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anonymous

Venezuela: A Deeper Look at the Electricity Crisis - 0 views

  • Venezuela is in the midst of a severe electricity crisis, with its national electrical grid so stressed that it could, according to the Venezuelan National Electric Corporation (CORPOELEC), be headed for a nationwide system failure within the next two months.
  • (click here to enlarge image) The center of gravity of Venezuela’s electricity crisis is the Guri dam, which, along with the nearby Francisco Miranda and Antonio Jose de Sucre dams, provides about 70 percent of the nation’s electricity.
  • Only 37 percent of electricity users have been following rationing plans, according to a recent CORPOELEC study. Questionable government estimates place the reduction of public-sector use at 23 percent and private sector use at 5 percent since 2009.
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  • Indeed, the director of one state-owned electricity subsidiary has resorted to company-wide prayer vigils to end the crisis.
  • Venezuela is not at that break point, but the red line is clearly in sight. Isolated protests across the country have broken out over the blackouts and could spread as the situation deteriorates. Meanwhile, political challengers to Chavez, such as Lara state Gov. Henri Falcon, appear to be sensing an opportunity and are positioning themselves for a potential break from within the regime. The stakes are high in this electricity crisis, and without a clear short-term resolution in sight, the proven resilience of the Chavez government will undergo a serious test in the coming weeks.
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    A StratFor article from March 23, 2010.
anonymous

Obama's Pending Foreign Policy Agenda - 0 views

  • As this major domestic issue moves out of the spotlight, it will free up some time for Obama to address other items, such as foreign policy. Several issues will require his presidential attention
  • The United States sees a glaring trade imbalance with the Chinese as the biggest roadblock standing in the way of more rapid economic growth, while Beijing views Obama’s new export initiative with caution.
  • Iran: The country that had the most potential to draw the United States into yet another Middle East war during Obama’s first year in office is happy to watch from the sidelines as Israel struggles on the Iranian and Palestinian fronts vis-a-vis the United States.
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  • Israel: The Tuesday meeting scheduled to take place in Washington between Obama and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will occur when American-Israeli relations are at one of the lowest points they have been in years, perhaps decades.
  • Russia: One country that has been delighted to read about the United States’ problems with China and Iran is Russia. It has seized the opportunity to operate in its near abroad and continue upon its mission of resurging into the former Soviet periphery.
  • Russia knows that U.S. commitments in the Middle East will not last much longer, and with the possibility of a more foreign policy-focused American president who can more actively resist Russian advances now on the table, Russia may see a need to speed up the course of events.
  • Possibly seeking to exploit the growing rift between the United States and Israel are the Palestinians, Iranians and Hezbollah.
  • It is with these reports in the backdrop that Netanyahu will go to the White House on Tuesday. Normally, meetings by visiting heads of state are accompanied by photo-ops and press conferences designed to put a happy face forward for the cameras and the world. Tuesday’s meeting will reportedly lack such trappings. This indicates that Obama wants to carefully control the image of this first battery of talks as he emerges from the sphere of domestic politics to face a list of pending foreign policy issues.
  • China: The recent tensions between the United States and China could possibly flare into a full-blown trade war in the coming months.
anonymous

Iridium - the satellite phone always rings twice - 0 views

  • In the nineties, Iridium spent $5 billion of Motorolas and other investors money on developing and deploying a revolutionary satellite phone system: 72 satellites were put into Low Earth Orbit through 15 flawless rocket launches in a time-span of a little over a year in 1997-1998. The system was brilliant and worked exactly as designed. The only problem was that the design hadn’t taken into account the realities of Planet Earth below.
  • Iridium became one of the most spectacular business failures ever seen. The bankruptcy hit in 1999, just a few months after this ad ran, and there was even crazy talk about sending the satellites head first into the atmosphere where they would burn up. In the end it was decided not to do that, and instead sell the assets to a group of investors for a mere $25 million. Compare that to the $5 billion invested.
  • In the years since the restructure of Iridium, the new owners have focused on the part of the business that actually made sense: Providing sat-phone coverage not to consumers, but to rescue-workers, humanitarian organizations, military, security, shipping-companies etc. And now, they’ve launched a bold new plan: Iridium NEXT.
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    A great look at the Iridium company, who ran ads in Wired Magazine back in the day. From Wired Re-Read (focused on Wired 07.03 in March 1999).
anonymous

