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Silvia Capizzi

BBC News - Portugal reveals tough 2013 budget - 0 views

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    The Portuguese government has revealed the details of its draft budget for 2013. It is said to be one of the harshest in the country's recent history.  The Portuguese government has spent a significantly greater amount than the total revenue, and is therefore experiencing a budget deficit. Due to this deficit, government is forced to borrow money from the public, thus increasing its budget deficit even further, and ultimately increasing their total national debt.  The government was already granted a 78 billion- euro bailout last year, which has still not accounted for their budget deficit. Therefore, the Portuguese government was forced to make some huge changes in the economy,.  As stated in the article, the government will have to borrow money from the public through average income taxes, which will increase from 9.8% to 13.2%. Furthermore, they will have to cut spending worth up to 2.7 billion euros next year, which includes laying off 2% of the countries 600.000 public sector employees.  Moreover, the Portuguese government has decided to cut their spending by not raising social security contribution next year from 11% to 18%.  According to Vitor Gaspar,finance minister, this budget would allow Portugal to reduce its budget deficit to 4.5% in 2013.  Ultimately hoping to achieve the European Union target of 3% of GDP. 
Sophie Groosman

Unemployment in Greece Hits Depression Levels-And Is Headed Higher - Rick Newman (usnew... - 0 views

  • The Greek government recently announced that the nation's unemployment rate hit 24.4 percent this summer, a searing level of joblessness reminiscent of the Great Depression.
  • Among young people aged 14 to 24, unemployment is a staggering 55 percent.
  • To save the Greek economy, it seems, it's necessary to kill it first.
  • ...8 more annotations...
  • Nearly one-quarter of the Greek workforce is employed by the government
  • Greece also suffers from massive tax evasion
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  • A Greek government providing jobs for life led to falling unemployment from 2000 to 2008, but all the borrowed money required to keep the mirage intact meant the government workforce would have to shrink dramatically at some point. That's what's happening now.
  • Greece has committed to cutting 100,000 government jobs by the end of the year, while also slashing welfare payments and other social spending. So unemployment is likely to rise further, even as Greece's safety net continues to erode
  • The Greek economy has been contracting since 2008, and has shrunk by about 20 percent so far.
  • --which means there's not enough money to pay all those government workers
  • Economists disagree about the best way to pull a sunken economy out of such a big hole,
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    This article discusses the severe rising level of unemployment in Greece. Unemployment rates rose to approximately 24.4% this summer and 55% of young people aged 14 to 24 are unemployed. The reasons behind this high unemployment are that a high percentage of the Greek workforce is employed by the government (about 25%) and these employees receive large unreported subsidies and bonuses. Also, Greece suffers from a large amount of tax evasion, causing it to struggle to pay the high number of government workers. Consequently, Greece had to cut 100,000 government jobs, causing unemployment to rise. Unemployment was high in the first place because of the deep recession which started in 2007. The high unemployment in Greece has further knock on effects on its economy, particularly if the majority of those unemployed are of the younger generation. A young workforce with no jobs means that once the older generation retires, the younger generation will want to take over their jobs but they will not have the experience to do so. Also, they will lose incentive to work hard as they are used to not having jobs. 
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    1/4th of the labor force in Greece was being employed by the Greek government. However the government borrowed a lot of money and that means that the government workforce will end up decreasing dramatically sooner or later, and that happened.  Their economy has shrunk around 20% since 2008. The article also told us that 'Moody's Analytics predicts that the Greek economy won't start growin gagain until 2015, at the earliest". That is bad for Greece because it will take very long and be very hard for it to become a stable and strong economy again. 
Serena Zalkowitz

Spanish Regions Agree to Central Government Deficit Plan - NYTimes.com - 0 views

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    Spain's 17 regional governments have agreed to stick to budget deficit targets set by the central government but regions are struggling to meet the deficit target of 1.5% gross domestic product for this year. Some of the regions have accessed an 18 billion euro emergency fund set up by the central government to meet their debt financing obligations. Furthermore, five regions have asked for a combined 15 billion euros. The regional leaders have called for a redistribution of the burden sharing between the central and regional governments in meeting deficit targets. However, Prime Minister Rajoy has stated that the overhaul should not be negotiated until  next year, to avoid unnerving investors already concerned about Spain's lack of budgetary discipline.
A Gysler

Analysis: Fiscal cliff could hit economy harder than many expect | Reuters - 0 views

