was still directed towards growth objectives throughout the 1990s. Only after 2000 this situation changed dramatically. The new strategic plan for Dresden is no longer growth oriented. Instead, it focuses on a model of the compact 'European city', with an attractive urban centre, reduced land consumption, and a stable population. However, in another unexpected turn of events, within the last seven years the city has experienced an unexpected growth of 25,000 residents. Surprisingly, processes of suburbanization have turned into processes of reurbanization. Today in Dresden, areas of shrinkage and decline are in close proximity to prospering and wealthy communities. The strategic challenge is to deal with this patchwork while accepting that the future remains unpredictable. Hence, strategic flexibility becomes more important than the strategy itself. To a certain extent rational analysis and error prevention is displaced by preparedness, robustness, and resilience as key qualifications of planning in shrinking c
Metropolitan Institute

"Aberrant Cities: Urban Population Loss in the United States, 1820-1930."_Beauregard [j... - 0 views

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    Beauregard, R. (2003). "Aberrant Cities: Urban Population Loss in the United States, 1820-1930." Urban Geography. 24 (8), 672-690. Abstract: "Our understanding of population loss from U.S. cities draws primarily from the fate of industrial centers in the decades following World War II. Quite numerous, those cities cast off residents at unprecedented and sustained rates. Prior to this time, few large cities had ended a decade smaller in population size than they began. In order to broaden and deepen our knowledge of why some cities and not others lose population, this paper analyzes cities that shed population in the 19th century. Using Census data and capsule stories developed from city biographies, the paper explores both contextuating and precipitating factors. These findings subsequently become the basis for reflecting anew on urban decline since the mid-20th century."
Metropolitan Institute

Voices of Decline: The Postwar Fate of US Cities, 2nd Edition (Paperback) - Routledge - 1 views

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    Beauregard, Robert A. 2003. Voices of decline: The Postwar fate of U.S. cities. 2nd ed. New York: Routledge. "Freely crossing disciplinary boundaries, this book uses the words of those who witnessed the cities' distress to portray the postwar discourse on urban decline in the United States. Up-dated and substantially re-written in stronger historical terms, this new edition explores how public debates about the fate of cities drew from and contributed to the choices made by households, investors, and governments as they created and negotiated America's changing urban landscape."
Metropolitan Institute

Urban Shrinkage and City Responses: How New Bedford, Massachusetts Physically Changed F... - 3 views

Abstract: Economic decline associated with the current economic recession has hit many places hard, but few have seen a whole shift in its physical form as New Bedford. Once the whaling capital of ...

economics recession New Bedford MA case studies local government policy urban planning Justin Hollander 2011

started by Metropolitan Institute on 04 Jan 12 no follow-up yet
Metropolitan Institute

"Role of Contemporary Urbanisms in a Shrinking Cities Syndrome."_Kim [conference paper] - 2 views

Kim, Joongsub. "Role of Contemporary Urbanisms in a Shrinking Cities Syndrome." Paper to be presented at the annual conference for the Association of Collegiate Schools of Planning, Salt Lake Cit...

shrinking cities United States Japan Europe international urbanisms

started by Metropolitan Institute on 04 Jan 12 no follow-up yet
Metropolitan Institute

Do Vacant Properties Kill Neighborhoods? An Agent-Based Simulation of Property Abandonment - 3 views

Abstract: "Buffalo is among the cities with the highest vacancy rates in the US. Between 2000 and 2009, the number of tax foreclosure properties at the City's tax auction (in rem) increased. By 200...

Buffalo case studies foreclosure population loss homeownership agent-based approach speculative investors homeowners REM properties Fillmore District Li Yin Robert Silverman 2011

started by Metropolitan Institute on 04 Jan 12 no follow-up yet
Metropolitan Institute

Combating Suburban Decline: The Role of Social Capital and CDCs - 2 views

Abstract: This paper analyzes the role of social capital and Community Development Corporations (CDCs) in Cincinnati's inner-suburbs as tools to combat suburban decline. Building off of previous re...

social capital community development corporations inner suburbs Cincinnati Ohio suburban decline neighborhood revitalization economic stability networks Joanna Mitchell Brown 2011

started by Metropolitan Institute on 04 Jan 12 no follow-up yet
Metropolitan Institute

The Possibilities of LIHTC Projects in a City with Long Term Population Loss: A Counter... - 2 views

In this paper, shrinking cities refer to cities that have experienced decades-long sustained population loss and, in the United States, those that continued to lose population through the 2000s. Of...