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Rumors of a Third Intifada - 0 views

  • While the United States and Israel attempt to sort out the thorny issues of East Jerusalem settlement building and how to prevent a nuclear-capable Iran, Hamas and Fatah back in the Palestinian Territories are trying to cobble together a unified — and possibly militant — response to Israel, with some likely nudging from Iran.
  • While Hamas would prefer an intifada to be waged from rival territory in the West Bank, Fatah would like Hamas to initiate conflict through rocket fire targeting southern Israel, thus inviting the bulk of Israeli retaliatory action to the Hamas-controlled Gaza Strip and sparing Fatah most of the damage.
  • The overall goal is thus to exploit the breach in the U.S.-Israeli relationship to reunify the Palestinian leadership and encourage Israeli military action in the territories that would further undermine Israel’s diplomatic efforts in building a coalition against Iran. While this is by no means an intifada, or popular uprising in the traditional sense of the word, it does point to another potential crisis in Israeli-Palestinian relations that would consequently complicate U.S. designs for the region.
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    March 22, 2010.
anonymous

Stepping off the narrow path of reality - 0 views

  • You might think that believing in Santa Claus is a lot sillier than believing in homeopathy, but really they’re the same: they’re both fantasy.
  • For support in this thesis of mine, I present to you an article in the New York Times about how politicians who attack evolution legislatively are now also attacking global warming.
  • But the other reason I’m not surprised is that, over the past decade or so in particular, we’ve seen the far right promote fantasy over reality. Abstinence-only education, creationism, global warming denialism, defunding stem cell research, the mocking of volcano research, fruit fly research, planetarium star projectors.
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  • It shows to me that once you buy into one flavor of candy-coated nonsense, they all start to taste pretty good.
anonymous

Embracing the Anthropocene - 0 views

  • The Earth has entered a new geological period in which human influence dominates the state of the planet, compounding uncertainty about the future.
  • Crutzen and Stoermer made the case that the Holocene, the geological epoch that had held sway on Earth for the past 12,000 years, was at an end. In its place, with a start date pegged to the late 18th century commercialization of James Watt’s steam engine, was the Anthropocene, an epoch defined by the influence of humanity’s collective actions.
  • For humans, adjustments to a warming world can be divided into three categories: mitigation, adaptation, and remediation.
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  • Now, a study in this week’s PNAS reinforces that even those geoengineering schemes that have a history of scientific testing can still have surprising consequences.
  • If some consensus is reached by the individuals at Asilomar, then the early spring of 2010 may be seen in hindsight as the time when, for better or worse, humanity decided to truly embrace or reject the Anthropocene—and all its chilling, sublime implications. Amid the inevitable theatrics next week, both sides would do well to pause and remember that.
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    Tagline: "The Earth has entered a new geological period in which human influence dominates the state of the planet, compounding uncertainty about the future." By Lee Billings, Seed Magazine, March 19, 2010.
anonymous

Did Culture, Not Biology, Develop Humanity's Sense of Fair Play? - 0 views

  • in a new study published in Science, scientists studying groups of people from different societies have suggested that our sense of fairness may depend on the type of society we live in.
  • Lead researcher Joseph Henrich observed that members of smaller groups were unwilling to punish selfish behavior and were willing to keep much of the money for themselves. This may be because smaller communities lack the social norms or informal institutions like markets and religion, causing them to have narrower concepts of fairness.
  • However critics argue that in the absence of cultural context, the tests seem weak. Terming the games an “artificial situation,” evolutionary game theorists Martin Nowak and David Rand pointed out that college students are “used to [such] concepts and hunter-gatherers aren’t. Who knows how they’re understanding the game?”
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    From Discover Magazine Blogs, by Smriti Rao on March 22, 2010.
anonymous

