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Haydn W

Falling oil prices offer the west a great chance to refashion itself. Let's seize it | ... - 1 views

  • Falling oil prices offer the west a great chance to refashion itself. Let’s seize it
  • For the past 18 months, the world’s biggest oil producer has been the US.
  • One first good result of this oil price shift, however, was witnessed at Opec’s meeting in Vienna last week. The once feared cartel of oil-exporting countries, with Saudi Arabia at its core, a cartel that at one time commanded more than half of global production, is now a shadow of its former self.
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  • the US will maintain this new standing for the foreseeable future, according to official projections.
  • It should be no surprise, then, that in the past rising oil prices were associated with recessions and falling oil prices with booms. If the oil price carries on falling back towards $50 a barrel, and if history is any guide, the western economy should respond – to the good.
  • But although particular companies may lose out, the first-round effect of this fall should provide good news. High oil prices depress economic activity. They suck money from consumer spending and redirect it to oil-exporting countries, which typically hoard it in elephantine foreign exchange reserves or unspent  bank deposits. It is a tax by the few on the many.
  • With the US needing to buy less oil on international markets and China’s growth sinking to its lowest mark for 40 years, there is now, amazingly, the prospect of an oil glut. The oil price instantly nosedived to its lowest level for four years, around $70 a barrel – down more than a third in three months.
  • Suddenly, the balance of economic advantage with Russia, no less dependent on oil and gas exports, will flip. Russia’s 2014 budget was based on an oil price of $100 a barrel. At $70 a barrel, the economy will contract by at least 3% in 2015, the country will run a balance of payments deficit and the government’s finances will spin out of control.
  • The chances of Russia sustaining a surrogate war in Ukraine have suddenly been reduced. All good news.
  • But western governments cannot hope that economic benefits will arrive automatically. These are new times.
  • Uncertainty and fear abound. Interest rates in Britain alone have been pegged at 0.5% for more than five years. But still business is reluctant to invest, not knowing what technologies to back or not knowing how much demand there will be for new products and services. We live in an era of stagnation, “secular stagnation”
  • So falling oil prices offer the world economy a great opportunity. But if it is not leapt upon purposefully by aggressively expansionary economic policy, secular stagnation might worsen.
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    The recent fall in oil prices, largely due to America's newfound dominance in the market, will cause Russia to experience a balance of payments deficit, according to this article from the Guardian. This is based on Russia's overestimate of the forecast for the global oil price and can be said to be an example of how global prices often influence balance of payments for countries, especially when it concerns national resources.
Samuel Choi

RBI cautious on response to gold import surge - 0 views

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    India, the world's second-largest gold-consuming country, is battling a balance of payments crisis as the gold import industry grew exponentially in a short amount of time. Though the spike in the import numbers is clear, no clear action has been taken yet; policymakers, however, agree that restrictions must be placed on private trading houses. Private jewelry exporters are the main customers and account for a massive number of the bulk for the demand of gold. "India sharply restricted gold imports in early 2013 as the country battled a balance of payments crisis triggered by the U.S. Federal Reserve's announcement that it would start to ease its programme of quantitative easing. But it eased some of the measures after India's current account deficit fell sharply from the record high of 4.8 percent of gross domestic product in the fiscal year ended in March 2013 to 1.7 percent in the quarter ending in June."
Amanda Anna G

Balance of payments narrows but remains in surplus for fourth year in a row | The Finan... - 0 views

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    This article talks about the balance of payments in India. The trade deficit rose which caused an increase in foreign exchange reserves.
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    This article is about the balance of payment in India. It has narrowed, but still a surplus remains for the fourth year in a row
John B

Indias balance of payments in Q2 2014-15 - 0 views

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    This article is about the balance of payments for India in Q2 2014-15
Amanda Anna G

Lithuania's current account balance at EUR 250.9 mln in January-October :: The Baltic C... - 0 views

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    This article deals with the current account balance in Lithuania and its capital account, and how the surplus was built up 
Aleksi B

Zambia attained favorable Balance of Payments in second quarter of 2014 | UKZAMBIANS - 0 views

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    Zambia in recent times has been able to maintain a favourable balance of payments within the second quarter of 2014
Clemence Lafeuille

France's October Current Account Deficit Narrows to €0.9billion - 0 views

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    Thus article, although short, gives precise numbers on France's current account deficit. It illustrates with numbers the size that a current account can be, and how in France it is currently being reduced, which is another proof of the recovery Europe is having.
Clemence Lafeuille

