Group items tagged

Instead, America's consumption binge drew support from two major asset bubbles-property and credit. Courtesy of cheap and freely available credit, in conjunction with record housing price appreciation, consumers tripled the rate of net equity extraction from their homes, from 3 percent of disposable personal income in 2001 to 9 percent in 2006. Only by levering increasingly overvalued homes could Americans go on the biggest consumption binge in modern history. And now those twin bubbles-property and credit-have burst, and so has the US consumption bubble: real consumer spending fell at an unprecedented 3.5 percent average annual rate in the two final quarters of 2008. While the original excesses were made in America, the rest of the world was delighted to go along for the ride. With the United States lacking in internal saving, it had to import surplus savings from abroad in order to grow-and ran massive current-account and trade deficits to attract that capital. This fit perfectly with the macro-imbalances of the export-led developing countries of Asia, whose exports exceeded a record 45 percent of regional GDP in 2007-fully ten percentage points higher than their share ten years earlier, in the depths of the Asian financial crisis. China led the charge, taking its exports from 20 percent, to 40 percent of its GDP over the past seven years alone. The export-led growth in developing Asia could well be described as a second-order bubble-in effect, a derivative of the one in US consumption.

What we're seeing now is an anti-bubble. It's across the entire economy, and in fact cleantech appears to be more insulated than many other sectors, but people just aren't putting money out there.

The recent collapse in commodities prices, and correspondingly even greater falls in the values of commodities stocks, is, ironically, leading towards another global commodities bubble

Green Energy and Green Optimism. We're all blogging brothers. Watch it and blog!

Over the past month, most favoured mining equity sectors copper, nickel and aluminium have overshadowed gold, but platinum equities are on the bubble.