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Alexei Goudzenko

China, not U.S., key to global oil demand - The Globe and Mail - 0 views

  • But as the U.S. continues to pare back its oil consumption, other economies will seek a bigger share of the pie from a near static world oil supply. With power shortages spreading in China and Japan, as well as India and Pakistan, demand for diesel fuel is soaring in power-starved Asia.
  • With little, if any usable excess capacity in OPEC, world crude demand is already on the verge of outpacing world supply. In the resulting zero sum world, conflicting trends in oil consumption between the world’s two largest oil consumers, the U.S. and China, will not be the exception but the norm.
  • If the Chinese economy is going to continue to increase its oil consumption by 10 per cent a year, another economy will have to cut back its oil consumption by a comparable amount to make room for the increase in Chinese demand. More and more, that place looks like America.
Mike Seo

Canada firms may miss Chinese market - 1 views

  • If Canada's energy firms don't start exporting to China now, others might beat them to it, according to an Enbridge Inc. vice-president.
  • They argued the window of opportunity to sell to China won't always be open largely due to competition and the chance the world's second largest economy may cease growing at its current staggering pace - reducing the money its investors can spend.
  • Colombian oil producer Ecopetrol plans to shift the majority of its oil exports from the United States to Asia in a decade due to higher sales profitability on the latter continent.Enbridge is on a similar quest.The company is seeking regulatory approval for its $5.5-billion Northern Gateway pipeline project to connect Canadian oilsands and natural gas fields to the West Coast, where liquefied natural gas could be shipped to Asia.
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  • As some 300 million to 400 million people annually move from rural to urban China, the country becomes richer and people consume more, Abbott said, noting power consumption in 2010 of 3,248 terawatt hours should grow to 4,510 terawatt hours in 2015.
Alejandro Enamorado

ROHAC: Income inequality doesn't matter - Washington Times - 1 views

  • income inequality is not a useful measure. Measures of inequality tell us nothing about the living conditions of the poor, their health and their access to economic opportunity.
  • one should think primarily about lifting developing countries out of poverty rather than about reducing income disparities in wealthy countries.
  • Focusing on income inequality rather than drivers of poverty, obstacles to economic opportunity and systematic injustice obscures what really works and what does not in the realm of economic policy
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  • Putting in place restrictions on executive bonuses, taxing financial transactions and corporate profits does little to mitigate the flawed incentives that have led to exuberant financial booms. A genuine solution would consist of eliminating bailout guarantees to the banking sector, thus reducing the existing incentives for gambling with other people’s money.
  • the rise of cheap imports from countries such as China and new forms of large-scale retailing, epitomized by Wal-Mart and Sears, which have given the low-income groups access to goods that previously were enjoyed only by the rich. In terms of the actual material conditions of living, developed countries appear to be more equal than ever before.
  • growth of executive remuneration in the financial industry cannot be dissociated from a cozy relationship that has long existed between policymakers and bankers
Benjamin Gray

Energized by growth, China enters U.S. talks with confidence - The Globe and Mail - 0 views

  • At the same time, America’s biggest foreign creditor wants assurances that its $1.2-trillion in U.S. Treasury holdings are safe despite uncertainty in Washington over how much money the U.S. can borrow to pay its bills. If Congress fails to increase that borrowing limit before August, that would likely send interest rates soaring and reduce the value of those Chinese investments
  • China’s expanding economic might will give it greater leverage now.
Noah Schafer

Election sealed corporate tax cuts; Canada needs more - The Globe and Mail - 0 views