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    The article discusses that the US may face a fiscal cliff in order to reduce the large deficit that has accumulated in the past. A fiscal policy stands for a series of major tax increases and government spending cuts if Congress does not act. The article discusses that through lower government spending and higher taxes it is expected that $600 billion can be extracted from the economy to decrease the debt. However economists think that every dollar of deficit reduction will subtract the same or a greater amount from economic growth. In theoretical terms this would make sense. If government spending decrease this reduces aggregate demand in the economy and by that will cause a decrease in real GDP. Households will cut back on purchases and especially households that are dependent on government support through unemployment benefits will suffer from the policy. Although this will decrease the deficit of the US it may be that it distracts the fragile recovering economy. 
Isabelle Cole

UPDATE 2-S.Africa budget deficit widens, prompts spending cap | Reuters - 0 views

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    Currently the economic growth forecast of South Africa isn't looking as promising as thought, while  additionally its budget deficit is going to be higher than promised. 4.8 percent of GDP instead of 4.6 percent. According to the president, Gordhan, this is due to slower economic growth and not due to increase in government spending. He emphasizes that there will be no increase in government spending. From a neoclassical side this is a good thing as an increase in spending accompanied by a decrease in taxes will only further increase the governments budget deficit. The mining strikes ongoing in South Africa have had two significant consequences. 1. more people have become unemployed due to the strikes for higher wages.2. Offshore investors are worried that the government will increase spending to ease the social tensions. As a result both decreases AD as there is less consumption and investment. 
Tania Plan

Irelands employment rate increases, despite 'tide of emigration' - 0 views

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    Ireland's high current unemployment rate of 14.9 percent is a result from its economic situation : Ireland is in a recession. The article clearly stipulates this, there is a 'recession in the real domestic economy'. The recession arose from the housing bubble : mortgages were cheap, people overborrowed and then the high housing prices fell so that people were less wealthy and no longer able to pay their mortgages. Wealth is a determinant of AD. It is the added value of all assets or stocks. If wealth or perceived wealth increases, then so will a household's consumption of goods, thereby shifting demand, as the household feels 'wealthier' or able to purchase more. The reverse is also the case, when wealth declines, demand declines, such as in Ireland. The Irish were much less willing to consume goods, as they believed they were less wealthy or had less money( which they eventually did , upon having to pay mortgages; debt), and so consumption decreased, which thus shifted aggregate demand into a demand slide recession. This is a situation where prices in a nation inflate and output decreases, due to the lesser demand. If less is being produced, less factors of production are required. Thus labor, a major factor of production is no longer required in the economy, which gives firms the incentive to lay off many of their workers. This is the unemployment Ireland is experiencing. It is interesting that the article also depicts the  'austerity drive'  that the Irish government resulted to in the recession.  As it correctly suggests, this is 'self defeating', as during a demand slide recession the Keynesian policy follows that the government should not save its funding, but rather spend. In a time of recession, the government should spend,  so as to decrease unemployment stimulate the economy. If the government spends, this will have a multiplier effect through the economy, as it provides income to households ( by spending, the government employs labor), where househo
Moritz Pill

Unemployment on the rise again in Scotland - Daily Record - 0 views

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    The unemployment rate in Scotland has increased to 8.2 percent within the last three months. It is now worse than the UK unemployment rate, which is at about 8.1 percent.In order to fix the problem, the government has now decided to step in, in order to achieve economic growth and get people back into work. The government wants to do this by simplifying the business environment and reform the tax system for companies in order to help them create more jobs. By decreasing the costs of production, the government wants the SRAS curve to shift to the right and therefor increase aggregate supply. If costs of producing are lower, firms will higher more workers, which will result in less unemployment according to theory. 
A Gysler

Spanish unemployment reaches record high of 24.6% - 2 views

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    The article discusses the increasing level of unemployment in Spain hitting record levels. Currently around 5.7 million Spanish are out of work. Traditionally this number decreased during the second quarter of the year during the tourist season however this year unemployment rose to 24.6% during that time. 53% of the unemployed are under 25. This may have great effects in the future once Spain's economy recovers. The younger generation will want to take over jobs of the older generation. However due to the lack of training they may not have the skills required. The amount of jobs has decreased so much that almost half of the unemployed have been out of work for more than a year. This is largely due to a cut in government, regional and municipal spending that has decreased the number of workers in the public sector by 5% in the past year. Because the number of unemployed is so high and is constantly increasing the government had to cut their unemployment benefits leaving only around 40% in certain areas receiving unemployment benefits. The reason causing the high unemployment is the recession that Spain is currently in. In the future crime rates may increase in Spain as many households have no income and are losing their unemployment benefits from the government. 
Julieta Fischer

