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Serena Zalkowitz

Spanish Regions Agree to Central Government Deficit Plan - NYTimes.com - 0 views

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    Spain's 17 regional governments have agreed to stick to budget deficit targets set by the central government but regions are struggling to meet the deficit target of 1.5% gross domestic product for this year. Some of the regions have accessed an 18 billion euro emergency fund set up by the central government to meet their debt financing obligations. Furthermore, five regions have asked for a combined 15 billion euros. The regional leaders have called for a redistribution of the burden sharing between the central and regional governments in meeting deficit targets. However, Prime Minister Rajoy has stated that the overhaul should not be negotiated until  next year, to avoid unnerving investors already concerned about Spain's lack of budgetary discipline.
A Gysler

Analysis: Fiscal cliff could hit economy harder than many expect | Reuters - 0 views

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    The article discusses that the US may face a fiscal cliff in order to reduce the large deficit that has accumulated in the past. A fiscal policy stands for a series of major tax increases and government spending cuts if Congress does not act. The article discusses that through lower government spending and higher taxes it is expected that $600 billion can be extracted from the economy to decrease the debt. However economists think that every dollar of deficit reduction will subtract the same or a greater amount from economic growth. In theoretical terms this would make sense. If government spending decrease this reduces aggregate demand in the economy and by that will cause a decrease in real GDP. Households will cut back on purchases and especially households that are dependent on government support through unemployment benefits will suffer from the policy. Although this will decrease the deficit of the US it may be that it distracts the fragile recovering economy. 
e lynesmith

BBC News - UK economy to enter recession soon, says report - 0 views

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    The National Institute of Economic and Social Research has advised the UK government to ease its fiscal policy because of the danger of the economy entering another recession. The UK fiscal policy is unintentionally causing deficient demand. Demand was already relatively low as private and public sectors were focusing on paying off their debts. This decline in demand has lead to a decrease in consumption and a fall in GDP. Also, businesses have become reluctant to invest due to the uncertainty about domestic and foreign demand. The UK government has been cautious about easing their fiscal policy because of their desire to achieve their fiscal goals, which they have been relatively successful in reaching so far, as stated by a Treasury spokesman who said: "… the government's commitment to deficit reduction has helped maintain market confidence". A way for the UK to ease their fiscal policy and subsequently increase demand would be to cut taxes, which would allow households to have a higher level of disposable income and firms would be incentivized to invest more because of the rising domestic demand.  
Silvia Capizzi

BBC News - Portugal reveals tough 2013 budget - 0 views

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    The Portuguese government has revealed the details of its draft budget for 2013. It is said to be one of the harshest in the country's recent history.  The Portuguese government has spent a significantly greater amount than the total revenue, and is therefore experiencing a budget deficit. Due to this deficit, government is forced to borrow money from the public, thus increasing its budget deficit even further, and ultimately increasing their total national debt.  The government was already granted a 78 billion- euro bailout last year, which has still not accounted for their budget deficit. Therefore, the Portuguese government was forced to make some huge changes in the economy,.  As stated in the article, the government will have to borrow money from the public through average income taxes, which will increase from 9.8% to 13.2%. Furthermore, they will have to cut spending worth up to 2.7 billion euros next year, which includes laying off 2% of the countries 600.000 public sector employees.  Moreover, the Portuguese government has decided to cut their spending by not raising social security contribution next year from 11% to 18%.  According to Vitor Gaspar,finance minister, this budget would allow Portugal to reduce its budget deficit to 4.5% in 2013.  Ultimately hoping to achieve the European Union target of 3% of GDP. 
Nils Armin van Willigenburg

Luxembourg's Juncker Defends 2013 Budget - 0 views

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    Luxembourg's Prime Minister Jean-Claude Junker is defending the newly released budget bill, in place for 2013. The bill set in place plans to invest more money into the consolidation package, in place to consolidate Luxembourg's budget. A 1.8% increase in government spending, in relation to the budget set in 2012, is put forth to remove any divergence from the country's stability and growth. Juncker stressed that although the recent financial crisis which has caused a recession in Luxembourg over the past 4 years, the bill will insure that Luxembourg's deficit will be lower in 2013 than 2009. Juncker says that in 2013, Luxembourg's deficit will be at 4.3%.  Juncker says the reason Luxembourg has come into deficit is the investment of 200 million Euros into Luxembourg's employment fund. Furthermore, the increase of unemployment isn't beneficial to the countries current financial situation.  He does not plan to raise VAT, as some countries in the EU such as the Netherlands have recently done to fill part of their deficit. This would only harm economic recovery and affect the country's low-income earners.  Juncker's ultimate goal is to make Luxembourg debt free by 2014. The minister promised that the government would try their very best to achieve this goal, while still being aware that the economic development of Luxembourg remains "extremely fragile".
Silvia Capizzi