U.S., Mexico: A Mission to Meet with Calderon - 0 views

  • The United States has allocated nearly half a billion dollars worth of counternarcotics aid for Mexico under the Merida Initiative, but the situation south of the border continues to deteriorate. While there has been an increase in cooperation between the two countries, there is still much room for improvement, and corruption and political issues (mostly on the Mexican side) still stand in the way.
  • Two of the people killed in Juarez were U.S. citizens employed at the consulate, some of the latest victims in the increasingly violent Mexican drug wars, which have killed more than 18,000 people since Calderon took office in 2006.
  • There is one way that the United States could avoid relying on Mexican communication networks — actually helping to conduct countercartel operations.
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  • So far, the possibility of allowing U.S. personnel to actually operate on the ground in Mexico has been completely out of the question. Mexican politicians and civilians alike reject the idea as a direct violation of Mexico’s sovereignty, and the Mexican government has refused to budge from this position. Nevertheless, embedding U.S. intelligence analysts and operatives in the Juarez intelligence center suggests there may be some room to maneuver on this issue.
anonymous

U.S., Israel: Netanyahu Goes to Washington as Tensions Rise - 0 views

  • In the ongoing struggle between the Palestinians and the Israelis, it is important to note the difference between armed conflict and intifada. The former involves factionalized clashes with Israel primarily in the form of gunbattles and Israeli airstrikes in which Israel, while taking a diplomatic hit, is able to inflict great damage on one faction, (e.g., Hamas in Gaza) to the benefit of another faction (Fatah in the West Bank). An intifada, however, is a sustained, collaborative uprising against Israel that involves ordinary Palestinian citizens and is agreed on by competing factions.
  • Hamas has a strategic interest in encouraging an intifada from the West Bank, where Israel occupies territory and thus presents a target for attacks and where Hamas’ main rival Fatah is politically entrenched.
anonymous

Turkey: The Pursuit of Energy and Azerbaijan - 0 views

  • Turkey’s near-term energy strategy consists of diversifying its energy supplies and becoming a hub between the energy-rich east and the energy-hungry west.
  • Energy is one of the pillars of Turkey’s re-emergence as a regional geopolitical force to be reckoned with.
  • Kazakhstan is currently bound tightly to the Kremlin and Turkmenistan, while expressing an interest in Nabucco remains extremely hesitant to risk Moscow’s wrath by committing to such a project. This leaves Azerbaijan as Turkey’s best option.
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  • Turkey has alienated its longstanding ally Azerbaijan due to its ongoing talks over normalizing ties with Armenia.
  • Before Turkey can successfully woo Azerbaijan, however, it will have to deal with Russia.
  • Azerbaijan is likely to continue using the Shah Deniz project to balance its two main suitors despite Turkey’s best efforts to tie the knot.
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    More on the growth of Turkey's influence. From March 19, 2010
anonymous

Intelligence Guidance (Special Edition): Israel - 0 views

  • While in the immediate future, Washington isn’t going to do what Israel wants on Iran, the close relationship with the United States represents a long-term foundation of Israeli national security and a huge psychological foundation for the Israeli public.
  • On the other hand, and not to be ignored, was the firing of Qassam rockets at Israel and the death of a Thai. Rocket fire is another red line in Israeli politics, and it is enormously difficult for Netanyahu not to respond. But a response at this moment would really exacerbate relations with the United States.
  • The thing to study now is Washington. Is Washington going to cut Netanyahu some slack and get him off the hook domestically, or will it squeeze him, forcing a political crisis in Jerusalem? Washington has the power to do just that. But Washington loses all power if there are further rocket attacks and it insists that Israel do nothing. Washington has the initiative now: Netanyahu has handed Obama a big present. What will Obama do with it and how far will he press it?
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  • Something is clearly happening with Hamas as well.
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    From March 18, 2010. A look at Israel's predicament.
anonymous

Objectivism & Politics, Part 45 - 0 views

  • They never can nor never will be instituted in reality, because there are too many rooted sentiments and vested interests that stand against them. In a “free” country where people are allowed to develop their own political opinions without fear persecution from the state, wide divergences of political ideology inevitably arise. A democratic nation is an unworkable committee, governed by competing elites of divergent views. The only way to get anything done is through compromise.
    • anonymous
       
      Readers of Ayn Rand should be familiar with her feelings on "compromise" or "pragmatism."
  • An organization, to wield any sort of political influence, must be large. Yet this requires having a “big tent,” i.e., accepting as many people as possible.
  • the greater the party, the more compromises that have to be made on ideological grounds to keep it together. The more people you try to appeal to, the more you have to dilute and widen your ideology.
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  • Orthodox Objectivism is one of the most purest ideologies on the current scene. Yet this very purity condemns Objectivism to obscurity and political impotence.
    • anonymous
       