East African trade bloc approves monetary union deal - 0 views

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    This article discusses the possibility of a further step in the trade liberalisation of East Africa. The EAC (already a common market) now wants to go further and create an economic and monetary union within 10 years. This would greatly help the trading in that region.
John B

Troubled TTIP isn't the only 'trade' takeover busting our sovereignty | openDemocracy - 0 views

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    This article deals with a potential agreement between US and EU where completely free trade is supposed to be the main aim. This agreement would mean that the free trade between US and EU would be the largest free trade zone.
Clemente F

U.K. Balance of Payments Worsens - 0 views

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    The article discuses how the balance of payments in the united kingdom worsened. The article claims that the economic recovery the united kingdom is in doubt because its balance of payments is deteriorating.
Clemence Lafeuille

China to invest $20bn in struggling Venezuela - 0 views

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    This article is about China's FDI into Venezuela. Because of the recent drop in oil prices, Venezuela is suffering so China is placing FDIs in deals that include technology, housing and urban planning. The hope here is to develop a relationship between the two nations, but as we have seen in class it might not be truly beneficial to the LEDC.
Haydn W

What are multinationals doing to champion rights of millions trapped in modern-day slav... - 0 views

  • What are multinationals doing to champion rights of millions trapped in modern-day slavery?
  • With almost 21 million people working in forced labour conditions in the global economy, companies are being made to clean up their act
  • In a world of complex supply chains, migrant workers, sub-suppliers and a constant squeeze on costs, corporate leaders and their stakeholders are keenly aware of the risk of labour exploitation.
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  • No industry or region is fully insulated from the social deficit which has emerged from the rise of the modern global economy.
  • Given the influence and impact that multinational corporations have, there is significant scope for corporate leaders to champion reform and action in this area.
  • However, the ILO estimates that 44% of those working in forced labour are also victims of trafficking (pdf).
  • The fight to eradicate the scourge of forced and child labour, sometimes referred to as modern-day slavery, has re-emerged as a defining issue in this century
  • The International Labour Organization (ILO) estimates that almost 21 million people are currently working in some form of forced labour, with 14.2 million in economic activities such as agriculture, construction, domestic work or manufacturing (pdf).
  • Beginning in California in 2012, following effective campaigning and lobbying to then-governor Arnold Schwarzenegger, mandatory corporate disclosure of a company’s non-financial activities has been on the rise.
  • From US President Obama’s executive order on trafficking and federal procurement, to the UK Modern Slavery Bill’s recent amendment to include supply chain disclosure provisions, to the EU’s adoption of a non-financial reporting directive, compulsory transparency around global corporate practices – including human rights, labour and social impacts and policies – is the latest tool being employed by legislators to place social expectations on corporations.
  • multinational corporations have grown significantly in terms of size, assets, resource control and revenue, not to mention societal influence.
  • This growth has been accompanied by growing expectations by society and government.
  • It is, of course, critical to recognise that the global corporate supply chain can be a force for good.
  • However, with their multiple levels of subcontracting, particularly throughout impoverished regions where labour laws are non-existent or not enforced, global labour and product supply chains also provide fertile ground for inhumane practices and working conditions.
  • The United States Department of Labor, for example, has produced a list of 136 goods produced in 74 countries using forced labour, child labour, or both.
  • Many leading companies already understand that their strategies shape the lives of millions. The most forward-thinking believe that business is an integral pillar of society and recognise that the people they rely on at home and abroad are central to building sustainable and lasting businesses.
  • And since mandatory disclosure requires all multinationals to take notice and action rather than just the industry leaders, this ultimately helps level the playing field.
  • Some believe supply chain transparency laws do not constitute any real change from the prevailing corporate-driven model for CSR, while others oppose increased regulation and oversight as unnecessary state intervention, believing that industry led efforts have the best chance of success.
  • it is a combination of corporate leadership and regulation in this area which will help ensure all market participants rise to acceptable standards.
  • The trend away from voluntary reports towards mandatory social reporting for global corporations is here to stay and may represent a first step towards increased legislative requirements
  • No matter where one believes the solutions lie, the ultimate goal is a global economy free from forced labour, trafficking and other abuses. For the millions of victims who go out into the world seeking work in the hope of building better lives, we must commit to seeking the best path forward.
Daniel Soto Aggard

Ireland the main beneficiary of US foreign direct investment - 0 views

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    Ireland is the number one destination in the world for US foreign direct investment (FDI), according to a new report. The study, which was commissioned by the American Chamber of Commerce Ireland, reveals that US firms have invested more than $277 billion here since 1990.
Marenne M

