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Kyuhwan L

How to Know When to Tax and When to Spend - 1 views

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    I really found this article interesting because it explains the strategy of taxation that aligns with the business cycle. It explains that during times of economic hardship, a recession, then government should increase spending to first "soft blow for businesses and average working people," but to also stimulate the economy and move on to recover. This is reflected by the Keynesian theory of economy, where the government intervention is necessary to put the economy back on the right track. On the other hand, the government should relax expenditure and slightly increase tax to pay off deficit. This strategy is also supported by history, where the article gives examples of past U.S. presidents and government decisions during different times of the business cycle.
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    I agree with you that this article is very interesting. Like you said before it reflect the Keynesian school of economics. However, there is one problem with these theory, you don´t know if the government intervention are helping the economy or not. It is impossible to state which theory is better or if the economy work better with government intervention or without them. To investigate which one is better you would need two identic economies (this is impossible) in recession and intervene in one economy and in the other don´t make any intervention and expect that the market forces will solve the problem. "This strategy is also supported by history, where the article gives examples of past U.S. presidents and government decisions during different times of the business cycle." However the business cycle doesn´t affect all the economies in the same ways. For example the Spanish government is making a lot intervention but the economy is not recovering. On the other hand the biggest problem with the government interventions is that you can´t be sure in 100% about the effect of the intervention. You can study a lot the economy and prepar the intervention for months but you will know the result after the intervention, and the result may not be positive. The other problem with the government interventions is that many of them are not popular and many governments won´t risk losing popularity.
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    I agree with what Andrzej said about the fatc that we don't what are the best ways to help the economy, either making a goverment intervention or not. The problem is that none of this policies are 100% efficient and the example that Andrzej gives us about the Spanish government shows us how sometimes intervention doesnt recover the economy.
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    I agree with what Andrzej said about the fact that we don't what are the best ways to help the economy, either making a goverment intervention or not. The problem is that none of this policies are 100% efficient and the example that Andrzej gives us about the Spanish government shows us how sometimes intervention doesnt recover the economy.
Benjamin D

Economic recovery weak in November: BluFin Business Cycle Indicator - 0 views

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    This article talks about how the recovery in the economic growth in India has weakened after three months of straight-increase, however the economic growth of India remains positive. This situation has been manly caused by the fact that there has been a slowdown in consumer sectors and investor demand and mantaining the confidence for these two would be essential to ensure a sustained economic growth. The BluFin Business Cycle Indicator (BCI), aims to meet everthing of the business cycle, and took into account five areas -- capital markets, foreign trade, policy, real economy and survey to determine and measure this situation
Tisha D

Recession threatens Africa charities - 1 views

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    This article describes how the recession, the fall of GDP growth in the business cycle, affects not only the economy of one country, but also external economies will be affected and leads to negative externalities.
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    This article is about how the current recession is affecting the business cycle. It has had a toll on not only firms and businesses, but also on non profit organizations such as charities working in Africa. Currently, I would say that the business cycle is in one of the 'trough' points. This is because of the ensuing recession. However due to this, funds going to charities are now being cut off.
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    I think this is a very interesting article because you do not often hear about charities threatened by recession.
Andrzej Z

Spain digs deeper into recession, not out - 0 views

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    It is an article about the recession and unemployment in Spain. The unemployment is a very serious problem in Spain because the rate of unemployment is about 25% or more so is a lot. This article report that the Spanish situation is stabilizing but we can´t assume that is the end of the recession and the start of the new business cycle. The business cycle is the periodic fluctuations in economic activity measured by changes in real GDP. Output cannot continue to fall for ever as there will always be some people with jobs to maintain a given level of consumption, foreigners will demand exports, governments will continue to spend by running budget deficits, and people will be able to use savings to finance their consumption. Additionally, the low demand for money for investment will result in lower interest rates. Thus, aggregate demand will pick up, the economy will enter the recovery phase, and the cycle will repeat itself. So after the recession the national economy of Spain will suffer an economic growth, the amount of the goods and services produced by an economy over time will increase.
Jina K

UK services sector growth eases triple-dip recession fears - 0 views

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    The article talks about Britain's key services factor showing a growth in output. The purchasing managers index (PMI) shows an increase from 51.5 to 51.8. A figure above 50 suggests that the sector is growing.This pust away triple-dip recession fears as figures show a 0.3% decrease in Britain's economy for the last 3 months of 2012. Confidence has increased for service companies, which contributes to more employment of the sector. Some economist suggests a brighter economy growth in March, but some economists are still reluctant to believe, stating that a triple-dip recession is still possible. This relates to business cycle as we can notice how several factors can contribute to the business cycle. Here, we can see that output for service facts are increase, though contradicting to output in manufacturing and construction factor. Service sector is the biggest of Britain's sector. This suggests that Britain is still in a recession or possible a trough. It has probably reached its lowest point, but hasn't yet emerged to a full recovery just yet.
Jean Eric