      This paragraph reminds me of an observation I made as my interest with Objectivism was on the wane: While there is a great difference in the ideology, the *approach* to Objectivist ideology has much in common with a Fundamentalist Christian.
  • Because of this ideological purity, Objectivists have no effective political will and therefore no sense of responsibility. They can advocate any measure, make any claim, without ever worrying about empirical refutation. Empirical testing, when possible, is always the best way to check the truth of any idea, political or otherwise. When such testing is not possible, the human fancy can reach any conclusion it pleases, without fear of contradiction or embarrassment. This is one reason why fringe political groups with no power often believe the strangest things: they never have to worry about reality refuting their whacky ideas, because those ideas will never be tested.
  • Being placed in a position of responsibility, where one must bear the full burden of failure, often sobers people up. Which leads to the question: would Objectivists be sobered up if they were suddenly thrust into a position of responsibility?
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    The next in Greg Nyquist's interminable coverage of the unreality of Objectivism.
anonymous

Right Mind - 0 views

  • Fox News is awash in experts like Ablow: retired judges, generals, or CIA agents willing to serve as well-credentialed sidekicks for the network’s roster of demagogues. But what makes Ablow so valuable to the network are those two little letters after his name, M.D. He can stamp his medical imprimatur--he’s “America’s psychiatrist,” according to himself--on just about any right-wing political narrative.
  • “If I seem to say things with certainty, it comes from being able to register underlying truths that I feel very clearly about,” he says. “I don’t accept that these ideas have to be relegated to analysts’ couches or therapists’ basement offices. That’s the stuff of stigma.”
  • “I learned a long time ago that to talk about things four years from now was folly.” He’s right, of course, but, when the time comes to make up his mind, Ablow probably won’t keep his audience waiting long for an answer.
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  • Glenn Beck’s show, despite its apocalyptic trappings, is as touchy-feely a show as there is. Nobody on cable news cries as much, emotes as extravagantly, or leans as heavily on the vocabulary of personal betterment. In fact, it’s hard to imagine another talk-show host more in need of a resident mental-health professional.
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    "Meet Glenn Beck's shrink" and groan beneath your breath...
anonymous

Right Mind - 0 views

  • Fox News is awash in experts like Ablow: retired judges, generals, or CIA agents willing to serve as well-credentialed sidekicks for the network’s roster of demagogues. But what makes Ablow so valuable to the network are those two little letters after his name, M.D. He can stamp his medical imprimatur--he’s “America’s psychiatrist,” according to himself--on just about any right-wing political narrative.
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    "Meet Glenn Beck's shrink" and groan beneath your breath...
anonymous

Flux=Rad - 0 views

  • The Pavement reunion and the end of baby boomer cultural hegemony.
  • How will we know when baby boomers have lost control of American popular culture?
  • "Greatest. Indie-est. Band. Ever." The headline belongs to the latest issue of GQ, with apologies to The Simpsons' Comic Book Guy.
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  • It's such an icky boomer-like exercise, obsessing over your own demise," a pal told Shafer back in 2005, when he surveyed some of his younger friends about the potential signs of a coming cultural rebellion. True. And boomer self-satisfaction is such that we will probably have to pry the mic stand out of Mick Jagger's sinewy, scarf-draped hands before passing it to a younger generation.
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    A great article by Zach Baron about the coming eclipse of Boomer culture.
anonymous

Can nuclear power make a comeback? - 0 views

  • The happy consensus did not last long. It was already breaking down by the nineteen-seventies, and by the late eighties it was gone, obliterated by the accidents at Three Mile Island, Pennsylvania, in 1979 (where no one was killed), and at Chernobyl, Ukraine, in 1986 (which caused thousands of deaths). But the giant anti-nuclear demonstrations of the time, in Europe and America, were fuelled at least as much by fear of nuclear war as by fear of nuclear reactors.
  • Such founding fathers of the environmental movement as Stewart Brand, the creator of the Whole Earth Catalog, and Patrick Moore, an early stalwart of Greenpeace, now support nukes. James Hansen, the head of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies and a climate-change prophet, favors the so-called fourth-generation nuclear systems, which would substantially reduce the amount of nuclear waste. Hans Blix, the former U.N. chief weapons inspector, is another supporter. So, within limits, are liberal senators like John Kerry and Barbara Boxer. And so is President Obama.
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    Hendrik Hertzberg looks at whether nuclear power can make a comeback in the U.S. Thanks to 3 Quarks Daily for pointing this one out (http://bit.ly/bFUiEq)
anonymous

