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Jérôme OLLIER

Port congestion and container freight rate dynamics: forecasting with an RBF neural net... - 0 views

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    With its safe and efficient characteristics, container transportation has become vital for advancing the global economy. However, port congestion has become a significant obstacle to the container freight price system's stability. There is currently no dependable engineering solution to guarantee the stability of the maritime transport system in a port congestion scenario. Therefore, decision-makers must comprehend the changing characteristics of the container freight index in the context of port congestion. Using the Shanghai container freight index as a proxy, this paper investigated the effect of port congestion on container freight rates, proposing a container freight index forecasting model. This study compiled congestion data from the Shanghai, Busan, Los Angeles, and New York ports from January 1, 2016 to January 1, 2023, to predict a Shanghai container freight index (SCFI). With its high-precision fitting effect, the RBF neural network effectively predicted the change in SCFI, and the R2 reached 96%. We also confirmed the transfer effect of SCFI using the time-lag correlation model in a large congestion environment. The research results give container shipping organizations a decision-making foundation for planning shipping strategies and mitigating market risk.
Jérôme OLLIER

Optimization of green-pricing strategies for two-sided marine freight platforms with ne... - 0 views

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    Two-sided marine freight platforms attract massive participation from shippers and carriers through efficient matching of shipping demand and capacity resources. While intensifying market competition has driven these platforms to prioritize greenness level alongside pricing strategies, adopting hybrid revenue models (e.g., commission rate and membership fees), their operational dynamics under network externality and multihoming effects remain underexplored. This paper establishes three platform scenarios (monopoly, competitive single-homing, and competitive multihoming) and investigates the optimization of green-pricing strategies. The results demonstrate that: A monopoly platform maximizes profit under low commission rates, whereas in competitive multihoming scenarios, one platform dominates by strategically sacrificing its rival's profit; High freight rate consistently favors monopolistic platforms regardless of transaction frequency, while low freight rate enables Pareto optimality through single-homing on both sides; When shippers exhibit low sensitivity to greenness level and weak network externalities, competitive multihoming emerges as optimal. These findings provide actionable insights for platform differentiation, green-pricing governance, and sustainable competition in evolving digital freight markets. This study provides a decision-making framework for optimizing the operations of marine freight platforms in sustainable market environments.
Jérôme OLLIER

Analysis of influencing factors and prediction of China's Containerized Freight Index -... - 0 views

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    China, as a major maritime nation, the China Containerized Freight Index (CCFI) serves as an objective reflection of the Chinese shipping market and an important indicator for understanding China's shipping industry globally. The shipping market is a complex ecosystem influenced by various factors, including vessel supply and demand, cargo supply and demand relationships and prices, fuel prices, and competition from substitute and complementary markets. To analyze and study the state of the Chinese shipping market, we selected the CCFI as an indicator and collected data on six factors that may affect the overall shipping market. These factors include "the China Coastal Bulk Freight Index(CCBFI)", "the Baltic Dry Index(BDI)", "the Yangtze River Container Freight Index", "Global: Aluminum (minimum purity of 99.5%, London Metal Exchange (LME) spot price): UK landed price", "Major Ports: Container Throughput", and "Coal Price: US Central Appalachia: Coal Spot Price Index". Then, we constructed an analyticaland predictive framework using Deep Neural Network (DNN), CatBoost regression model, and robust regression model to study the CCFI. Based on the R2 results of the three models, it is evident that DNN provides the best analytical and predictive performance for the CCFI, accurately forecasting its changes. Additionally, the robust regression model indicates that "Global: Aluminum (minimum purity of 99.5%, LME spot price): UK landed price" has the greatest impact on the CCFI. Finally, from a business perspective, we provide some suggestions for China's container shipping industry.
Jérôme OLLIER

Northern Sea Freight Traffic Volume Surges - @ShipNews - 0 views

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    Northern Sea Freight Traffic Volume Surges.
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    Northern Sea Freight Traffic Volume Surges.
Jérôme OLLIER

Record freight volume for port of Antwerp - @HELLENICSHIP - 0 views

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    Record freight volume for port of Antwerp.
Jérôme OLLIER

ROLLS-ROYCE Drone Ships Challenge $375 Billion Industry: Freight - BLOOMBERG - 0 views

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    ROLLS-ROYCE Drone Ships Challenge $375 Billion Industry: Freight.
cara smith

Ocean freight - 0 views

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    Overseas shipping - Overseas shipping company for all world class international shipping. International shipping company for Ocean freight, shipping containers, overseas removals and shipping to Eastern Europe, Australia & Pacific Rim, North Africa & Mediterranean, etc.
Jérôme OLLIER

