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Saskia Karsen

Canada's business investment pulls ahead of pack - The Globe and Mail - 0 views

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    coming soon. 
Isabelle Cole

UPDATE 2-Brazil unveils measures to spur consumption, investment | Reuters - 0 views

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    This article describes how the Brazilian government tries to increase investment and consumption through tax cuts. In particular on trucks, machinery, and automobiles the government reduces or gives an extension on the taxes. Another measure to stimulate investment in the country is via reducing its interest rate to an all-time low of 7.5 %. 
Rafael Proeglhoef

Who cares about the price of onions? - 0 views

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    India's investors and some politicians want the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to lower its interest rates so that more firms could invest in capital goods in the country. This would increase investment, which in turn would shift aggregate demand to the right and lead to GDP growth. RBI however argues that lowering the interest rates could cause inflation to go up, which in turn would have a great effect on India's lower class citizens. The RBI also argues that interest rates are not very high at the moment, and blame the lack of investment in 'bad governance and lack of reforms'. If the RBI lowered the interest rates and investment did not increase much as they argue, while inflation goes up, many poor people would suffer in the process as they wouldn't be able to buy as many essential goods such as food. This would cause a movement along the aggregate demand curve as price level goes up. On the other hand, from an investor's perspective this would be the best way to generate economic growth, which would benefit the country as a whole if it led to more investment on capital goods.
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    Investors in India are asking the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) for lower interest rates, so that more can be invested in order to accelerate the country's growth rate (which has been decelerating). However, the RBI is concerned that this could lead to an increase in inflation (which is already high) as AD would increase, causing the country to produce beyond its full level of employment, meaning that price levels would raise more than RGDP proportionally (demand pull inflation). The RBI believes that people are more concerned with inflation as it causes the price of food to go up, affecting poor families. However, there is a possibility that growth is of more importance to Indians when looking at the country's economic performance. Other factors such as an increase in oil prices and a poor-monsoon could drive food prices even higher. As result the Indian RBI must be very cautious whether it will be worth lowering interest rates.
A Gysler

Iceland Inflation Holds at 5.4% in June as Interest Rates Rise - Bloomberg - 0 views

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    Iceland has been in a serious recession with great inflation rates for several years. To control the situation, the Central bank has started to raise interest rates with the hope to decrease inflation and bring prices back to normal levels. By increasing interest rates consumers will stop borrowing as much money which will cause a decrease in consumption. In addition it will become more expensive for firms to borrow money for their investments and they will decrease investments well. Overall these two factors will cause a decrease in aggregate demand in Iceland. This will push down prices and cause disinflation in the long run. Due to these decreasing prices goods and services from Iceland become more attractive to foreign consumers causing an increase in exports which may strengthen the currency. The article states that due to the increased interest rates inflation remained stable for the past months. This shows that households and firms are consuming/investing less which stops further inflation.
Silvia Capizzi

German Unemployment Rises for a Fifth Month Amid Crisis - Bloomberg - 0 views

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    According to this article, Germany's unemployment had increased for a fifth month in august. The unemployment rate is currently at 6.8%. This increase in unemployment was a consequence of the European debt crisis, which had severely decreased demand for exports, causing companies to hold back on investments.  These two factors have therefore decreased both aggregate demand (net exports decrease) and aggregate supply (decrease in investments). Therefore fewer jobs are required as less output is being demanded. This is shown by the numerous job cuts which have occurred throughout Germany. "Siemens AG (SIE) said on Aug. 27 it will cut 500 jobs at its German factories making industrial gear boxes and clutches by 2016, citing slack demand".   However, the article states that the unemployment rate is still the lowest it has been for the past two decades, and meanwhile wages are rising. This increase in wages is boosting consumer spending, therefore causing an increase in aggregate demand, which should eventually allow for aggregate supply to increase, and therefore increasing the need for workers.  Moreover, although unemployment has risen in Germany, it still does not yet compare to the 8.2% unemployment of the US, the 10.8% in Italy, and the euro-area average of 11.2%. 
Amelie Spaniol

Central Bank of Turkey predicts inflation target overshoot until 2013 - Central Banking - 0 views

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    According to this Article inflation in Turkey increased to 10.45% and the central bank's Inflation rate was 5.5%. This difference in inflation rate occurs because when a country's central bank tries to fight inflation, as is being done in Turkey, the nominal interest rate will still tend to increase. Consequently, investment and consumption are discouraged due to the high inflation rate set by banks. This is because firms will not invest anymore because it is more expensive to borrow money and consume. In addition, consumption will decrease because the cost of borrowing money to consume large goods such as cars or houses is a lot more expensive.  
e lynesmith