Tanzania scales up efforts to increase foreign direct investment - - 0 views

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    This article describes how the government in Tanzania uses regulations to control and encourage foreign direct investment. All owners of land, in this case both locals and foreigners, are obliged to invest in their land through farming or constructing buildings, thus encouraging economic growth. This means that if a foreigner wishes to own land in Tanzania, they must somehow invest in the economy to help the economic growth of Tanzania
Clemence Lafeuille

Does Debt Forgiveness Work? Ask Africa - 0 views

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    This article discusses the debt problems in Africa, and how these could potentially be solved. It explains how the loans were misused through issues such as corruption, and then it explains how African economies could still potentially manage to pay them off, through getting involved more in the global community
Pip Dop

Judy Asks: Time for Greece to Leave the Euro? - 0 views

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    Debt forgiveness is not exclusively reserved for developing nations: this article discusses whether Greece should leave the Euro. It mentions the fact the Germany and other EU nations have avoided outright debt forgiveness because the terms are conditional, and Greece is not willing to commit itself to the policies it is required to introduce in return for debt relief.
Daniel Soto Aggard

Student Loan Forgiveness: Too Good to Be True? - 0 views

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    Student loans in the United States have been known to be financially crippling, however there is now an act set in motion that will benefit the students to take loans to complete their higher education. Taking a step in the right direction as education should be a privilege granted to everyone.
Haydn W

Greece's leader warns Merkel of 'impossible' debt payments - FT.com - 0 views

  • Greece’s leader warns Merkel of ‘impossible’ debt payments
  • Alexis Tsipras, the Greek prime minister, has warned Angela Merkel that it will be “impossible” for Athens to service debt obligations
  • The warning, contained in a letter sent by Mr Tsipras to the German chancellor and obtained by the Financial Times, comes as concerns mount that Athens will struggle to make pension and wage payments at the end of this month and could run out of cash before the end of April.
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  • just before Ms Merkel agreed to meet Mr Tsipras on the sidelines of an EU summit last Thursday and invited him for a one-on-one session in Berlin
  • Mr Tsipras warns that his government will be forced to choose between paying off loans, owed primarily to the International Monetary Fund, or continue social spending.
  • He blames European Central Bank limits
  • “Given that Greece has no access to money markets, and also in view of the ‘spikes’ in our debt repayment obligations during the spring and summer . . . it ought to be clear that the ECB’s special restrictions when combined with disbursement delays would make it impossible for any government to service its debt,” Mr Tsipras wrote.
  • He said servicing the debts would lead to a “sharp deterioration in the already depressed Greek social economy
  • Mr Tsipras was rebuffed in efforts to secure quick financing from either the ECB or eurozone lenders at Thursday’s Brussels meeting
  • In an interview, Luis de Guindos, Spanish finance minister, said his eurozone counterparts would not sign off on any new bailout funding until a full set of approved reforms was passed
  • Mr Tsipras’s five-page letter is particularly critical of the ECB
  • The Greek prime minister insisted the ECB should have returned to “the terms of finance of the Greek banks”
  • Far from going easier on Athens, the ECB is considering whether to give its guidance to Greek banks more authority by making it a legally binding requirement not to add to their T-bill holdings.
  • He also criticised the ECB for only increasing the amount of emergency central bank loans to Greek lenders “at shorter intervals than normal and at rather small increments”
  • Mr Tsipras wrote that Athens was “committed to fulfilling its obligations in good faith and close co-operation with its partners”, he also warned Ms Merkel that a failure to find short-term funding could lead to much bigger problems.
Daniel Soto Aggard

Nizhny Novgorod region targets import substitution - 0 views

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    Nizhny Novgorod Governor Valery Shantsev took part in a business meeting devoted to prospects and opportunities of import substitution in the region. This is crucial in Russia's current situation thus substituting imports is a must. Short article, yet precise and interesting
Pip Dop

News.Az - Programs for import substitution in Russia to be ready by April - deputy PM - 0 views

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    This article is very interesting with regards to one of this week's topics: import substitution. The concept of import substitution is often applied to LEDC's, reducing their dependancy on foreign imports and improving domestic output. However, this article is about Russia, who is adopting import substitution in response to deteriorating political relations with other nations. The Ministry of Industry and Trade wishes to minimise dependancy on imports from abroad, conjointly limiting the manipulating power of foreign nations.
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