DFDS Orders New Freight Ferry - @ShipNews - 0 views

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    DFDS Orders New Freight Ferry.
Jérôme OLLIER

Scot Govt Takes Over Two Freight Ferries - @ShipNews - 0 views

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    Scot Govt Takes Over Two Freight Ferries.
Jérôme OLLIER

UK Scraps #Brexit Ferry Deal with Seaborne Freight - @worldmaritimene - 0 views

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    UK Scraps Brexit Ferry Deal with Seaborne Freight.
Jérôme OLLIER

Antwerp Port Container Freight Up By 2.5% - @ShipNews - 0 views

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    Antwerp Port Container Freight Up By 2.5%.
Jérôme OLLIER

Compound Effects of Flood Drivers, Sea Level Rise, and Dredging Protocols on Vessel Nav... - 0 views

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    Maritime transportation is crucial to national economic development as it offers a low-cost, safe, and efficient alternative for movement of freight compared to its land or air counterparts. River and channel dredging protocols are often adopted in many ports and harbors of the world to meet the increasing demand for freight and ensure safe passage of larger vessels. However, such protocols may have unintended adverse consequences on flood risks and functioning of coastal ecosystems and thereby compromising the valuable services they provide to society and the environment. This study analyzes the compound effects of dredging protocols under a range of terrestrial and coastal flood drivers, including the effects of sea level rise (SLR) on compound flood risk, vessel navigability, and coastal wetland inundation dynamics in Mobile Bay (MB), Alabama. We develop a set of hydrodynamic simulation scenarios for a range of river flow and coastal water level regimes, SLR projections, and dredging protocols designed by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. We show that channel dredging helps increase bottom ('underkeel') clearances by a factor of 3.33 under current mean sea level and from 4.20 to 4.60 under SLR projections. We find that both low and high water surface elevations (WSEs) could be detrimental, with low WSE (< -1.22 m) hindering safe navigation whereas high WSE (> 0.87 m) triggering minor to major flooding in the surrounding urban and wetland areas. Likewise, we identify complex inundation patterns emerging from nonlinear interactions of SLR, flood drivers, and dredging protocols, and additionally estimate probability density functions (PDFs) of wetland inundation. We show that changes in mean sea level due to SLR diminish any effects of channel dredging on wetland inundation dynamics and shift the PDFs beyond pre-established thresholds for moderate and major flooding. In light of our results, we recommend the need for integrated analyses that account for compound
Jérôme OLLIER

New canal construction and marine emissions strategy: a case of Pinglu - @FrontMarineSci - 0 views

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    As an important component of new western land-sea corridor, the construction of Pinglu Canal will effectively alleviated waiting time and congestion costs and enhance the reliability and resilience of the regional maritime transport network in the post-pandemic era in particular. From the perspective of competition and cooperation game, this paper investigates typical transportation routes from the port of Jakarta in Indonesia to the port of Nanning in China from the key factors of the changes in freight volume and the evolution of profits and subsidies, considering local government subsidies, environmental costs, marine emissions and other critical factors. The results demonstrated that in the centralized strategies adopted by two transport route operators, as the volume of goods transported through Pinglu Canal increased, so the corresponding profits increased. The increase in subsidies also contributed to generating the volume of freight through Pinglu Canal, but the social welfare under the decentralized strategy adopted by both transport route operators was more effective than that of the centralized strategy.
Jérôme OLLIER

Fewer ships plying East African waters raises freight rates 45pc - @SeaNews_Tr - 0 views

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    Fewer ships plying East African waters raises freight rates 45pc.
Jérôme OLLIER

China's shipping bankruptcies likely to surge as dry-bulk rates plunge - report - @Reuters - 0 views

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    China's dry-bulk shipping industry will likely see a surge in bankruptcies this year as freight rates hit record lows and the country's demand for imports wanes, consultancy Shanghai International Shipping Institute (SISI) said.
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    China's dry-bulk shipping industry will likely see a surge in bankruptcies this year as freight rates hit record lows and the country's demand for imports wanes, consultancy Shanghai International Shipping Institute (SISI) said.
twingschina

China Freight Forwarder News,reviews - 0 views

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    some articles for freight forwarder industry
Jérôme OLLIER

Via @MaRRitimeShip - Anti-Theft Technology Improves as Freight Thieves Step Up Their Ow... - 0 views

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    Will 2017 be a Happy New Year for Supply Chain Criminals with 3D Printers?
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