shrinking cities population loss LIHTC New Orleans blight federal policy urban planning Riekes Trivers Ian Ehrenfeucht Renia Ehrenfeucht 2011

started by Metropolitan Institute on 04 Jan 12 no follow-up yet
Metropolitan Institute

"Abandoned Housing: Exploring Lessons from Baltimore. Housing Policy Debate."_Cohen [jo... - 0 views

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    Cohen, James R. (2001). "Abandoned Housing: Exploring Lessons from Baltimore. Housing Policy Debate." 12(3), 415-48. Abstract: "Population loss and economic decline have resulted in thousands of abandoned homes in major U.S. cities. Although abandoned homes are symptomatic of other problems, they also contribute to neighborhood decline and frustrate revitalization. This article provides an overview of the national scope of abandoned housing and profiles Baltimore's strategy for addressing this problem. Challenges in Baltimore's revitalization planning include the necessity of and financial requirements for a comprehensive approach and the difficulty of reaching consensus. Widespread property "flipping" hampers prevention. Efforts to acquire and demolish units are constrained by difficulties in tracking ownership, felons' ownership of derelict units, and a shortage of staffing to process takings. Challenges in rehabilitating and marketing row houses include the need for subsidies to make units affordable to the most likely buyers, the omnipresence of lead paint, and the lack of foreign immigration. The article proposes a more strategic approach to the city's revitalization planning." [Also view: Culhane, Dennis P., and Amy E. Hillier (2001). "Comment on 'Abandoned Housing: Exploring Lessons From Baltimore.'" Housing Policy Debate. 12(3), 449-55.]
natalieborecki

Declining Suburbs in Europe and Latin America - 2 views

Abstract: Suburban shrinkage, understood as a degenerative urban process stemming from the demise of the Fordist mode of urbanism, is generally manifested in a decline in population, industry and e...

industrial suburbs shrinking cities Europe Latin Amercia urban decline Fordist and post-Fordist urbanism Ivonne Audirac Emmanuele Cunningham-Sabot Sylvie Fol Sergio Moraes 2012

started by natalieborecki on 02 Aug 12 no follow-up yet
Metropolitan Institute

"Greater Cleveland's First Suburbs Consortium: Fighting Sprawl and Suburban Decline."_K... - 1 views

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    Keating, W. Dennis and Thomas Bier (2008). "Greater Cleveland's First Suburbs Consortium: Fighting Sprawl and Suburban Decline." Housing Policy Debate. 19(3), 457-477. Abstract: "This article addresses the problems of older suburbs bordering central cities; these suburbs are now experiencing many of the same symptoms of decline as the central cities themselves. We analyze this issue by recounting the experience of the inner (or first) suburbs of Cleveland and the First Suburbs Consortium (FSC), which was formed in 1997 to counteract sprawl in the metropolitan region. We analyze the impact of FSC both on its suburban members and also on state policies affecting older suburbs. FSC can point to several programs that it has developed to improve housing and commercial development among its 16 members. It also has joined with other similar Ohio suburbs to advocate and to lobby for changes in state policies (so far unsuccessfully) to provide more assistance to older suburbs. Nevertheless, FSC has been recognized as a national role model."
Metropolitan Institute

Can the Winnipeg Model Save Detroit? - 2 views

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    Could using an immigration policy to attract potential urban residents help reverse population decline in the city of Detroit? Possibly. The following article looks at the steps Winnipeg took torevise its declining population and tax base by enticing new immigrants to settle there. As a potential urban revitalization strategy, the article lays out several policy recommendations.
Metropolitan Institute

"Mortgage Foreclosures: Additional Mortgage Servicer Actions Could Help Reduce the Freq... - 0 views

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    United States Government Accountability Office. "Mortgage Foreclosures: Additional Mortgage Servicer Actions Could Help Reduce the Frequency and Impact of Abandoned Foreclosures." 1-86. Washington, D.C.: U.S. GAO, 2010. Summary: "Entities responsible for managing home mortgage loans--called servicers--may initiate foreclosure proceedings on certain delinquent loans but then decide to not complete the process. Many of these properties are vacant. These abandoned foreclosure--or "bank walkaway"--properties can exacerbate neighborhood decline and complicate federal stabilization efforts. GAO was asked to assess (1) the nature and prevalence of abandoned foreclosures, (2) their impact on communities, (3) practices that may lead servicers to initiate but not complete foreclosures and regulatory oversight of foreclosure practices, and (4) actions some communities have taken to reduce abandoned foreclosures and their impacts. GAO analyzed servicer loan data from January 2008 through March 2010 and conducted case studies in 12 cities. GAO also interviewed representatives of federal agencies, state and local officials, nonprofit organizations, and six servicers, among others, and reviewed federal banking regulations and exam guidance. Among other things, GAO recommends that the Federal Reserve and Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) require servicers they oversee to notify borrowers and communities when foreclosures are halted and to obtain updated valuations for selected properties before initiating foreclosure. The Federal Reserve neither agreed nor disagreed with these recommendations. OCC did not comment on the recommendations. Using data from large and subprime servicers and government-sponsored mortgage entities representing nearly 80 percent of mortgages, GAO estimated that abandoned foreclosures are rare--representing less than 1 percent of vacant homes between January 2008 and March 2010. GAO also found that, while abandoned foreclosures have occurred
natalieborecki