BBC News - UK economy to enter recession soon, says report - 0 views

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    The National Institute of Economic and Social Research has advised the UK government to ease its fiscal policy because of the danger of the economy entering another recession. The UK fiscal policy is unintentionally causing deficient demand. Demand was already relatively low as private and public sectors were focusing on paying off their debts. This decline in demand has lead to a decrease in consumption and a fall in GDP. Also, businesses have become reluctant to invest due to the uncertainty about domestic and foreign demand. The UK government has been cautious about easing their fiscal policy because of their desire to achieve their fiscal goals, which they have been relatively successful in reaching so far, as stated by a Treasury spokesman who said: "… the government's commitment to deficit reduction has helped maintain market confidence". A way for the UK to ease their fiscal policy and subsequently increase demand would be to cut taxes, which would allow households to have a higher level of disposable income and firms would be incentivized to invest more because of the rising domestic demand.  
Nils Armin van Willigenburg

Luxembourg's Juncker Defends 2013 Budget - 0 views

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    Luxembourg's Prime Minister Jean-Claude Junker is defending the newly released budget bill, in place for 2013. The bill set in place plans to invest more money into the consolidation package, in place to consolidate Luxembourg's budget. A 1.8% increase in government spending, in relation to the budget set in 2012, is put forth to remove any divergence from the country's stability and growth. Juncker stressed that although the recent financial crisis which has caused a recession in Luxembourg over the past 4 years, the bill will insure that Luxembourg's deficit will be lower in 2013 than 2009. Juncker says that in 2013, Luxembourg's deficit will be at 4.3%.  Juncker says the reason Luxembourg has come into deficit is the investment of 200 million Euros into Luxembourg's employment fund. Furthermore, the increase of unemployment isn't beneficial to the countries current financial situation.  He does not plan to raise VAT, as some countries in the EU such as the Netherlands have recently done to fill part of their deficit. This would only harm economic recovery and affect the country's low-income earners.  Juncker's ultimate goal is to make Luxembourg debt free by 2014. The minister promised that the government would try their very best to achieve this goal, while still being aware that the economic development of Luxembourg remains "extremely fragile".
Alessya Kaiser

BBC News - Swiss economy grows despite strong franc - 1 views

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    This article explains how the Swiss economy continued to grow despite the predictions that it would shrink or go into a recession. Economists thought this, because the franc became a strong currency, making Switzerland's imports cheaper but making it very expensive for other countries to buy goods from Switzerland, meaning fewer exports for Switzerland. Since we know that GDP can be calculated by adding the incomes produced by C (Consumers) + I (Investments) + G (Government) + X (Exports - Imports), we will see that Switzerland's GDP would decrease because less exports or more exports would make 'X' a negative value lowering the nations GDP. However, Switzerland's GDP went different as expected. Even though exports were now more costly for other countries, Switzerland exports grew by 2.8 % in the last quarter of the year, in precious metals, jewels or arts. Adding on to that, the gross fixed investments also grew by 2.5 % in investments in construction and equipment as the strong currency proved a "safe-haven" for investor. The rise in exports and investments lead to an unexpected and unpredicted expansion of the Swiss economy instead of a recession.
Isabelle Cole

UPDATE 2-S.Africa budget deficit widens, prompts spending cap | Reuters - 0 views

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    Currently the economic growth forecast of South Africa isn't looking as promising as thought, while  additionally its budget deficit is going to be higher than promised. 4.8 percent of GDP instead of 4.6 percent. According to the president, Gordhan, this is due to slower economic growth and not due to increase in government spending. He emphasizes that there will be no increase in government spending. From a neoclassical side this is a good thing as an increase in spending accompanied by a decrease in taxes will only further increase the governments budget deficit. The mining strikes ongoing in South Africa have had two significant consequences. 1. more people have become unemployed due to the strikes for higher wages.2. Offshore investors are worried that the government will increase spending to ease the social tensions. As a result both decreases AD as there is less consumption and investment. 
Lasse Stueben

High inflation leaves UK in doldrums | Business | guardian.co.uk - 0 views

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    Over the past year, high inflation has pushed the UK economy into a recession. Inflation has been caused by prices of goods rising faster than wages, also known as cost-push inflation. The weakness of consumer demand has resulted in a decrease in investment from businesses. Specifically, higher food and oil prices has been the reason as to why disinflation has been occurring slower than anticipated by the Bank of England. The issue is that with rising prices, the spending power of consumers is being diminished. 
Rafael Proeglhoef

Who cares about the price of onions? - 0 views

Investors in India are asking the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) for lower interest rates, so that more can be invested in order to accelerate the country's growth rate (which has been decelerating). ...

