Can you solve the false positive riddle? - Alex Gendler | TED-Ed - 0 views
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Juan José López on 18 Aug 18Mining unobtainium is hard work - the rare mineral appears in only 1% of rocks in the mine. But your friend Tricky Joe has something up his sleeve. The unobtainium detector he's been perfecting for months is finally ready, and it returns accurate readings 90% of the time. But can it really be trusted? Alex Gendler explains the false positive paradox and the base rate fallacy. View full lesson here: https://ed.ted.com/lessons/can-you-solve-the-false-positive-riddle-alex-gendler Want to find out how to win Monopoly using probability? Read this article to learn how to sharpen your board game skills with probability: http://mentalfloss.com/article/64314/math-hacks-will-give-you-edge-monopoly Why do we fall for false positives even though they're common? This piece breaks down the mathematical paradox: https://www.newscientist.com/article/2100273-why-do-we-fall-for-false-positives-even-though-theyre-common/ This scientific article describes the real-world influence of posterior probability: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4441123/ Subtítulos en español. Duración 4:20.