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U.S. REVPAR IS expected to grow steadily in 2025, supported by urban markets benefiting from improved group and business travel and inbound international recovery, according to a recent CBRE study. The firm expects a 2 percent increase, with occupancy up 23 bps and ADR rising 1.6 percent. RevPAR in 2025 is projected to be 16.6 percent above 2019 levels, reflecting the lodging industry's continued recovery, CBRE said in a statement. "The U.S. hotel market is poised for steady growth in 2025, primarily led by continued outperformance of the urban segment, which should experience RevPAR growth of 2.8 percent this year," said Rachael Rothman, CBRE's head of hotel research and data analytics. "The sector's resilience and the sustained demand for higher-priced hotels bode well for the upcoming year."

ADR is projected to rise by 0.1 percentage points in 2024, with occupancy and RevPAR remaining unchanged from the previous forecast, according to STR and Tourism Economics' initial U.S. hotel forecast for 2024 at the Americas Lodging Investment Summit. Yet, 2025 projections for key performance metrics were revised downward due to stabilized long-term average trends: occupancy down 0.1 percentage points, ADR down 0.3 points and RevPAR down 0.5 ppts. "U.S. ADR and RevPAR reached record highs in 2023 with solid travel fundamentals and a big year for group business underpinning performance," said Amanda Hite, STR president. "We expect to see continued growth as fundamentals remain more favorable for the travel economy. The indicator that is especially important is the low unemployment rate among college-educated individuals, those most likely to travel for business and leisure." The STR and Tourism Economics forecast a rise in GOPPAR growth due to increased TRevPAR levels and stable labor costs. Among chain scales, luxury and upper upscale hotels are expected to see substantial cost increases, driven by growing group demand.

U.S. EXTENDED-STAY HOTELS started 2025 with strong January growth, particularly at lower price points, according to The Highland Group. Supply and demand grew much faster than the overall industry, but other performance metrics lagged. The U.S. Extended-Stay Hotels Bulletin: January 2025 reported stronger ADR and the most RevPAR gains for extended-stay hotels compared to corresponding classes. "January was another very good month for extended-stay hotels with positive change in RevPAR in nine of the last ten months and the economy segment continuing to lead RevPAR growth," said Mark Skinner, The Highland Group's partner.

STR AND TOURISM Economics downgraded their growth rate forecast for the U.S. hotel business with their final revision of 2024. The forecast for next year remains uncertain as the impact of the presidential election becomes clear. For 2024, projected gains in ADR and RevPAR were each downgraded, down 0.5 percentage points to 1.5 percent growth for ADR and with RevPAR's projected growth dropping 0.6 ppts to 1.4 percent, respectively. Occupancy for the year was lowered 0.1 ppts to 62.9 percent, after the previous forecast projected the metric to remain steady from 2023. For 2025, the occupancy growth projection was downgraded 0.4 ppts, and the forecast for ADR and RevPAR increases were lowered to 1.6 percent and 1.8 percent, respectively. "The outlook for 2025 remains somewhat in flux, with positive sentiment potentially offset by the higher cost of living," said Amanda Hite, STR president. "Based on current economic conditions, higher-end hotels will continue to drive industry performance. The change in the presidential administration is anticipated to yield stronger economic conditions at first, which is not yet reflected in the data."

U.S. HOTEL PERFORMANCE is expected to rebound in the fourth quarter and continue into 2025 despite subdued summer demand and a sluggish third quarter, according to CBRE. RevPAR growth for 2024 is now projected at 0.5 percent, down from 1.2 percent in August, due to a 40 bps drop in expected occupancy. Occupancy is forecast to decline 30 bps year-over-year while ADR is projected to rise 0.7 percent, 40 bps below earlier forecasts, the report said. RevPAR growth is expected to rebound in the four quarter of 2024, driven by rate cuts, easing inflation and stock market gains. "U.S. hotels performance was softer-than-expected during the summer months, partly due to Americans traveling overseas in record numbers," said Rachael Rothman, CBRE's head of hotel research and data analytics. "At the same time, the slow recovery in inbound international travel has created an imbalance in U.S. leisure demand. Despite this, continued improvements in group and business travel served as relative bright spots in the third quarter."

STR AND TOURISM Economics updated their 2024-25 U.S. hotel forecast, raising projected occupancy by 0.2 percentage points and revising the previous forecast of a year-over-year decline. However, ADR gains were downgraded by 0.1 percentage points, while RevPAR remained unchanged at a 2 percent year-over-year increase. The occupancy growth projection for 2025 was also lifted by 0.2 percentage points, while ADR and RevPAR increases remained at 2 percent and 2.6 percent, respectively, STR and TE said in a joint statement. "Midscale and economy hotels are continuing to feel the effect of fewer lower-income travelers," said Amanda Hite, STR's president. "On the other hand, high-income households continue to travel, but domestic levels are constrained due to an increase in outbound travel. The stronger dollar continues to pressure international inbound demand, especially as the cost-of-living crisis continues in Europe and airlift rebuilds across Asia Pacific."