Two Ways to See China's Problems - Economic View - NYTimes.com - 0 views

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    China faces some serious economic problems. One main problem is that China seems to be suffering from excess capacity resulting from an overinvestment in factories, retail stores or infrastructure which leads to an imbalanced supply and aggregate demand relation. Aggregate demand is the total demand for a nation's goods and services from domestic households, firms, the government and foreigners. The article reveals two different approaches to evaluating China's economy: the Keynesian theory and the Austrian school theory. The Keynesians argue that aggregate demand drives stability and that governments can and should help in difficult times. The Chinese government has the tools to increase aggregate demand as it could for example "adjust interest rates and bank reserve requirements, instruct state-owned banks to maintain lending", deploy foreign exchange reserves, or initiate construction and infrastructure projects. On the other hand, the Austrian school of economics believes that it is hard for the government to invest money wisely, particularly in China, where there seems to be an environment of "economic favoritism". The Keynesians may believe that China will be able to manage its overcapacity; however, the Austrian theory argues that the Chinese government will distort resource allocation and further limit aggregate demand. - Julieta Fischer
e lynesmith

BBC News - UK economy to enter recession soon, says report - 0 views

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    The National Institute of Economic and Social Research has advised the UK government to ease its fiscal policy because of the danger of the economy entering another recession. The UK fiscal policy is unintentionally causing deficient demand. Demand was already relatively low as private and public sectors were focusing on paying off their debts. This decline in demand has lead to a decrease in consumption and a fall in GDP. Also, businesses have become reluctant to invest due to the uncertainty about domestic and foreign demand. The UK government has been cautious about easing their fiscal policy because of their desire to achieve their fiscal goals, which they have been relatively successful in reaching so far, as stated by a Treasury spokesman who said: "… the government's commitment to deficit reduction has helped maintain market confidence". A way for the UK to ease their fiscal policy and subsequently increase demand would be to cut taxes, which would allow households to have a higher level of disposable income and firms would be incentivized to invest more because of the rising domestic demand.  
Nils Armin van Willigenburg

Luxembourg's Juncker Defends 2013 Budget - 0 views

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    Luxembourg's Prime Minister Jean-Claude Junker is defending the newly released budget bill, in place for 2013. The bill set in place plans to invest more money into the consolidation package, in place to consolidate Luxembourg's budget. A 1.8% increase in government spending, in relation to the budget set in 2012, is put forth to remove any divergence from the country's stability and growth. Juncker stressed that although the recent financial crisis which has caused a recession in Luxembourg over the past 4 years, the bill will insure that Luxembourg's deficit will be lower in 2013 than 2009. Juncker says that in 2013, Luxembourg's deficit will be at 4.3%.  Juncker says the reason Luxembourg has come into deficit is the investment of 200 million Euros into Luxembourg's employment fund. Furthermore, the increase of unemployment isn't beneficial to the countries current financial situation.  He does not plan to raise VAT, as some countries in the EU such as the Netherlands have recently done to fill part of their deficit. This would only harm economic recovery and affect the country's low-income earners.  Juncker's ultimate goal is to make Luxembourg debt free by 2014. The minister promised that the government would try their very best to achieve this goal, while still being aware that the economic development of Luxembourg remains "extremely fragile".
Isabelle Cole

UPDATE 2-Brazil unveils measures to spur consumption, investment | Reuters - 0 views

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    This article describes how the Brazilian government tries to increase investment and consumption through tax cuts. In particular on trucks, machinery, and automobiles the government reduces or gives an extension on the taxes. Another measure to stimulate investment in the country is via reducing its interest rate to an all-time low of 7.5 %. 
anonymous

Brazil's $66 Billion Stimulus Could Signal A Shift In Its Growth Strategy - 0 views

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    Brazil's President Dilm Rousseff a 66 billion dollar stimulus plan to revive the country road and transport systems in order to bolster the economy. The government predicts a growth of 3% in 2012, down from the 4.5% growth in 2011. In order to maintain the GDP growth at what it was the previous year the government plans to invest 66 billion dollars into the country transport system in order to promote jobs and growth within the country. As this is not a transfer payment (tax revenue redistributed to pensioners, veteran, and the unemployed) the government is contributing to the economies gross domestic product. This stimulus plan would go to wages of the people working on the transport system and the purchase of capital goods necessary to make the improvements. In order to maintain the GDP per capita in Brazil it is necessary for the economy to grow at the same rate as the population.
Silvia Capizzi

