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Hans De Keulenaer

As China's Rare Earth R&D Becomes Ever More Rarefied, Others Tremble -- Stone 325 (5946... - 0 views

  • China was late to join the race to develop novel rare earth materials, elements that are essential constituents of everything from iPods to Patriot missiles. But Western observers agree that China is catching up fast in areas such as fuel cells and magnetic refrigeration. Today, about three-quarters of the world's neodymium magnets are made in China. Domestic industrial demand is rising: Last year, China consumed 60% of all processed rare earths. That unnerves some industry analysts and U.S. legislators, who have expressed concern about China's dominance of the rare earth supply. Last year, China satisfied 95% of global demand—now about 125,000 tons per year—and holds more than half of all proven reserves. In 2005, prices started creeping up when China began to limit production and slap export tariffs on some rare earths. In a policy paper last month, China's Ministry of Industry and Information Technology floated the idea of prohibiting export of three scarcer rare earths: europium, terbium, and dysprosium. If the Chinese government were to implement such a policy, it would be a big problem for other countries.
dianaobrecht

EV's and Hybrids are not our future - Emerging Technology Corporation, Green Division - 3 views

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    Any comments. What about rare earth minerals? Anyone have any more articles about the impact of rare earth on future energy sustainability?
Hans De Keulenaer

UBS-Article.pdf - 0 views

  • We found that the EV powertrain is $4.6k cheaper to produce than we thought and there is more cost reduction potential left. Consumer cost of ownership (TCO) parity vis-à-vis combustion engine (ICE) cars can be reached from 2018 (first in EU), creating an inflection point for demand.
  • Our detailed analysis of moving and wearing parts has shown that the highly lucrative spare parts business should shrink by ~60% in the end-game of a 100%-EV world, which is decades away.
  • EVs are an opportunity for tech companies because the electronics content in the Bolt is $4k higher than in an ICE car, excluding the battery.
  • ...3 more annotations...
  • Commodities-wise, we detected the highest deviation in weight shares between the Bolt and ICE car in copper, aluminium, battery active materials and rare earths.
  • Highest impact on markets for aluminium, copper, battery active materials, rare earths (all positive) and platinum group metals (negative).
  • Therefore, the cost difference (not the retail price difference) between the Bolt and the VW Golf, which we consider an equivalent ICE car, appears set to shrink to $2.3k.
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