Recovery signs: PSU banks to hire 56,500 jobs in next 6 months - 0 views

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    Public sector banks, from State Bank of India to Allahabad Bank, will hire as many as 56,500 people in the next six months in the highest ever recruitment drive by the industry in more than a decade as business grows and the threat of new banks looms as the Reserve Bank of India plans to issue new licences soon. The recruitments by more than a dozen banks will be 30% higher than last year's numbers as hopes of business cycle turning for the better grow, bankers said.
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    This article talks about the public sector banks, from State Bank of India to Allahabad Bank and that they will hire many people over six months.
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    This article talks about the Indian Private Sector Banks planning to hire more than 56500 people to work for them in the next 6 months, essentially creating 56500 jobs. It would be the highest recruitment of jobs in more than a decade and would help solve the economic crisis. It states that the recruitments by more than a dozen banks will be higher 30% higher than last years. What we can see here is the trough of the business cycle where the economy cannot get any worse, so therefore it will improve. India made the important leap of changing from the contraction area of the curve to the expansion area where Real GDP will grow !
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    This is a rather intersting article as it shows us how the industry in India is growing and how this has given jobs to that incredible amount of people. I agree with your point that the economy can't get any worse, thus there will be improvements when it reaches a certain point and therefore the real GDP wil grow.
Mariya L

The Importance of Income Elasticity in Decision Making - 0 views

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    This article presents a very good explanation what is income elasticity and how it may affect producers choices and sales. The article includes four main parts: types of products, types of customers, product life cycle and determing income elasticity. In the section "Types of products" author points how small businessses and luxury items' producers are affected by people's income, and how can they improve sales. Second section talks about targeting of the customers, for example some companies may focus on people with high-income, so consumers are not sensitive to the changes in price. Product Life Cycle section talks about aging of the product and appearing of the substitutes, and the ways of overcoming that problems, attracting consumers. And the last part of an article describes how to determine an income elasticity of demand. It is a good article that helps to increase understanding.
Max W

Claudio Borio on the financial cycle - 0 views

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    This article talks about the financial cycle of Macroeconomics.
Caitlyn S

In This Recovery, the Rich Get Richer - 2 views

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    The article discusses how during recessions, the rich become richer and how the businesses cycles still disadvantage the poor and benefit the rich. During recessions, income inequality increases and favors those who are wealthy. As unemployment rises, many people see a significant decline in their income and saving abilities. They are no longer able to afford common resources. For example, people will need to sell their business, houses… This leaves the rich buy up such resources for a cheaper price. This is what keeps the rich constantly "on top" and the poor even poorer. There is a chart which really illustrates this statement put forth by the author.
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    I think it's funny to see how rich people can get even richer during recession.
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    This article talks about how the top 1% doesn't get affected by recessions and actually gets richer while the poorer get poor. This came as a surprise to me as I thought recession always had a negative effect on the incomes of the population, but obviously this isn't true. The article states since the recovery period of 2009, the bottom 99% of workers incomes decreased by 0.4% while the top 1% workers income raised by 11.2%, an enormous amount during a recession. In my opinion I think this might be because of the increase in black market activity during a recession, due to the fact that the richest people in the world have earned their income, one way or another, through illegal activity.
Jina K

German economy to pick up this year: economy ministry - 0 views

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    The article talks about the overall German economy. The economy ministry states that although there is weak development in industrial output to the point where there is contraction the GDP during the fourth quarter of 2012, there are many signs that indicate the growing economy. He states that the economy has reached its lowest point already. The country sees a growth of 0.8 percent in industrial orders as there is an increase in euro zone. Furthermore, many surveys indicate that many businesses, investors, and consumers are becoming more optimistic. Data has shown that there is increase in exports, international trade, and as well as a decrease in unemployment. Contribute by a narrowed US trade deficit indicates an increase in global demand. This article can be related back to the business cycle. As you can see, by description, German's economy is in a trough phase and with evidences indicating that it is leading towards the recovery phase. This shows that there is a lowest point in the phase where the economy can not get any worse. There is a point that there is still consumption. We can also see that during the recession, GDP decreases, aggregate output decreases, aggregate demand decreases, and unemployment increases. This clearly reflects the business cycle.
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