Brussels set to unveil EU growth plan - FT.com - 0 views

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    This article discusses the changes which European Union officials are planning for the future in order to ensure economic growth. One of the changes mentioned are the Spanish borrowing costs which will be pushed up to their highest levels for four months. In the short-run this will mean less spending from consumers, but in the long run will ensure a significant decrease in debt. Furthermore, they have called on national governments to "implement a series of job-creating policies". These include cutting labor-related taxes, as well as shifting the burden to property, energy and emission levels. These particular changes will cause a rightward shift in aggregate demand as there is an increase in government spending. Moreover, countries will be forced to lift remaining restrictions on worker movement within the EU, which will allow for more employment. This will also cause a rightward shift in aggregate demand because there will be more employed workers and therefore amount of consumption will increase as more people will be able to spend more money.  Overall, this article shows improvements for the future which will increase aggregate demand of the EU. 
Silvia Capizzi

German Unemployment Rises for a Fifth Month Amid Crisis - Bloomberg - 0 views

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    According to this article, Germany's unemployment had increased for a fifth month in august. The unemployment rate is currently at 6.8%. This increase in unemployment was a consequence of the European debt crisis, which had severely decreased demand for exports, causing companies to hold back on investments.  These two factors have therefore decreased both aggregate demand (net exports decrease) and aggregate supply (decrease in investments). Therefore fewer jobs are required as less output is being demanded. This is shown by the numerous job cuts which have occurred throughout Germany. "Siemens AG (SIE) said on Aug. 27 it will cut 500 jobs at its German factories making industrial gear boxes and clutches by 2016, citing slack demand".   However, the article states that the unemployment rate is still the lowest it has been for the past two decades, and meanwhile wages are rising. This increase in wages is boosting consumer spending, therefore causing an increase in aggregate demand, which should eventually allow for aggregate supply to increase, and therefore increasing the need for workers.  Moreover, although unemployment has risen in Germany, it still does not yet compare to the 8.2% unemployment of the US, the 10.8% in Italy, and the euro-area average of 11.2%. 
Tania Plan

Irelands employment rate increases, despite 'tide of emigration' - 0 views

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    Ireland's high current unemployment rate of 14.9 percent is a result from its economic situation : Ireland is in a recession. The article clearly stipulates this, there is a 'recession in the real domestic economy'. The recession arose from the housing bubble : mortgages were cheap, people overborrowed and then the high housing prices fell so that people were less wealthy and no longer able to pay their mortgages. Wealth is a determinant of AD. It is the added value of all assets or stocks. If wealth or perceived wealth increases, then so will a household's consumption of goods, thereby shifting demand, as the household feels 'wealthier' or able to purchase more. The reverse is also the case, when wealth declines, demand declines, such as in Ireland. The Irish were much less willing to consume goods, as they believed they were less wealthy or had less money( which they eventually did , upon having to pay mortgages; debt), and so consumption decreased, which thus shifted aggregate demand into a demand slide recession. This is a situation where prices in a nation inflate and output decreases, due to the lesser demand. If less is being produced, less factors of production are required. Thus labor, a major factor of production is no longer required in the economy, which gives firms the incentive to lay off many of their workers. This is the unemployment Ireland is experiencing. It is interesting that the article also depicts the  'austerity drive'  that the Irish government resulted to in the recession.  As it correctly suggests, this is 'self defeating', as during a demand slide recession the Keynesian policy follows that the government should not save its funding, but rather spend. In a time of recession, the government should spend,  so as to decrease unemployment stimulate the economy. If the government spends, this will have a multiplier effect through the economy, as it provides income to households ( by spending, the government employs labor), where househo
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