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Frank Gallagher

EurasiaNet - Larijani Faction Emerges as Third Force in Iranian Power Struggle - 0 views

  • working hard to establish a public profile apart from hardliners led by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and from progressives led by aggrieved presidential challenger Mir Hussein Mousavi.
  • The Larijani coalition is also gaining the backing of so-called traditionalists among the Islamic clergy. So far, the new faction has not enunciated a philosophical platform,
  • Ali Larijani is emerging as the public face of the faction, but behind him stand his very influential brothers and other relatives, according to a well-connected source. One of Larijani’s brothers is Sadegh, who is one of the 12 members of the powerful Guardian Council. Another is Mohammad Javad, a physicist and prominent political strategist. The Larijanis’ cousin, Ahmad Tavakoli, a prominent rightist politician and a member of parliament, is also believed to be an important player in the faction, as is Ali Motahari, another prominent rightist political operator who is Ali Larijani’s son-in-law.
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  • Most recently, Larijani was a prominent no-show for a June 24 dinner marking Ahmadinejad’s supposed re-election.
  • At various points during the political crisis, Larijani has staked out an independent position by pointedly criticizing hardliner-controlled institutions, including the Guardian Council, the Interior Ministry and the state media agency, Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting (IRIB). Despite Ayatollah Khamenei’s insistence that the presidential election results were genuine, Larijani publicly castigated the Guardian Council, the state body charged with certifying the vote, alleging that some of its members were part of a conspiracy to guarantee Ahmadinejad’s reelection.
  • Meanwhile, political analysts in Tehran suspect that Sadegh Larijani was responsible for the Guardian Council making public information -- specifically that irregularities in 50 cities tainted 3 million ballots in the election -- that proved highly embarrassing to the supreme leader. Ayatollah Khamenei has publicly characterized Ahmadinejad’s landslide as a "divine assessment."
Frank Gallagher

TIME - Marriage Crisis and Ahmadinejad - 0 views

  • By official estimates, there are currently 13 million to 15 million Iranians of marrying age; to keep that figure steady, Iran should be registering about 1.65 million marriages each year. The real figure is closer to half that.
  • The real estate boom was a disaster for middle-income Iranians, particularly young men seeking marriage partners. And many of those who have married and moved in with in-laws are finding that inflation is eating away at their savings, meaning it will take years, rather than months, to get their own place. The resulting strains are breaking up existing marriages — this past winter, local media reported that a leading cause of Iran's high divorce rate is the husband's inability to establish an independent household. Many others are concluding that marriage is best avoided altogether. (See the Top 10 Ahmadinejad-isms.)
Frank Gallagher

Judiciary to Monitor Iran Elections - 0 views

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    Pour Mohammedi used to be an Ahmadinejad ally, now he's one of the President's biggest critics.
Oriol Andres

Irán: Tal vez no quieran la bomba... y otras verdades inesperadas - 0 views

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    Reportaje en el que el autor lista los motivos por los cuales cree que Irán no quiere desarrollar la bomba nuclear, sino un programa nuclear civil.
Frank Gallagher

Beyond Reformism - Activists take advantage of the election - 0 views

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    Iranian Liberal Democrats form a wide coalition to push for liberalisation. They believe that the upcoming election will prevent a wide-scale crackdown.
Frank Gallagher

Who's Who Amongst Iran's Divided Clerics - 0 views

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    Very detailed, if slightly all over the place.
Frank Gallagher

Guardian - Mass arrests and campus raids as regime hits back - 0 views

  • hundreds of activists, journalists and intellectuals
  • Four pro-reform newspapers have been closed down,
  • With the exception of Yazdi, the arrests appeared to bypass political leaders and focus on their lieutenants.
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  • Tavassali
  • Nabavi
  • Atrianfar
  • The organisation said security service agents have moved into newspaper offices where they have been vetting articles and censoring content.
  • concerted campaign to link the protests with foreign intervention
  • The wave of detentions has spread beyond the capital to include provincial cities. At least 100 civic figures are understood to have been arrested in Tabriz, where Mousavi has strong support.
  • In Shiraz, in the south of the country, Amnesty cited reports said that a hundred students had been detained after security forces used teargas to storm the university library.
  • members of the Tahkim-e Vahdat, an influential students organisation supporting the other reformist candidate Mehdi Karoubi, had been "systematically targeted".
  • Jalaeipour
  • Soltani
  • Abtahi
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    Covers arrests made 12th-17th June.
Frank Gallagher

Iran: Factional dispute over unity and coalition schemes - 0 views

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    Nate-Nuri pushed for wide coalition, but Khamenei is not interested. Rezai pushing for pan-conservative coalition.
Frank Gallagher

