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Lok-Hin Yuen

CIBC World Markets - Press Releases - 1 views

  • Canadian companies facing stiff competition from better-capitalized, more efficient facilities stateside
  • The economic recovery will add more manufacturing jobs in Canada relative to the U.S., but the gains may be shortlived amid stiffening competition south of the border
  • the improvement in the U.S. is not only stronger, but also much more capital intensive - a trend that will hinder Canada's competitive position in the post recession economy
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  • "radical restructuring" of industry, Mr. Tal says, where "much more is being produced with less labour."
  • In Canada, where overall industrial production has stabilized in recent quarters, manufacturing activity in capital intensive sectors has also outpaced activity in labour intensive sectors, though to a lesser degree than in the U.S
  • Examples include Canada's chemical, electronics and computer manufacturing sectors that still utilize a much lower capital-to-labour ratio than in the U.S.
  • The high labour intensity of Canadian manufacturing means that jobs growth here will be relatively stronger during the economic recovery to meet demand, even with a strong Canadian dollar. "However, given the increased prevalence of better-capitalized and more efficient production facilities stateside, Canadian manufacturers will find it even more difficult to compete when the dust settles."
Kevin Yeo

Can Made in USA survive in a global economy? Should it? - USATODAY.com - 1 views

  • Perry also said that, at $2.155 trillion, total U.S. manufacturing output is 45% higher than China's. Despite the increase in output, however, the number of jobs in the U.S. manufacturing sector is down more than 7 million since the late 1970s.
  • But when asked if large corporations have a responsibility during these tough economic times to buy American to create more American jobs, his answer was clear: No.
  • Some have argued the "Made in USA" label is too exclusive and can actually hurt the economy by discouraging consumers from buying goods that are not completely made within US borders, but which benefit the country by creating jobs or promoting innovation.
Kevin Yeo

Canada should match U.S. exemptions for cross-border travellers - The Globe and Mail - 1 views

  • We have learned this month that the Canadian government is resisting efforts by the United States to increase exemptions for cross-border travellers in both countries. We believe this is a mistake. Canada’s interests are generally better served by lower trade barriers with the United States.
  • First, under NAFTA, most products manufactured in the United States or Mexico are not subject to Canadian duties. Therefore, the duties collected are on the small fraction of goods manufactured overseas. Indeed, a 2007 Senate report noted that customs revenues amounted to just $95-million annually – just 0.04 per cent of federal revenues.
  • Cross-border purchases pressure Canadian retailers to be more competitive and provide better, cheaper services to Canadian shoppers.
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  • we must recognize that public policy should be designed to benefit all Canadians, rather than a few large retailers. The currencies of resource exporters such as Australia, Canada and Brazil have appreciated sharply in recent years. We should all enjoy the higher standard of living the strong dollar entails, rather than allowing retailers to monopolize these benefits.
  • Therefore, we must embrace, rather than reject, the economic forces that drive the new U.S. thinking on this issue. Matching the $1,000 exemption would help Canadians realize greater gains from trade, while allowing CBSA to focus on its core mission.
Kevin Yeo

AmericanEconomicAlert.org Blog Network - 0 views

  • The rise in the oil deficit did indeed greatly outpace the rise in the overall deficit for March – 22.78 percent versus 6.03 percent.  But the increase in the deficit for high-tech products also surged – by 17.00 percent.  And the manufacturing deficit grew by 6.24 percent.
  • But deficits in these sectors kept increasing because their much larger import levels rose robustly, too.  Meanwhile, for the first quarter of this year, the overall trade deficit is running  23.46 percent ahead of last year’s comparable total – which in turn was up 25.91 percent from the first quarter 2009 number.
  • In March alone, U.S. exports of high tech products jumped by 20.26 percent (from $21.01 billion to $25.27 billion), while manufactures exports overall rose even faster – by 21.57 percent (from $71.56 billion to $86.99 billion).  
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  • Bottom line: Despite genuinely booming imports, trade flows still kept dragging down America’s growth and employment performance, and still kept boosting the country’s debt burden.  Do these trends really deserve the label “recovery”?
Chris Li

Offshoring and inshoring in the balance - The Globe and Mail - 3 views

  • Relatively few Canadian companies are offshoring or outsourcing their activities, according to the study, part of the department’s annual Canada’s State of Trade 2010 report.
  • Overall, just 1.9 per cent of Canadian-based companies moved an activity to a foreign country between 2007 and 2009. In manufacturing, the percentage was higher at 5.2 per cent, but still relatively low.
  • At the same time, 1.8 per cent of companies (and 5 per cent of manufacturers) shifted work into Canada -- so-called inshoring.
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  • So it seems a bit of a stretch to conclude, as the DFAIT report does, that offshoring is “subdued.”
Molly Fraser

Japan auto production plunges in april after quake, tsunami - 1 views

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    Toyota Motor Corp. reported Friday that Japan production in April fell 74.5 per cent to 79,341 vehicles while its global production declined 48 per cent to 346,297 vehicles.
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    Japanese automakers have been forced to reduce production amid parts shortages. The magnitude-9.0 earthquake and ensuing tsunami devastated huge areas in northeastern Japan, home to auto parts manufacturers.
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    Auto production works in a unique method in that different factories produce different parts, and oftentimes supply is exclusive to a few choice factories. This causes significant problems when there is a sudden rise in demand for these parts, or if production must be halted, as was the case with the 2011 Japanese Earthquake.
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    Japanese Auto Dealers sell around 9,000 models per month in Canada alone; Honda's production has fallen 81%, producing 14,168 vehicles in April 2011.
Joey Keum

