Group items tagged

In this article the author talks about the slow down in the economic growth of 16 leading emerging markets. Earlier compare to the Eurozone countries, UK and the US, the economic growth of those 16 countries was far higher. After this short period of stagnation, the world economists ask whether the growth, which depends a lot on exports, will increase or not. It weather will "wobble along, buffeted by worries in the developed world"; or temporary stop and then "bring back the days of the strong growth". Right now, the world economy is in the state of the recovery, in the past it went through the recession that started in 2008 and the trough. The fall in indicators mostly stopped, and the economic health very slowly continues to recover from the past.

"The index covers 16 leading emerging markets, including India, Brazil and China, which all saw their rate of growth fall. Rates of economic growth in these countries have been far higher than in developed nations, often coming in at about 10% a year." I think that the author is trying to say that Brazil in China have the highest rates of economic growth and not UK and the US. The exports in these two countries are very important; China is the country which more products export in the world. Their economic growth is slowing because of the recession in the other counties where the consumption has decrease and the people try to save money so the imports of products from China is not so high as it would be in a period of economic growth in all the world. I think that only in few countries the economy started to recover from the recession, in most of the economies are in stagnation. This suggest us the probably the worst part of the recession is behind us and the economies will start to recover, however these fluctuations in economic activity do not follow a mechanical or predictable periodic pattern so we can´t be sure when the recovery will start.

I choose this article because it's surprising that the countries in Africa are experimenting a big economic growth. The article reports that Economic growth in East Africa, including Kenya, is expected to remain among the fastest in Africa this year aided by natural resource discoveries, improved agricultural performance, and economic diversification, a new report showed. The main reason for this economic growth are the natural resources, we have to remember that in Africa there are huge quantities on natural resources. In Africa the main problem is the inequality because the power and the resources are in the hand of few. There are international companies that controls the big parts of the resources. Another issue to take into consideration is that I some Africans countries the government aren't working properly because they use the money to buy weapons or they use the money for they own benefit.

I found a similar article that talked about Africa's situation at the moment, many countries in Africa are having a rapid economic growth, people are becoming wealthier and even a middle class is emerging. Africa in general has got plenty of resources to ensure an econoic growth for many years. However, as you say, inequality is the biggest problem as a minor group within the country owns everything, there is still cheap labour and many people starving to death. I totally agree with you, the governments in Africa don't function properly as they dont allocate the money for people's benefit and they keep it for themselves in order to have more power and become wealthier.

China's growth has slowed to its lowest rate since the financial crisis in 2009 with second-quarter growth of 7.6% - down from 8.1%. The Chinese premier, Wen Jiabao, warned last week that the economy "still faces relatively huge downward pressure". Consumer inflation had been lower than expected and import growth, in addition to producer price deflation, has also worried investors. The government has already cut interest rates twice in a month and lowered the amount of cash that banks must hold as reserves three times since November. Several economists continue to remain optimistic and suspect China's economy will progress in the third-quarter.

Turkey's economic growth rate has decreased to 2.2% in 2012 after two years of rapid expansion. This is due to weak domestic demand and indirect effect of public expenditure from the European debt crisis. The GDP expanded 1.4% in the fourth quarter, half of the 2.7% forecast. The slow down in economic growth was largely due to Turkey's central bank tightened monetary policy implemented in 2011 and in early 2012 after Turkey's rapid expansion. This caused fear among the investors that the economy was overheating. Despite central's bank easing policies, Turkey still sees a slowdown in the rate of economic growth. We can notice that this slowdown in economic growth is largely due to decrease in investment.

This is a great article as it hints at the actual influence of a change in monetary policy. It further suggests that in most cases, such as the one described, monetary policy alone cannot revive growth. 

Slovakia will miss their budget target this year as the GDP Growth has slowed down. They have been hurt from slowing demand from their western peers because slovakia is a high exporting country. The expected growth has dropped to 0.9 from 1.4. This article shows us how important it is to have a balance import and export trade system with other nations. Due to the lack of demand in exports from the western part of the world, slovakia is struggling with economic growth.

It is an article about supply side policies in Africa specially investing in human capital in order to increase the potential output of the African countries. We know that education creates positive externalities and the benefits of education and training are not just felt by those who receive education, it will help the economy as a whole because it will increase the potential output of the economy. Greater regional integration and investment in social entrepreneurship and industry are also necessary for inclusive growth. Competition hast the effect of encouraging greater efficiency. Therefore, any policies that increase competition will increase efficiency and improve the productive potential of an economy. After reading this article I research a bit about the economic growth in Africa and I found this: Six of the world's ten fastest growing economies of the past decade are in sub-Saharan Africa. A clutch of countries have enjoyed growth in income per person of more than 5% a year since 2007.

The article talks about Britain's key services factor showing a growth in output. The purchasing managers index (PMI) shows an increase from 51.5 to 51.8. A figure above 50 suggests that the sector is growing.This pust away triple-dip recession fears as figures show a 0.3% decrease in Britain's economy for the last 3 months of 2012. Confidence has increased for service companies, which contributes to more employment of the sector. Some economist suggests a brighter economy growth in March, but some economists are still reluctant to believe, stating that a triple-dip recession is still possible. This relates to business cycle as we can notice how several factors can contribute to the business cycle. Here, we can see that output for service facts are increase, though contradicting to output in manufacturing and construction factor. Service sector is the biggest of Britain's sector. This suggests that Britain is still in a recession or possible a trough. It has probably reached its lowest point, but hasn't yet emerged to a full recovery just yet.

