Copper end use trends

Even the environmentalists who addressed the final day of an OPEC seminar acknowledged oil was a fuel for the future, with oil, gas and coal expected to account for around 80 percent of the world's energy until 2030.

The Policy Brief for a Global Green New Deal, developed by economists and the UN ahead of the G-20 meeting of world leaders in London in early April, highlights the benefits of investing a significant amount of the $3 trillion-worth of global stimulus packages in five areas. According to a news release issued by the UN Environment Programme (UNEP), these areas include raising the energy efficiency of old and new buildings, as well as renewable energies including wind, solar, geothermal and biomass.

The world economy is set to shrink by between 0.5% and 1.0% in 2009, the first global contraction in 60 years.

Chief executives from Europe's biggest energy companies have urged EU leaders to take swifter action to support low-carbon electricity, as member states tried to overcome differences on a €5bn ($6.6bn, £4.7bn) proposal to bolster energy infrastructure.

Shell will no longer invest in renewable technologies such as wind, solar and hydro power because they are not economic, the Anglo-Dutch oil company said today. It plans to invest more in biofuels which environmental groups blame for driving up food prices and deforestation

Investment in network infrastructure can boost long-term economic growth in OECD countries. Moreover, infrastructure investment can have a positive effect on growth that goes beyond the effect of the capital stock because of economies of scale, the existence of network externalities and competition enhancing effects.

Due to a major contraction in orders intake, Wieland-Werke announced that it will introduce short-time working for 3,450 staff. Earlier plans of the company considered short-time working for 1,100 out of its 4,300 employees in Germany. The decision is attributed to very weak demand across all regions and industries, especially the automobile, electronics and construction sectors. As a result, impacted staff will work 20% less than normal.

The research result is interesting in that polymer-protected metal particles can also be used in various electronics applications: various kinds of intelligent patterns can be printed on paper that, in the future, may replace components such as electronics boards.

The world's metals producers are still looking to China as the panacea for all ills with the often expressed hope that the country's need to support the domestic metals smelting, refining and steel industries will be the saviour of this sector and supply sufficient demand to support prices in the West. Consequently Chinese data are followed intensely and the latest information suggests that copper, iron ore and steel demand are holding up well - indeed increasing substantially - while aluminium is flat and zinc and lead suffering. But Chinese data requires interpretation and can be misleading as pointed out by Macquarie's Bonnie Liu in her latest China Commodities Weekly research note, and she concludes that there has to be some doubt that the latest extremely strong figures can be maintained. The notes below are abstracted from Macquarie's latest China Commodities Weekly and give us some considerable food for thought.

Scientists attending the "Climate Change: Global Risks, Challenges & Decisions" summit in Copenhagen that wrapped up today have released the six key conclusions reached by participants:

Chinese imports of copper and copper products in February increased by 42% m-o-m to 329,311 tonnes. Bloomberg reported that this is the highest increase in inbound shipments since 2003. LME copper prices have jumped by 19% since the beginning of the year, reaching US$3,667 per tonne on March 10th. Copper prices have been supported by optimism regarding the Chinese and the US government spending packages. Infrastructure projects will boost the demand for copper semis, especially cables and tubes.

Dave O'Reilly, chief executive of Chevron, said the oil-rich countries that erected barriers to international oil companies amid the run-up in commodity prices were now seeking their expertise in managing the drastic fall. "They're back now looking for [our] investment,'' Mr O'Reilly told Chevron's annual analysts' meeting. The high prices had led countries such as Venezuela and Russia to raise barriers to the international oil companies, which have gone from control of 85 per cent of the world's oil reserves in 1970 to less than 10 per cent now. With prices on the rise, these countries did not feel they had to be as careful with their resources; some began managing their own oil and gas and failed to reinvest adequate profits to maintain production.

SEOUL (Reuters) - South Korea, Asia's third-largest base metal buyer, plans to boost its strategic aluminum and copper reserves by 46 percent and 23 percent respectively this year, in anticipation of higher prices and demand when the economy recovers.

Unable to retrench like their unregulated counterparts, utilities are investing more than they were just a few years ago while paying record spreads over risk-free rates for financing. At the same time, revenues are under pressure due to softening power prices and an economically driven drop in demand. The past three months have seen a 1.8 per cent drop in US power usage versus the same period a year ago, according to the Edison Electric Institute. Adding insult to injury, Macquarie Research reckons regulators might become less generous when setting rates since compressed Treasury note yields may be used to justify a lower regulated return on equity.

What we're seeing now is an anti-bubble. It's across the entire economy, and in fact cleantech appears to be more insulated than many other sectors, but people just aren't putting money out there.

Chinalco Luoyang Copper Co., Ltd. is working on a 100ktpy high-precision copper plate, sheet and strip (PSS) project. According to a survey carried out by Antaike, the project is expected to start operations at the end of 2009. Upon completion of the project, the company will have 200ktpy copper PSS output capacity. In 2008 Luoyang Copper produced 70,000 tonnes of copper PSS and 20,000 tonnes of copper wirerod and copper tube.