He said that during Q2, global copper demand was up 4.8% QoQ thanks to demand from emerging economies led by China and a recovery in physical consumption in the US and Europe. During the Q2 of this year, US and European demand for fine copper increased by 22% and 4% respectively when compared to the Q1 of this year. These are very positive developments that support our conviction of higher physical demand from now on. In addition, copper production has not grown at the same rate as demand which will further support prices for the red metal.
He added that a clear sign of this is the consistent reduction of the combined copper inventories of the London Metal Exchange, COMEX and Shanghai warehouses. At their latest peak in February this year combined inventories were 815,000t." According to Chilean state copper commission Cochilco's weekly report, global stocks stood at 609,478 tonnes.
Matthew Wonnacott on 30 Jan 13A recent survey by the Shanghai Metals Market of 20 major Chinese copper tube producers, with a total capacity of 1.2Mt/y, showed that operating rates in December increased to 73.41%, up 2.29 percentage points from November. The survey cited increased production in China's air conditioner sector as a reason for the uptick in utilisation rates at tube producers. The release highlighted a separate survey of air conditioner manufacturers, which showed a pattern of inventory restocking, with finished inventories increasing for four straight months. The SMM survey also revealed that producer's inventories of raw materials for the production of copper tube had fallen to 12.78% of production in December, down 2.92 percentage points from November. The reason given was tighter credit conditions at the end of 2012.