STR AND TOURISM Economics made significant downward adjustments to the 2024-25 U.S. hotel forecast, reflecting lower-than-expected performance and reduced growth projections for the remainder of the year. Projected gains in ADR and RevPAR were downgraded by 1 and 2.1 percentage points, respectively. Occupancy is also expected to decline, contrasting with the previous forecast's projection of year-over-year growth in this metric. While an occupancy growth projection was maintained for 2025, ADR and RevPAR were adjusted downward by 0.8 and 0.9 percentage points, respectively, STR and TE said in a joint statement. "We have seen a bifurcation in hotel performance over the first four months of the year, which we don't believe will abate soon," said Amanda Hite, STR's president. "The increased cost of living is affecting lower-to-middle income households and their ability to travel, thus lessening demand for hotels in the lower price tier. The upscale through luxury tier is seeing healthy demand, but pricing power has waned given changes in mix and travel patterns and to a lesser extent, economic conditions. Travel remains a priority for most Americans, but the volume has lessened as prices on goods and services continue to rise."

THE MARTIN LUTHER King Jr. Day calendar shift impacted U.S. hotel performance upward in the third week of January, boosting weekly and year-over-year metrics like occupancy, ADR and RevPAR, according to CoStar. San Francisco led the top 25 markets with the largest gains in all three key metrics. Occupancy increased to 55.8 percent for the week ending Jan. 18, up from 49.2 percent the previous week, reflecting a 6.7 percent year-over-year increase. ADR came in at $155.81 from $144.03, marking a 10 percent rise compared to the same period last year. RevPAR grew to $86.93 from $70.92, a 17.4 percent year-over-year increase. San Francisco led the top 25 markets in year-over-year growth, driven by the J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference. Occupancy rose 35.9 percent to 71.2 percent, ADR surged 230 percent to $625.98, and RevPAR jumped 348.3 percent to $445.85.

U.S. HOTEL PERFORMANCE improved for the week ending March 1 compared to the previous week, according to CoStar. Occupancy and RevPAR increased week over week, while ADR saw a slight decline, but all three metrics showed year-over-year growth. Occupancy increased to 62.8 percent for the week ending March 1, up from 60.3 percent the previous week and 0.4 percentage points higher year over year. ADR declined slightly to $159.26 from $159.90 the prior week but remained 2.7 percent higher than the same week last year. RevPAR increased to $100.06 from $96.49, reflecting a 3.1 percent gain compared to the same period in 2023. Among the top 25 markets, St. Louis recorded the highest year-over-year occupancy gain, rising 12.1 percentage points to 59.4 percent.

U.S. EXTENDED-STAY HOTELS ended 2024 strong after a slow start, with supply, demand and room revenue growth outpacing the overall industry, according to The Highland Group. However, ADR and RevPAR growth lagged yet stayed positive, with stronger gains in the latter half. The Highland Group's report on the U.S. Extended-Stay Hotel Market 2025 found that although below the long-term average, extended-stay supply growth in 2024 was the highest since 2021 and is set to accelerate over the next one to three years. "Fundamental differences, such as far higher interest rates and real construction costs, exist between the current and most recent extended-stay hotel growth cycles, but a substantial increase in room revenues remains likely over the next one to three years," said Mark Skinner, The Highland Group's partner.

THE EASTER AND Passover holiday calendar shift scrambled weekly and year-over-year performance comparisons for the U.S. hotel industry in the week ending April 19, according to CoStar. Orlando and Miami recorded the strongest performance gains among the top 25 markets. Occupancy fell to 61.4 percent for the week ending April 19, down from 65.6 percent the previous week and 8.1 percent lower than the same period last year. ADR decreased to $158 from $162.72, a 1.3 percent year-over-year decline RevPAR dropped to $97.06 from $106.81, reflecting a 9.3 percent decrease from 2023.

U.S. HOTEL INVESTORS are growing more optimistic, with 94 percent planning to maintain or increase investments this year, up from 85 percent last year, according to a recent CBRE study. Key drivers include improved return expectations, distressed opportunities and favorable pricing. CBRE's U.S. Hotels Investor Intentions Survey shows only 6 percent of investors plan to reduce allocations, down from 16 percent last year, amid slowing RevPAR growth and cost concerns. "We anticipate an acceleration in hotel investment activity in 2025, as investors are eager to seize new buying opportunities amid increasingly favorable economic conditions," said Bill Grice, CBRE Hotels' president of the Americas. "With ample liquidity accessible through the debt capital markets, investors are targeting assets that offer substantial in-place cash flows and are actively seeking value-add properties that can be repositioned to yield above-market returns."