Karrubi, the Election, and Facebook - 0 views

  • An interesting thing is that Mehdi Karroubi is not alone in his campaign photo (see above). He is pictured with the former mayor of Tehran, Gholamhossein Karbasschi's in the circle just behind him. Perhaps the “change” slogan is not the only thing that Karroubi borrowed from the U.S. election. Has he created himself an unofficial running mate?
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    Karrubi's facebook page has just 300 fans, most loggers supporting Musavi - so far so dull. More interesting... Karbaschi's face appears in the background of promotional materials. Given how much Karrubi is trying to model his campaign on Barrack Obama's, this is being interpreted as the additon of a 'running mate'. I dont think it's as new as is being suggested here though. As I recall, Musavi's image appeared behind Khatami's in 1997...
Frank Gallagher

Iran: Musavi Rejects Recount Offer by Guardians Council - 0 views

  • Iran's Guardians Council, the country's top legislative body, has announced it is ready to partially recount disputed votes cast in the June 12 presidential electio
  • Council spokesman Abbas Ali Kadkhodai is quoted by Iran's state news agency as saying that "it is possible that there may be some changes in the tally after the recount."
  • After the announcement, Reuters quoted a senior ally of reformist candidates Mir Hossein Musavi and Mehdi Karrubi as saying they wanted new elections held rather than a recount of "a few ballot boxes." Both candidates suffered decisive defeats, according to initial results.
Frank Gallagher

DAWN.COM | World | Rivals hold rallies amid talk of vote recount - 0 views

  • ‘Hereby we inform all foreign media representatives to avoid any news coverage which has not been coordinated or authorised by this bureau,’ a culture ministry official said.
  • ‘If the Guardians Council reaches the conclusion that such offences as buying votes or using fake identity cards have been committed... it will order a recount,’ council spokesman Abbas Ali Kadkhodai told the official news agency IRNA.
Frank Gallagher

Protesters plan more mass rallies in Iran | International | Reuters - 0 views

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    Next time and place being announced by chanting at June 15th Demo Manifestos handed out
Frank Gallagher

Protesters plan more mass rallies in Iran| International| Reuters - 0 views

  • "Tomorrow at 5 p.m. (8:30 a.m. EDT) at Vali-ye Asr Square," some of the crowd chanted at Monday's march, referring to a major road junction in the sprawling city of some 12 million.
    • Frank Gallagher
       
      And there we all were wondering how people would communicate...
Frank Gallagher

Eyewitness Account of the Shooting near thje June 15th March - 0 views

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    She says that some people set light to a Basij building, and that the Basijis shot them with live rounds.
Frank Gallagher

Karrubi hits Basij and Guardians Council - 0 views

  • Karroubi who has faulted the Secretary of Iran's Guardian Council Ayatollah Ahmad Jannati for canvassing support for President Ahmadinejad, urged the council to comply by its supervisory obligations.
  • criticized the recent statements of the IRGC Chief-Commander, Major General Mohammad-Ali Jafari about the division of Basij into two segments -- military and non-military -- the second which has reportedly been allowed to be involved in political activities.
Frank Gallagher

Yasin on the Election - 0 views

  • As of this writing, there are at least half a dozen campaign headquarters that are currently semi-active or not active at all but are all awaiting the go-ahead from their would-be conservative candidates. Amongst them are those of the current mayor of Tehran, one that belongs to a former foreign minister, one belonging to a current cabinet minister, one to a recently fired minister and one to the former head of the Revolutionary Guards, Mohsen Rezaii. 
  • who has been one of the most trenchant critics of Ahmadinejad government from the right flank. A few months ago, he put forth the idea of an inclusive coalition government, one that would encompass many of the moderates and a few of the radicals. The
  • , that Ahmadinejad's re-election is a foregone conclusion
    • Frank Gallagher
       
      Is it really that bad?
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  • He led Iranian forces against Saddam's armies during the 8-year war and is currently the secretary of the influential Expedience Council. 
  • n a straight conservative-reformist contest between Ahmadinejad and Mousavi, Ahmadinejad is expected to win between 13 to 17 million votes against 9 to 12 million for Mousavi, assuming that the second reformist candidate leaves the race.
    • Frank Gallagher
       
      Where does this data come from?
  • many Rightist leaders - particularly in the Revolutionary Guards and its paramilitary affiliate, the Basij - have on numerous occasions warned that they would under no circumstances tolerate such a scenario, i.e., even if Mousavi technically wins the election in the first round, he would never be allowed to actually win the presidential seat. 
  • Of the 17 million votes cast, roughly 7 million came from the traditional bloc of conservative voters who unfailingly vote for Rightist candidates. The rest, which was quite a novel development for Iran, came from the economic grievances of the lower classes who were under the impression that Ahmadinejad was a champion of the poor or an anti-corruption crusader.  
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    Cant agree with his prognosis... there's no guarantee that anyone beyond the 7m 'bankers' will vote for Ahmadinejad.
Frank Gallagher

Reuters - Ahmadinejad calls Iran vote clean, derides protests - 0 views

  • Protests also broke out on Saturday in the cities of Tabriz, Orumieh, Hamedan and Rasht, where crowds chanted for Mousavi.
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    Notes that there were also protests in Tabriz, Orumieh, Hamedan, Rasht.
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