Inflation India Growth Food Prices Price

started by Rafael Proeglhoef on 23 Sep 12 no follow-up yet
Mor Ovadia

Canada Inflation Slows 2nd Month in August on Natural Gas - Bloomberg - 0 views

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    This article states that Canada's inflation rate has unexpectedly slowed for a second month this past August, meaning a disinflation is taking place. The consumer price index in Canada rose 1.2% in August from a year ago compared to a 1.3% gain in July, showing a slowing down in the rate of inflation. This has reduced pressure for the Bank of Canada governor to raise interest rates. Normally, when a country's price levels are increasing and inflation is taking place, banks are encouraged to increase interest rates. Increasing them make it more profitable for consumers to borrow less and invest more, resulting in a decrease in consumption and therefore a decrease in AD. This will lower price levels in the country in the long run, solving or reducing the problem of inflation.
Julieta Fischer

Two Ways to See China's Problems - Economic View - NYTimes.com - 0 views

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    China faces some serious economic problems. One main problem is that China seems to be suffering from excess capacity resulting from an overinvestment in factories, retail stores or infrastructure which leads to an imbalanced supply and aggregate demand relation. Aggregate demand is the total demand for a nation's goods and services from domestic households, firms, the government and foreigners. The article reveals two different approaches to evaluating China's economy: the Keynesian theory and the Austrian school theory. The Keynesians argue that aggregate demand drives stability and that governments can and should help in difficult times. The Chinese government has the tools to increase aggregate demand as it could for example "adjust interest rates and bank reserve requirements, instruct state-owned banks to maintain lending", deploy foreign exchange reserves, or initiate construction and infrastructure projects. On the other hand, the Austrian school of economics believes that it is hard for the government to invest money wisely, particularly in China, where there seems to be an environment of "economic favoritism". The Keynesians may believe that China will be able to manage its overcapacity; however, the Austrian theory argues that the Chinese government will distort resource allocation and further limit aggregate demand. - Julieta Fischer
anonymous

Brazil's $66 Billion Stimulus Could Signal A Shift In Its Growth Strategy - 0 views

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    Brazil's President Dilm Rousseff a 66 billion dollar stimulus plan to revive the country road and transport systems in order to bolster the economy. The government predicts a growth of 3% in 2012, down from the 4.5% growth in 2011. In order to maintain the GDP growth at what it was the previous year the government plans to invest 66 billion dollars into the country transport system in order to promote jobs and growth within the country. As this is not a transfer payment (tax revenue redistributed to pensioners, veteran, and the unemployed) the government is contributing to the economies gross domestic product. This stimulus plan would go to wages of the people working on the transport system and the purchase of capital goods necessary to make the improvements. In order to maintain the GDP per capita in Brazil it is necessary for the economy to grow at the same rate as the population.
Tania Plan

Irish recession: "Inside an empty town" - 0 views

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    The article is concerned with the current economic situation in Ireland, namely a recession. This is a period of decline in an economy, where in the business cycle it is known as a 'trough'. This is illustrated well in the article through the decline of demand in the housing market, as a decrease demand is a typical characteristic of a recession. The overall demand or aggregate demand of a country decreases during a recession, as seen in the Irish housing market, as people have lost confidence in the economy, uncertainty has gone up and unemployment has increased. Consequently people save their money as the situation is unstable and they are unsure of their furture imployment and income. Saving is a leakage in the cycle and therefore corresponds to the decrease in aggreagate demand. In the article's context, The Irish are untrusting and therefore unwilling to invest in new housing. This is all a result of bad planning. In the 1990s, Ireland's economy was booming: banks were doing well, the housing market rising significantly and in large demand. Therefore the government decided to build Adamstown. Yet as the housing bubble broke and with it the faith and confidencein the Irish economy, people put their spendings " on hold" as the article illustrates, and areas of modern infra structure such as Adamsville became Ghosttowns.
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