It is a nice article about the central bank in my country Poland. The central bank in poland uses changes in interest rates to keep the inflation rate within the targeted range of 2.5% plus or minus 1%. This week the central bank has reduced the key rate by 25 basis points to 3 percent. As we know, a decrease in inflation will lead to the increase in consumption and investment. The consumption is the total spending of consumers in domestic products. With lower interest rates, consumers will borrow more money from the bank and they will spend more, so the AD curve will shift to the right. Investment is defined as the addition of capital stock to the economy. Lower interest rates will encourage the producers to spend more on investment. Another thing to take into consideration is that the decrease in inflation will make the exports from Poland more competitive in foreign countries where the inflation rate is much higher. Targeting inflation, whether explicitly or implicitly, is said to be beneficial as it results in a reduction in inflationary expectations. If the workers do not expect higher inflation then they will not make demands for increases in wages any higher than the expected rate of inflation and this will keep the costs of labour from rising excessively. Poland has enjoyed uninterrupted annual growth for the past two decades, and for a while after the financial crisis of 2008/9 the economy continued to defy the global downturn. However last year gross domestic product growth slowed to about two percent, less than half the pace in 2011, as infrastructure spending tailed off and the gloom from the euro zone started to filter through to previously bullish Polish consumers.

It is an article about the important of fiscal policies in the emergent economies, where the fiscal policies remain very conservative. The fiscal policy would be very helpful to continue the economic growth and create jobs. The fiscal policy is a very good method to encourage greater consumption or investments, and as when know, when there is an increase in investments or consumption there will be an increase in the aggregate demand. Axa Framlington fund manager Julian use as example the Mexico's economy that is demonstrating a strong economic growth because they use efficiently the fiscal policy.

This article talks about the economic growth that is occuring in many African countries, this is probably the region with the highest growth of the world. In the past and still now Africa has been the region with the highest inequalities and the one with the highest poverty rates, however, due to its productivity more and more people are becoming weathier and even a middle class is starting to emerge. Furthermore, economic growth doesn't necessarily mean that everyone is being benefitted, the majority of this continent lives below poverty levels, and live under disease and hunger. The Economist had labelled Africa "the hopeless continent" a decade ago, a profound change has taken hold. Labour productivity has been rising. It is now growing by, on average, 2.7% a year. Trade between Africa and the rest of the world has increased by 200% since 2000. Inflation dropped from 22% in the 1990s to 8% in the past decade.

This article explains how South Korea's export-driven economy picked up slightly in the final quarter of 2012 on private consumption, yet recovery will likely be delayed until global demand gathers momentum. Asia's fourth-largest economy increased by 0.4% from October-December which was better considering in September there was only a 0.1 % rise, the slowest growth in over three years. This was the seventh consecutive quarter with growth of less than 1%, the longest in more than four decades. South Korea's economy has been hit hard by the depressed global demand, as it had to rely on exports due to high consumer debt surpassing private consumption. The nation's economic growth rate has obviously been stunted with further government intervention needed.

As all of us know, our world's population is increasing at a rapid rate. They predict that in 2025, there will be 1 more billion people on earth than their are today. So on average, they are predicting that there will be an increase in population of about 80 million people a year. Our resources that we have right now are already scarce, so it will only get tougher. Reporters say the 3 nations that will be most in need of more water will be China, India, and USA due to population growth, increasing irrigation and economic growth. Reporters also say that the amount of extra water needed is equivalent to 20 Nile Rivers. Failure to find the needed extra water could result in great conflicts over water. Also, with climate change (global warming) this will decrease the amount of available freshwater. Furthermore, the water needs to be sanitized to avoid diseases and sickness being spread. The report said that this could cost up to an extra 11 billion dollars a year. I chose this article because it is clearly related to scarcity and is growing concern in our world that needs to be looked at. 2025 is not very far away, and we need to come up with ideas for producing extra, clean water.

This article talks about how the recovery in the economic growth in India has weakened after three months of straight-increase, however the economic growth of India remains positive. This situation has been manly caused by the fact that there has been a slowdown in consumer sectors and investor demand and mantaining the confidence for these two would be essential to ensure a sustained economic growth. The BluFin Business Cycle Indicator (BCI), aims to meet everthing of the business cycle, and took into account five areas -- capital markets, foreign trade, policy, real economy and survey to determine and measure this situation

This article's talking about Thailand's economic growth in the last three months of 2012 that it was recovering from the previous year's floods and had increased a lot more than what expected. On October-December period GDP had surged 18.9%, which most analysts had forecast a figure close to 15%. If we compared with the previous quarter, the economic grew by 3.6%, so we can say that even though last year the floods had impacted on many factories, but Thailand's government implemented different ways to help stoke domestic demand in an attempt to offset the decline in exports and sustain growth in the economy.

LISBON: The Portuguese economy is set to contract by 2.3 per cent this year due to a sharp fall in domestic demand and disappointing export growth

This article basically talks about the decreasing growth of the Portuguese economy. It states that the Portuguese economy will contract by 2.3% this year due to a steep fall in aggregate demand and exports. This can only lead to negative consequences as the firms will start to sell less/produce less and therefore earn less of a profit or no profit at all. SO what these firms will start to do is cut costs of FOP which basically means lay off workers, raising unemloyment, further worsening the economy, because then the people laid off will buy less from other firms and the same process will occur over and over again untill you get to the economic situation of Greece.

The IMF, International Monetary Fund, points out that US's economy is likely to see a 1.5 or 2% growth without the tightening fiscal policies. IMF also points out that there is very low private demand in Great Britain. They suggest government to adjust its initial fiscal plans. We can see that this relates to the use of fiscal policies and their impacts. Here, we can notice that instead of boosting economic growth, US fiscal policies, which I believe is the fiscal cliff. The government's plan is to increase tax rates and decrease government spending. This could possible reduces income and slows the growth of the economy.

This article talks about the slowdown of economic growth in China.

This article shows how much an economy can be influenced by a certain good , in this case oil, and how the export of this good can lead to economic growth.