Group items tagged

"The copper industry is already facing substitution challenges from materials like aluminium and needs to use technology to help ensure larger-scale, more permanent switches are not made, industry participants said. A group of panelists at the Metal Bulletin and American Metal Market Copper Seminar in New York on Wednesday June 6 said that while technology is clearly an opportunity for the industry, there are still some risks. According to Freeport McMoRan vp sales and marketing Steve Higgins, much of the "easy substitution" - such as plumbing tube or transformer lines - has already happened. "Substitution is less than 2% of refined demand today… It's a bit troubling, but it happens," he said. "The bigger worry is that aluminium is going to make inroads into products that have high switching costs - ACR tubing, motors, or into some medium to high voltage power cables and the like that the manufacturers have to go in and put in a lot of capital costs to convert. Once converted, switching back becomes "extraordinarily difficult," he said. "That's the biggest risk to our market as I..."

"The retirement of experienced copper industry executives and the lack of trained technical replacements is helping to drive substitution and is likely to lead to more mergers and acquisitions as the industry adapts, senior industry executives said. A group of panelists at Metal Bulletin-American Metal Market's copper seminar in New York this week said that the copper sector needed to be far more proactive in attracting new talent and ensuring the gap in the professional supply chain is filled. "One thing that is driving substitution is the retirement of engineers that were very tied into the thought that copper wiring was the only alternative and that aluminium was unsafe," said Stu Thorn, CEO of Southwire. Thorn said the idea that aluminium was unsafe "almost became a psychological obsession" despite the development of new technologies to make it safe. "Now that generation of engineers is retiring, the new generation coming up doesn't necessarily have that same level of bias [towards copper], but what they do have is the drive to make more money, to reduce costs, and find cheaper alternatives," he told the seminar. "There is a shift..."

Bill Baldwin -- Baldwin Anthony -- Analyst When we see the price of aluminum in relation the price of copper become more favorable for aluminum, does that show up in your demand for aluminum fairly quickly or not at all or over a period of time? Daniel Jones -- Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer Well that's been debated over time. We prefer Encore Wire consistently and will continually prefer to ship and sell copper. That's just the way it is. The aluminum piece of that that you're referring to is a substitution depending on the relationship between the cost of each. Normally if aluminum is more expensive so is copper and vice versa. When copper gets to a certain dollar amount, there's no question that in the conversation the substitution question comes up. There are other costs involved with that most of the time. It's not a new scenario, but it doesn't necessarily increase the demand for aluminum beyond what the increase in the demand of copper would be. But it does enter into the conversation in the quote stage pretty early on when copper gets really expensive about what would it take to substitute aluminum for this piece of copper. And so in that, it's definitely in the conversation.

An official from SDI La Farga LLC's said on 11th December that the company is producing limited amounts of wirerod at its new US $39M plant in New Haven, Indiana. The new facility, a joint venture between Spain's La Farga Group and Steel Dynamics Inc, produces wirerod from number 2 scrap copper rather than cathode. The company official said "we've produced quality rod and are in the process of getting approval of customers and we have done so with several customers." He added that plant officials are "waiting for more customer orders to start producing more".

Anhui Jincheng, the Shanghai-listed producer of copper PSSF, said on 26th March that it produced 93,872t of copper PSSF in 2012, a 13% y-o-y increase from 2011. Despite the increase in output, the company made a net loss of RMB57M in 2012 from a profit of RMB24M in 2011 (loss of US$9M from a profit of US$3.8M). Remarking on the results the company said that "uncertainties in the global economy, the euro debt crisis, plus the weak Chinese economy, has negatively impacted demand by the downstream processing sector last year."

Talking at the annual CESCO/CRU World Copper Conference, CRU Principal Consultant Vivienne Lloyd said that up to 2Mt of copper demand could be lost over the next five years due to substitution and consolidation amongst Chinese semis producers. Lloyd said that the areas under the greatest threat from substitution are the automotive wiring harness sector and the HVAC sector. However, CRU believes that the aluminium/copper price ratio is likely to have peaked in 2012 at around 4:1, and will fall back gradually to 2017 reaching 3:1, which should relieve some of the substitution pressures.

There is a high voice that it is urgently necessary to map out some measures to reduce the demand for copper substitute materials and restore the substituted demand for copper in the domestic market

"In economic terms what are the substitutes and compliments to copper? "

"Besides an imbalanced market, renewed U.S. dollar strength could also weigh on copper prices. Additionally, there is also the rising threat of substitution over the long term. Nomura's Jones estimates around 75% of demand could be at "medium or high risk" of substitution." In many instances, copper could be replaced by aluminum, which is markedly cheaper than copper even after adjusting for differences in conductivity. Jones sees air conditioning and auto manufacturing as key areas where the compelling economics of aluminum pose a major threat to copper demand."

Amid continuing occurrence of a phenomenon to substitute other materials for copper in the global market for copper, demand for about 5 million tons for copper has been substituted by the use of other..

"'Aluminium is competing strongly with other metals and its unique characteristics have seen it make significant inroads as a substitute for steel and copper, along with strong growth in its own markets,' he said."

" Aluminum has replaced copper in many of the gadgets sold in India like cooling equipment among other uses. Aluminum to copper substitution in India is catching up with a great space."

"What's happening in the electricity market in China is a big driver because aluminum is getting substituted for copper in certain scenarios"

"The primary demand for increased consumption is expected to come from the power sector, where aluminium is a cheaper, lightweight substitute for copper in transmission and distribution, it said. Power distribution companies and government are planning investment of Rs. 4.3 lakh crore over the next five years to expand the transmission and distribution networ"

The copper network is decaying, but who cares, its being substituted for mobility. Our research showed that across 2010 and 2011, looking at almost 100,000 fixed lines, that 21 per cent of these fixed lines had no call traffic at all.

"SHANGHAI, Jun. 5 (SMM) -Speculation is running high that aluminum will replace copper in wire & cable now that China's new standards for aluminum alloy cable will take effect September 1. However, the new standards will do little in boosting aluminum applications in wire & cable, Shanghai Metals...... "