Canadian job market will get worse: TD - 1 views

  • Derek Burleton, deputy chief economist with TD Economics, forecasts net job creation to slide to less than 200,000 in 2011, almost half of the 350,000 jobs created in 2010, before headwinds start to clear out in 2012.
  • This boosted the total share of service employment relative to overall employment to 78.1% in August 2010 from 74% in 1998.
  • Wage growth is also expected to remain "tepid," hovering at about 2% or around the rate of inflation in an environment of relatively high unemployment.
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  • This challenge ... will be more pronounced across the economy than that suggested by the comparatively high rates of unemployment," he said. "The sectoral shifts evidenced across the economy over the past decade — and in particular away from manufacturing to services — has created an increased mismatch in job skills along with the growing problem of skills atrophy."
  • Long-term, the solution is education and training, but there are limits on what can be done in the near-term, Mr. Burleton said.
Steven Iarusci

Canadians load up on mortgages, cut card debt - 0 views

  • The bank set aside $145million in provisions for credit losses, down $104-million as more customers repaid their loans.
    • Steven Iarusci
       
      BMO is the bank in question.
  • consumer credit-card balances are declining as bank customers start to heed warnings about taking on too much debt
  • On the residential mortgage side, Mr. Downe said he expects to see growth start to "soften" in the coming months
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  • record household debt levels have left this country vulnerable to economic shocks
  • the Canadian banks will report a slight increase in profit for the quarter as they contend with the impact of declining consumer borrowing, moderating capital markets activity and other headwinds.
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  • With domestic household debt levels hovering close to where they were in the United States prior to the financial crisis, many observers are warning that Canadians need to start paying down debt if the economy is remain on level footing
  • anadian consumers continue to pile on mortgage debt despite repeated warnings that they need to crank back on borrowing if this country is to avoid a painful real estate correction
  • Canadian consumers continue to pile on mortgage debt despite repeated warnings that they need to crank back on borrowing if this country is to avoid a painful real estate correction
  • growth in the overall home loan market "is continuing to be more robust,"
  • Canada's fourth-largest lender on Wednesday kicked off second-quarter bank earnings season with a 7.5% increase in profit on the back of lower provisions for bad loans
Steven Iarusci

Consumer fatigue an ominous sign for economy - The Globe and Mail - 1 views

  • Consumers typically account for 60 per cent of the country’s gross domestic product, and rising living costs along with elevated debt levels suggest they won’t be much help this year
  • Gross domestic product expanded at an annualized 3.9 per cent in the first quarter, the fastest pace in a year, led by business investment and manufacturing, Statistics Canada said
  • that pace will be cut by almost half in the second quarter, while Finance Minister Jim Flaherty told reporters Monday he’s anticipating “more modest” growth in the rest of the year
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  • In the near term, households are under pressure as rising food and energy costs cut into their budgets
  • “I will never, never do that again. I want to have the money up front before I buy something, because I don’t want to get into that trouble again,” said Ms. Thornton
  • the household debt service ratio – debt payments to disposable income – jumped to a three-year high of 7.8 per cent from 7.2 per cent
  • Kim Thornton, for example, is one fatigued consumer. The mother of four says her family ran up about $50,000 in debt in prior years on credit card spending
  • In the longer term, high debt levels could restrain spending for years
  • Canadians are getting the message about whittling down debt, and that is translating into fewer purchases of discretionary goods
  • reduced hours and leaner wages – a legacy from the recession – mean many families have less money with which to service their debt, he added
Noah Schafer

Jobless rate, global uncertainty to test Tories' economic strategy - thestar.com - 0 views

  • The new Conservative government’s business-friendly economic strategy will be tested by uncertain global conditions and a stubbornly high jobless rate in Canada. One of the first items on Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s agenda when Parliament re
  • The new Conservative government’s business-friendly economic strategy will be tested by uncertain global conditions and a stubbornly high jobless rate in Canada.
  • n February, Canada’s output sank by 0.2 per cent, the worst monthly performance since May 2009.
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  • One of the first items on Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s agenda when Parliament returns will be reintroduction of a $278 billion budget that includes a sprinkling of social and economic spending and a plan to slay the budget deficit in several years. And the government will continue with a $6 billion corporate income tax cut.
  • “The risks still lie outside the Canadian border, which as we’re well aware can have a spillover effect on Canada,” said Royal Bank chief economist Craig Wright.
  • “We’re seeing continued uncertainty and concerns still with respect to the Eurozone and where it’s headed,” he said. Uncertainty on economic growth is also being fanned by volatile energy markets and the questionable U.S. business rebound, Wright said.
  • Prospects for Canada are also complicated by expectations that spending by debt-burdened consumers could slow in 2011 and by the shut-off of the Conservatives’ two-year, $47 billion emergency stimulus program.
  • With government spending slowing, the Conservatives have staked a great deal on their view that the business community will pick up the slack and stimulate the economy with expansion-minded investments.
  • Besides phasing in corporate income tax cuts worth $14 billion by 2012, the Conservatives in recent years have provided a wide range of investment incentives for business, including easing taxes on small business and manufacturers. In all, tax cuts for business by the Conservatives total an estimated $60 billion by 2013.
  • both Flaherty and Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney have pointedly talked about the urgent need for more spending on machinery and equipment by companies.
  • But many are not convinced, with some Canadians saying the government would be smarter to tie tax incentives directly to company investments to ensure that corporations don’t just pocket the extra profits.
  • Speaking of corporate tax cuts, Canadian Association of Social Workers spokesperson Fred Phelps said it would be one thing “if corporations turned around and invested those funds into the economy.” But he said that hasn’t been happening in recent years. “What really has driven us out of the recession,” he said, “is spending by households and government, not business.”
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