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Jeff Johnson

FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right - 0 views

www.fivethirtyeight.com

2008 election electoral mccain obama president projection

shared by Jeff Johnson on 12 Jul 08 - Cached
  • Jeff Johnson on 12 Jul 08
     
    There are several ways that the FiveThityEight methodology differs from other poll compilations. Firstly, we assign each poll a weighting based on that pollster's historical track record, the poll's sample size, and the recentness of the poll. More reliable polls are weighted more heavily in our averages. Secondly, we include a regression estimate based on the demograhics in each state among our 'polls', which helps to account for outlier polls and to stabilize the results. Thirdly, we simulate the election 10,000 times for each site update in order to provide a probabilistic assessment of electoral outcomes.
Dean Mantz

Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily - 0 views

www.electoral-vote.com

election electoral-vote.com news politics polls statistics vote voting

shared by Dean Mantz on 02 Oct 08 - Cached
  • Dean Mantz on 02 Oct 08
     
    The Electoral Vote website is sponsored by VoteFromAbroad.org. It illustrates the projected votes for each of the candidates in the 2008 Presidential election.
Jocelyn Chappell

Zimbabwe teachers say they are targets in violence, clergy call for international help ... - 0 views

www.iht.com/...AF-POL-Zimbabwe.php

all_teachers digital_citizenship educators violence zimbabwe

shared by Jocelyn Chappell on 04 May 08 - Cached
  • Jocelyn Chappell on 04 May 08
     
    It turns out that teachers and low ranking civil servants (ie.key electoral workers numbering >1700) are a special target of post election violence in Zimbabwe -- Roman Catholic Justice and Peace Commission is also calling for international coordination of runoff election.
  • Jocelyn Chappell on 04 May 08
     
    Does anyone know how best we can all organise our colleagues to write to UN and President Mugabe whom we could encourage between them to put this awful matter right...?!
Mike Leonard

2008 Presidential Election Interactive Map - 0 views

www.270towin.com

hssocialstudies

shared by Mike Leonard on 31 Mar 08 - Cached
  • Mike Leonard on 31 Mar 08
     
    Great Visual Aid when talking about the Electoral College. GET OUT AND VOTE!!!
Ed Webb

Do universities liberalise students? Why education should be taken seriously in politic... - 0 views

blogs.lse.ac.uk/...the-education-effect

education higher-ed liberal values political_science politics voting

shared by Ed Webb on 13 Dec 18 - Cached
  • data at the individual level has repeatedly shown that having a degree level qualification is the strongest predictor of a Remain vote
  • UKIP’s support was concentrated among those with education levels below degree level, gaining 16% of the votes of this group in 2015. The Liberal Democrats, in contrast, have historically been better at securing the votes of the degree-educated section of the electorate. In 2010, the party secured one in three votes among this group and were the most popular choice of party for voters in this group.
  • Between 2010 and 2015 the Labour share of the vote among the degree educated rose while its share of those without degrees fell. A result was the move of (some of the) ‘not degree’ group to UKIP while the degree educated deserted the Liberal Democrats after the formation of the coalition government. It is important to stress this happened while Ed Miliband was Labour party leader and before the EU Referendum – this is neither a Corbyn nor a Brexit effect.
  • ...3 more annotations...
  • the relationship between political values and voting behaviour. While the traditional ‘left-right’ value dimension which focuses on economic justice and power barely distinguishes Leave and Remain voters, there are much larger differences according to ‘cultural’ values which relate to issues of authority, tolerance, and the rule of law.
  • This suggests that there is something specific about the experience of higher education which produces more liberal values. This appears to be something which is independent of the subject of study
  • A more fruitful line of enquiry is to seek a deeper understanding of the connections between education and values: to understand how education liberalises
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