Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration | PNAS - 3 views
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Athanasia Nikolaou on 21 Apr 20This is a social sciences paper trying to make use of ML. Quote from text: "Social scientists studying the life course must find a way to reconcile a widespread belief that understanding has been generated by these data-as demonstrated by more than 750 published journal articles using the Fragile Families data (10)-with the fact that the very same data could not yield accurate predictions of these important outcomes." "(...) In other words, the submissions were much better at predicting each other than at predicting the truth."