Shrinking Cities: Urban Challenges and Globalization - 2 views

Abstract: Urban shrinkage is not a new phenomenon. It has been documented in a large literature analyzing the social and economic issues that have led to population flight, resulting, in the wor...

globalization urban decline symposium Shrinking Cities International Research Network Cristina Martinez-Fernandez Ivonne Audirac Sylvie Fol Emmanuele Cunningham-Sabot 2012

started by natalieborecki on 23 Jul 12 no follow-up yet
natalieborecki

Intra-metropolitan Spatial Differentiation and Decline of Inner-Ring Suburbs - 2 views

Abstract: This article examines the impact of metropolitan growth patterns on intrametropolitan spatial differentiation and inner-ring suburban decline in the four metropolitan areas of Atlanta, Cl...

inner-ring suburbs suburban decline spatial differentiation Sugie Lee Nancey Green Leigh 2007

started by natalieborecki on 02 Aug 12 no follow-up yet
Metropolitan Institute

Will Natural Disasters Accelerate Neighborhood Decline? - 3 views

Abstract: Vacant and abandoned properties are not only an urban ill troubling shrinking industrial cities in the United States, they are also a problem facing many growing urban areas as new develo...

vacant properties natural disasters case studies Miami-Dade County Hurricane Andrew urban planning disaster recovery Yang Zhang 2011

started by Metropolitan Institute on 04 Jan 12 no follow-up yet
Metropolitan Institute

"The Role of Contamination in Central City Industrial Decline"_Howland, M. [journal art... - 2 views

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    Howland, Marie. "The Role of Contamination in Central City Industrial Decline." Economic Development Quarterly 18, no. 3 (2004): 13. "This study examines the role that land contamination plays in hindering central city redevelopment. The author tracked all sales and selling prices and the presence of contamination in one industrial area of about 5,580 acres in southwest Baltimore. The results indicate that after the mid-1990s, contaminated parcels have been selling and the market has adjusted to contamination by lowering prices. Out of 144 parcels that sold over the past decade, positive, market-clearing prices have been found for 45 parcels with either confirmed or historical-reasons-to-suspect contamination. Interviews with owners and brokers of parcels on the market for 2 years or more and analysis of the data indicate that sites with above-market asking price; that are small and oddshaped; with inadequate road access for modern trucks; that have outdated water, sewer, and telecommunications connections; and with incompatible surrounding land uses are the most likely to remain unsold after 2 years."
Metropolitan Institute

"Urban Ecology of Shrinking Cities: An Unrecognized Opportunity?"_Haase [journal article] - 0 views

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    Hasse, Dagmar (2008). Urban Ecology of Shrinking Cities: An Unrecognized Opportunity? Nature and Culture, 3(1), 1-8. Abstract: "Whereas environmental and social impacts of urban sprawl are widely discussed among scholars from both the natural and social sciences, the spatial consequences of urban decline are nearly neglected when discussing the impacts of land transition. Within the last decade, "shrinkage" and "perforation" have arisen as new terms to explain the land use development of urban regions faced with demographic change, particularly decreasing fertility, aging, and out-migration. Although shrinkage is far from being a "desired" scenario for urban policy makers, this paper argues that a perforation of the built-up structure in dense cities might bring up many positive implications."
natalieborecki

Urban Shrinkage in Germany and the USA: A Comparison of Transformation Patterns and Loc... - 2 views

Abstract: Many American and European cities have to deal with demographic and economic trajectories leading to urban shrinkage. According to official data, 13% of urban regions in the US and 54% o...

shrinking cities economic decline demographic changes planning paradigms Germany Thorsten Wiechmann Karina Pallagst 2012

started by natalieborecki on 02 Aug 12 no follow-up yet
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