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tvinko

Futurium - European Commission - 1 views

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    surprised that I do not see ACT members on this list talking about FUTURE ;-)
LeopoldS

Oxford Martin Commission for Future Generations | Oxford Martin School - 0 views

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    high profile authors writing about long-term challenges and opportunities ...
LeopoldS

2512 - Charlie's Diary - 4 views

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    As we are allowed to think ...
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    Charles Stross... this one was interesting, but I think the best essay he has written in the past few months is this one: How low (power) can you go? -- On the subject of ubiquitous computing devices and urban architecture
Luís F. Simões

in 1918: Unbelievable Time Required to Cover Immense Distances of Space - 5 views

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    some nice retro-futurology :)

    according to the reddit thread, this is "from the children's encyclopedia series Our Wonder World, printed around 1918. Published by Geo. L. Shuman & Co."
LeopoldS

http://envisioningtech.com/envisioningtech.pdf - 3 views

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    and what is your take?
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    As William Gibson famously said "The future is already here - it's just not very evenly distributed."
    Many of the listed technologies are already here, in one way or another, the authors are just putting dates on when they think they'll achieve greater consumer impact. I have issues with many of those dates. I think there are a lot of under- and overestimations.
    Also, what a bleak future for AI it that's all it'll give the world in the next 30 years!
LeopoldS

The future is bright for humanity - opinion - 05 March 2012 - New Scientist - 1 views

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    This is almost word for word the title Andrés gave to the first presentation of the team to DG ten years ago ...
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    There's a whole series of futuristic articles, may be worth having a look:
    http://www.newscientist.com/special/deep-future
LeopoldS

10 technologies that will change the world in the next 10 years - 6 views

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    what's your take on these ...
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    Most important news: Kurzweil postponed his Singularity to 2054. I think this is the postponed postponement of the postponed postponement. Perhaps it will happen shortly after the experimental proof of the existence of the hydrino state and of antigravity in rotating superconductors...
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    Singularity is like fusion and commercial space travel: always 50 years away.
Luzi Bergamin

Airbus Concept Cabin - 3 views

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    Another futuristic view on flying by Airbus. To make it more sexy it also includes some biomimetics...
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    "The cabin electrical system can be compared to the human brain, with a network of intelligence pulsating through the cabin.". Oh, come on, ...
LeopoldS

The Future That Never Was - Next-Gen Tech Concepts - Popular Mechanics - 6 views

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    nice ideas ...
Luís F. Simões

Shell energy scenarios to 2050 - 6 views

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    just in case you were feeling happy and optimistic
  • ...7 more comments...
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    An energy scenario published by an oil company? Allow me to be sceptical...
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    Indeed, Shell is an energy company, not just oil, for some time now ...

    The two scenarii are, in their approach, dependant of economic and political situation, which is right now impossible to forecast. Reference to Kyoto is surprising, almost out-dated!
    But overall, I find it rather optimistic at some stages, and probably the timeline (p37-39) is unlikely with recent events.
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    the report was published in 2008, which explains the reference to Kyoto, as the follow-up to it was much more uncertain at that point. The Blueprint scenario is indeed optimistic, but also quite unlikely I'd say. I don't see humanity suddenly becoming so wise and coordinated. Sadly, I see something closer to the
    Scramble scenario as much more likely to occur.
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    not an oil company??? please have a look at the percentage of their revenues coming from oil and gas and then compare this with all their other energy activities together and you will see very quickly that it is only window dressing ... they are an oil and gas company ... and nothing more
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    not JUST oil.
    From a description: "Shell is a global group of energy and petrochemical companies." Of course revenues coming from oil are the biggest, the investment turnover on other energy sources is small for now.
    Knowing that most of their revenues is from an expendable source, to guarantee their future, they invest elsewhere. They have invested >1b$ in renewable energy, including biofuels. They had the largest wind power business among so-called "oil" companies. Oil only defines what they do "best".
    As a comparison, some time ago, Apple were selling only computers and now they sell phones. But I would not say Apple is just a phone company.
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    window dressing only ...
    e.g. Net cash from operating activities (pre-tax) in 2008: 70 Billion$
    net income in 2008: 26 Billion
    revenues in 2008: 88 Billion

    Their investments and revenues in renewables don't even show up in their annual financial reports since probably they are under the heading of "marketing" which is already 1.7 Billion $ ...



    this is what they report on their investments:
    Capital investment, portfolio actions and business development

    Capital investment in 2009 was $24 billion. This represents a 26% decrease from 2008, which included over $8 billion in acquisitions, primarily relating to Duvernay Oil Corp. Capital investment included exploration expenditure of $4.5 billion (2008: $11.0 billion).

    In Abu Dhabi, Shell signed an agreement with Abu Dhabi National Oil Company to extend the GASCO joint venture for a further 20 years.

    In Australia, Shell and its partners took the final investment decision (FID) for the Gorgon LNG project (Shell share 25%). Gorgon will supply global gas markets to at least 2050, with a capacity of 15 million tonnes (100% basis) of LNG per year and a major carbon capture and storage scheme.