Brussels set to unveil EU growth plan - FT.com - 0 views

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    This article discusses the changes which European Union officials are planning for the future in order to ensure economic growth. One of the changes mentioned are the Spanish borrowing costs which will be pushed up to their highest levels for four months. In the short-run this will mean less spending from consumers, but in the long run will ensure a significant decrease in debt. Furthermore, they have called on national governments to "implement a series of job-creating policies". These include cutting labor-related taxes, as well as shifting the burden to property, energy and emission levels. These particular changes will cause a rightward shift in aggregate demand as there is an increase in government spending. Moreover, countries will be forced to lift remaining restrictions on worker movement within the EU, which will allow for more employment. This will also cause a rightward shift in aggregate demand because there will be more employed workers and therefore amount of consumption will increase as more people will be able to spend more money.  Overall, this article shows improvements for the future which will increase aggregate demand of the EU. 
e lynesmith

Business leaders plead for growth as CBI predicts economy will shrink 0.3% | Business |... - 0 views

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    This article discusses the need for the U.K. government to "show some political backbone" by becoming more enterprise friendly in order to stimulate the badly required growth of their economy. U.K. business leaders have become increasingly concerned as the CBI has predicted that the U.K. economy will shrink by 0.3% this year. This fall in GDP is a sign that the country is entering a double-dip recession. The reason behind this is declining exports, the on-going euro crisis, a stagnant economy since the coalition, reduced borrowing on credit cards, an increase in unemployment and a lack of household spending. A reduced borrowing on credit cards and lack of household spending directly affects GDP as GDP can be calculated using the expenditure method, where household consumption is one of the factors taken into consideration. If consumption falls, so does GDP. In order to prevent the GDP from falling further and to promote economic growth, schemes such as tax breaks for small firms taking on extra workers ,schemes that boost the mortgage and household market and schemes that support household expenditure have been implemented. This could lead to a rise in employment as well as expenditures, causing GDP to grow. 
Isabelle Cole

Brazil sees tax breaks on household goods easing inflation | Reuters - 0 views

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    At the moment globally there has been a spike in food prices. One of the causes has been the severe droughts in the United states which have driven up the food prices. In response to this inflation the government of Brazil decided to reduce taxes on basic household goods to support an economic recovery. This action also leads to stabler prices, which is one of the macro-economic goals of a country. The tax break on household goods allows for a increase in consumption as consumers will feel wealthier and have an increase in purchasing power. As a result this will increase Brazil's GDP to a certain extent as Consumption is one of the factors that influence the gross national product. 
Clara Gannon

Rising food prices likely boosted Brazil inflation - Business - Stocks & economy | NBC ... - 0 views

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    The global rise in food prices, caused by a drought in the US, has increased Brazil's inflation, along with the government trying to put a stop to the currency gains. Due to bad weather conditions, the tomato industry has been affected, and has lead to an increase in the price of tomatoes. With global prices on the rise, there is less want to import goods, but with inflation in Brazil, high food prices all around is hurting its economy. Currency gains are also having a negative affect which is hurting industrial competitiveness. Consumers are finding it difficult to cope with rising food prices and in the short run will mean that a lot of their earnings are being spent on necessities and not spending on luxuries. Low unemployment is pushing up wages, and with interest rates being cut, people will most likely try and save their money.
Lasse Stueben

Britain's budget deficit shrinks in six months | GulfNews.com - 0 views

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    Britain's budget deficit has turned out to be smaller than previously thought in the first six months of the current tax year. However, recent data suggests that they will have to announce extra government spending cuts or taxes rises if it is to meet this year's deficit-cutting target. Britain's plans to eliminate the deficit by 2015 have been pushed back by two years as economic growth has been far weaker than predicted and its deficit still remains the largest of any major European country. 
Nils Armin van Willigenburg

U.S. Companies Conduct Fire Drills in Case Greece Exits Euro - NYTimes.com - 0 views

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    It's a rare sight, seeing US banks taking precautions instead of relying on the federal government for a bail out. This though is the precise case at the moment. Seeing as it still isn't clear whether or not Greece is staying in the Eurozone, US banks such as Meryll Lynch and JPMorgan are taking necessary precautions to insure that should Greece retreat from the Eurozone, the banks wouldn't be hit as hard. In a recent survery, sent out by a private advisory firm, 80 percent of the answers predicted that Greeve is going to leave the Eurozone, and a fifth of the given 80% believe that more countries may follow Greece's potential lead. 
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