Fending Off Digital Decay, Bit by Bit - 0 views

  • As research libraries and archives are discovering, “born-digital” materials — those initially created in electronic form — are much more complicated and costly to preserve than anticipated.
  • archivists are finding themselves trying to fend off digital extinction at the same time that they are puzzling through questions about what to save, how to save it and how to make that material accessible.
  • Leslie Morris, a curator at the Houghton Library, said, “We don’t really have any methodology as of yet” to process born-digital material. “We just store the disks in our climate-controlled stacks, and we’re hoping for some kind of universal Harvard guidelines,” she added.
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  • Mr. Rushdie started using a computer only when the Ayatollah Khomeini’s 1989 fatwa drove him underground. “My writing has got tighter and more concise because I no longer have to perform the mechanical act of re-typing endlessly,” he explained during an interview while in hiding. “And all the time that was taken up by that mechanical act is freed to think.”
  • At the Emory exhibition, visitors can log onto a computer and see the screen that Mr. Rushdie saw, search his file folders as he did, and find out what applications he used. (Mac Stickies were a favorite.) They can call up an early draft of Mr. Rushdie’s 1999 novel, “The Ground Beneath Her Feet,” and edit a sentence or post an editorial comment.
    • anonymous
       
      This is very cool. I'm intrigued by this sort of thing because central to my frustrations is the impossibility of understanding the zeitgeist of a period.
  • To the Emory team, simulating the author’s electronic universe is equivalent to making a reproduction of the desk, chair, fountain pen and paper that, say, Charles Dickens used, and then allowing visitors to sit and scribble notes on a copy of an early version of “Bleak House.”
  • The heart of the lab is the Forensic Recovery of Evidence Device, nicknamed FRED, which enables archivists to dig out data, bit by bit, from current and antiquated floppies, CDs, DVDs, hard drives, computer tapes and flash memories, while protecting the files from corruption.
anonymous

Why did it take so long for humans to have the Industrial Revolution? - 0 views

  • More generally, extended periods of economic growth require that technologies of defense outweigh technologies of predation.  They may also require that the successful defender, at the same time, has good enough technology to predate someone else and accumulate a sizable surplus.
  • The Greeks had steam engines, proto-computers, and brilliant philosophers and writers, but still they did not come close to a breakthrough. One question is how long the Roman Empire would have had to last to generate an Industrial Revolution
anonymous

Living On a New Earth - 0 views

  • Forget banking and the automotive industry. Earth is the one system that is truly “too big to fail.”
  • Those fixes could slow environmental degradation but might not solve the underlying cause. That culprit, according to Middlebury College scholar in residence Bill McKibben, is the very driver of modern society: a relentless quest for economic growth. In an exclusive excerpt from his upcoming book, McKibben argues that we must give up growth and reorganize based on smart maintenance of resources. Critics say the idea is unrealistic; staff editor Mark Fischetti challenges him to respond. 
anonymous

Ten sites named in £4bn UK marine energy project - 0 views

  • The heavy Atlantic swell and some of the world's strongest tides are to be harnessed by a breakthrough scheme to generate clean marine energy off northern Scotland, with predictions it will rival the output of a nuclear power station.
  • In most cases, the utility companies have formed joint ventures with four of the UK's leading marine energy firms, covering small areas of sea with up to 200 machines. They use a variety of techniques to capture the energy of the ocean.
  • Another tidal machine, SeaGen, features two underwater propellers attached to a tall column anchored to the seabed.
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  • OpenHydro, a large underwater turbine resembling a jet engine and bolted to the sea floor, is built by Cantick Head Tidal and will harness the firth's fierce tides at a 200MW site south of Orkney.
  • The devices deployed will include the Pelamis "sea snake", which uses the undulations of the sea surface to generate power, and the SeaGen tidal machine, which looks like an underwater wind turbine. In total, the machines will be able to produce up to 1.2GW of "green" energy, more than Dungeness B nuclear station in Kent.
  • The narrow sea channel has some of the most powerful currents and tidal surges in the world, with speeds up to 16 knots or 19mph recorded. The area also experiences some of the biggest waves in the UK.
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