U.S. HOTEL PERFORMANCE showed mixed results in the fourth week of January due to the Martin Luther King Jr. Day holiday shift, according to CoStar. Key metrics, including occupancy, ADR, and RevPAR, declined from the previous week, while ADR rose year-over-year. Occupancy declined to 54.3 percent for the week ending Jan. 25, from 55.8 percent the previous week, reflecting a 3.4 percent year-over-year decrease. ADR dropped to $154.21 from $155.81, also down 3.4 percent compared to the same period last year. RevPAR fell to $83.74 from $86.93, marking a 0.2 percent year-over-year decline. Among the top 25 markets, Los Angeles saw the highest year-over-year occupancy growth, up 6 percent to 68.7 percent.

SELECT-SERVICE AND extended-stay hotels remain attractive investments due to their "durable returns in a volatile market," according to a recent JLL study. The sector's RevPAR hit a record $78 in 2024, 14 percent above 2019 levels, with demand up 232,000 room nights year-over-year, nearing full recovery. JLL's U.S. Select-Service and Extended-Stay Hotel Outlook 2025 highlights the sector's lean operations and higher profit margins compared to full-service hotels, making it a strong investment for stable returns despite economic challenges.

U.S. HOTEL METRICS improved for the week ending Feb. 15, with both week-over-week and year-over-year gains, according to CoStar. Chicago led the top 25 markets in year-over-year occupancy growth. Occupancy rose to 60 percent for the week ending Feb. 15, up from 55.9 percent the previous week, reflecting a 1.2 percent increase compared to the same period last year. ADR climbed to $164.79 from $156.03, marking a 2.2 percent year-over-year gain. RevPAR also saw an increase, reaching $98.83 from $87.22, representing a 3.4 percent improvement over the previous year. Among the top 25 markets, Chicago led in occupancy growth, rising 14.4 percent to 55 percent.

PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP laid out his plan for the nation in his first address to Congress on Tuesday since beginning his second term on Jan. 20. AAHOA was the first industry group to commend his commitment to the American Dream, even as markets reacted negatively to his rapid moves on the economy, immigration and foreign policy amid federal restructuring, strained alliances and trade uncertainty. Trump's statement, "The American Dream is unstoppable," resonates deeply with AAHOA members-entrepreneurs, small business owners, and job creators in hospitality, the association said in a statement. U.S. extended-stay hotels finished 2024 strong after a slow start, with supply, demand and room revenue growth outpacing the industry, while ADR and RevPAR remained positive but gained momentum later in the year, according to "President Trump's proposals are the tax reforms our industry needs," said Miraj Patel, AAHOA chairman. "That's why AAHOA will be in Washington, D.C., on March 11 to 12 to advocate for these critical measures. We look forward to engaging with lawmakers to ensure America's hotel owners are heard. Tax relief and pro-business policies are essential to keeping the hotel industry strong."

MARK HOPLAMAZIAN, PRESIDENT and CEO of Hyatt Hotels Corp., will join Greg Friedman, managing principal and CEO of Peachtree Group, for a fireside chat at the Hunter Hotel Investment Conference on March 19. Hunter introduced this format last year with Anthony Capuano, CEO of Marriott International, as the featured guest. In "A Conversation with Mark Hoplamazian," he will share insights on his hospitality career, leadership approach, Hyatt's market position, company outlook and industry developments, Hunter said in a statement. U.S. extended-stay hotels finished 2024 strong after a slow start, with supply, demand and room revenue growth outpacing the industry, while ADR and RevPAR remained positive but gained momentum later in the year, according to The Highland Group.​ "At Hyatt, business is personal-relationships, trust, and a deep understanding of our guests, customers, and owners are at the heart of everything we do," said Hoplamazian. "In today's competitive landscape, hotel performance is driven by the human connections that shape our industry. That's why we collaborate closely with owners and operators like Peachtree Group to create long-term value for their investments."

CROWNE PLAZA HOTELS & Resorts, part of IHG Hotels & Resorts' portfolio, recently rolled out its "New Modern" design across U.S. properties with zones for productivity, restoration and collaboration. The design caters to the growing bleisure travel segment. The company expects 70 percent of Crowne Plaza's Americas estate to feature updated designs by late 2025, IHG said in a statement. "As the once firm lines between business and leisure travel blur further, Crowne Plaza remains a trusted leader at the forefront of serving the new blended traveler," said Ginger Taggart, IHG's vice president, brand management for global premium brands. "Our latest design approach introduces more inviting gathering spaces that inspire connection and enable guests to balance business and social interaction."