    Shell has announced a front-end engineering and design study for a floating LNG (FLNG) project, with the potential to deploy these facilities at the Prelude offshore gas discovery in Australia (Shell share 100%).

    In Australia, Shell confirmed that it has accepted Woodside Petroleum Ltd.'s entitlement offer of new shares at a total cost of $0.8 billion, maintaining its 34.27% share in the company; $0.4 billion was paid in 2009 with the remainder paid in 2010.

    In Bolivia and Brazil, Shell sold its share in a gas pipeline and in a thermoelectric power plant and its related assets for a total of around $100 million.

    In Canada, the Government of Alberta and the national government jointly announced their intent to contribute $0.8 billion of funding towards the Quest carbon capture and sequestration project. Quest, which is at the f
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    thanks for the info :)
    They still have their 50% share in the wind farm in Noordzee (you can see it from ESTEC on a clear day).
    Look for Shell International Renewables, other subsidiaries and joint-ventures. I guess, the report is about the oil branch.

    http://sustainabilityreport.shell.com/2009/servicepages/downloads/files/all_shell_sr09.pdf

    http://www.noordzeewind.nl/
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    no - its about Shell globally - all Shell .. these participations are just peanuts
    please read the intro of the CEO in the pdf you linked to: he does not even mention renewables! their entire sustainability strategy is about oil and gas - just making it (look) nicer and environmentally friendlier
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    Fair enough, for me even peanuts are worthy and I am not able to judge. Not all big-profit companies, like Shell, are evil :( Look in the pdf what is in the upstream and downstream you mentionned above.
    Non-shell sources for examples and more objectivity:
    http://www.nuon.com/company/Innovative-projects/noordzeewind.jsp
    http://www.e-energymarket.com/news/single-news/article/ferrari-tops-bahrain-gp-using-shell-biofuel.html

    thanks.
Luís F. Simões

20 predictions for the next 25 years | guardian.co.uk - 5 views

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    the 10th is interesting, connected with our crowdsourcing experiments with the spacegame
LeopoldS

Future Agenda: Welcome - 4 views

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    very nice work based on open foresight ... we should add the space component to each of these trends :-)
Luís F. Simões

This Will Change Everything: Ideas That Will Shape the Future (The Edge Annual Question... - 3 views

  • WHAT WILL CHANGE EVERYTHING?

    "What game-changing scientific ideas and developments do you expect to live to see?"

  • That's the question John Brockman, editor of the Web site edge.org, posed to about 160 cutting-edge minds in his 11th annual Edge Question. As in years past, they responded with bold, often thrilling, sometimes chilling, answers.
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    And here's the same thing, but in dead-trees format:
    http://www.amazon.com/This-Will-Change-Everything-Future/dp/0061899674
    Anyone else thinks that the ACT should buy us all a copy as a Christmas present? :)
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    you are the ACT!!!
LeopoldS

Worden Discusses Futuristic Vision CBS News | SpaceNews.com - 2 views

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    he has always been between genius and crazy .... but I like it ...
Joris _

NASA Developing Tech to Reach and Colonize Other Worlds | Gadget Lab | Wired.com - 4 views

  • The most important near-term development is electric propulsion.
  • using high-density batteries powered off ground-based solar grids
  • microwave thermal propulsion
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    "Within a few years we will see the first true prototype of a spaceship that will take us between worlds," Worden said.
    this sounds to me a bit too much like Pete Worden :-)

    but I really like this one :-)

    One of those billionaires might be Google's Larry Page, who is keenly interested in space travel and NASA Ames's research. "Larry asked me a couple weeks ago how much it would cost to send people one way to Mars and I told him $10 billion, and his response was, 'Can you get it down to 1 or 2 billion?,'" Worden told the Long Now audience. "So now we're starting to get a little argument over the price."
Joris _

SPACE.com -- Railway to the Sky? NASA Ponders New Launch System - 3 views

  • A team of engineers from NASA's Kennedy Space Center in Florida and some of the agency's other field centers are looking into this and other novel launch systems based on cutting-edge technologies.
  • The launch system would require some advancements of existing technologies, but it wouldn't need any brand-new technologies to work
  • Scramjet vehicles could be used as a basis for a commercial launch program
  • ...1 more annotation...
  • It's not very often you get to work on a major technology revolution
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    I wonder if they are also working with that SCRAMSPACE initiative in Australia that was presented at ESTEC a while back...
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    what about a space elevator!!! quiet old concept (1895), see this link on wiki
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_elevator
LeopoldS

Recorded Future - 0 views

shared by LeopoldS on 10 May 10 - Cached
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    you can sign up for this - and they send you an email about the future :-)
nikolas smyrlakis

The Future Of Energy? Bloom Energy Boxes Already Power Google, eBay, Others - 0 views

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    just another fuel cell?the vid is interesting
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