  • The election determined only that corporate tax rates won’t go up. It did not determine that they won’t go down – as, almost certainly, they will – through the next four years.
  • The average rate in 28 of the member countries of the OECD is 20 per cent.
  • In the campaign, the government asserted correctly that Canada’s corporate tax rate was the lowest in the G7. This, alas, wasn’t saying much. Four of the G7 countries have the four highest corporate tax rates in the world: U.S. (39.2 per cent); Japan (35.5 per cent); France (34.4 per cent); and Germany (30.2 per cent).
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  • Canada’s rate (at this moment, 27 per cent).
  • As Canada trimmed, the world trimmed, too: 75 countries aggressively cut corporate tax rates in the past decade. China’s corporate tax rate is 20 per cent – discounted to 15 per cent for companies that invest in strategically important industries.
  • combined federal-provincial statutory tax rate of 25 per cent, won’t
  • The “Bowles-Simpson Plan,” proposed by President Barack Obama’s commission on fiscal reform, suggests a federal rate of 28 per cent. The Wyden-Gregg Plan, proposed by Democratic and Republican legislators, suggests 24 per cent. The China-OECD Plan, advanced by the non-partisan U.S. Tax Foundation, suggests 20 per cent
  • These rates are federal rates and don’t include corporate rates levied by the states: nominally, on average, 6.6 per cent; in fact, on average, 4.2 per cent. Thus a U.S. federal rate of 20 per cent (the China-OECD Plan) would produce a comprehensive “America rate” of 24.2 per cent
  • Canada’s goal assumed an “America rate” of 39.3 per cent: a competitive advantage for Canada of 14.3 percentage points.
  • when you add the federal rate and the average provincial rate (19 plus 12.5), you have a “Canada rate” of 31.5 per cent – the fourth-highest rate in the world: and twice as high as China’s most competitive rate.
  • The Conservative government took a lot of heat for incrementally lowering Canada’s corporate tax rate.
Peter Shishkov

Commodity prices rise amid economic turbulence - 0 views

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    Lately, oil price is extremely volatile due to disappointing economic data from the US and eurozone, uncertainty about a potential debt-restructure in Greece and weaker oil demand from the US, China and Japan. Gasoline demand is expected however to pick up in the coming weeks as Americans take to the road for their summer holidays. On the New York Mercantile Exchange, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) or light sweet crude for July climbed to $100.35 a barrel from $97.41. Gold and Silver remain to be the safest investments during problematic economic times. As a result the precious metals have increased in price: on the London Bullion Market, gold jumped to $1,533 an ounce from $1,491 the previous week; Silver rose to $37.69 an ounce from $34.80.
Heshani Makalande

Canadians to get rate hike reprieve - Moneyville.ca - 0 views

  • The Bank of Canada is widely expected to leave its key benchmark interest rate unchanged next Tuesday — and may even sit on the sidelines until September, economists say
  • Even if the central bank leaves its overnight rate unchanged at 1 per cent next week, it’s likely to again warn consumers that the clock is ticking: interest rates will be going up; it’s just a matter of when.
  • “One per cent is not normal. Everybody realizes that. Rates will go up,”
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  • Late last year, and even at the beginning of 2011, economists were certain that the Bank of Canada would start increasing its overnight rate this spring. That was pushed to the summer amid continuing worries about the health of the U.S. economy.
  • Now more economists are expecting that the central bank will take a pass at its July policy meeting as well, and begin raising rates in the fall.
  • The central bank is nervously contemplating the continuing European debt restructuring, attempts by China to tame inflation, the impact that will have on commodity prices, and the still-fragile recovery in the U.S.
  • In particular, the U.S. may be susceptible to supply chain disruptions as a result of the earthquake and tsunami in Japan, and the resulting nuclear disaster
  • “The second quarter didn’t start well and the earthquake will weigh on the rest of the quarter. For now Q2 is not looking that great, and when the U.S. doesn’t do well, it affects Canada as well,” Rangasamy said.
  • In Canada, the economy is still expected to expand by a healthy 3.2 per cent in 2011 and 3.1 per cent in 2012, according to the Royal Bank of Canada. Inflation also remains tame, thanks in part to a buoyant loonie.
  • The central bank has been anxious to raise interest rates in order to keep a lid on household debt, which has reached record levels in Canada.
Molly Fraser

Pricey oil fuelling dirtier projects - 3 views

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    It has often been said that even without a price on carbon there will be a meaningful shift to renewable energy sources once global oil supply peaks.
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    So, has there been a mad rush to invest in cleaner, relatively more affordable alternatives to oil? Not really - it's been more like a casual stroll, even though such alternatives are highly competitive with oil above $100 (U.S.) a barrel.
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    Roberts is vice-chairman of renewable energy investments within CIBC's wholesale banking group. He says the big petroleum companies are making some investments in green energy, such a solar, wind and biofuels, but it's a "drop in the bucket" compared to the money being spent on the exploration, drilling and extraction of unconventional - i.e. heavy - oil.
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    Until there is a meaningful price on carbon in North America and China, oil companies will continue along this path. They'll go further, deeper and thicker. They'll take on more financial risk and take more chances with the environment. They'll scrape the bottom of the barrel, and they'll make generous profits doing it.
Kevin Yeo

U.S. will be Canada's top export market in 2040 - The Globe and Mail - 0 views

  • Canada has spent years -- and a considerable amount of money -- trying to convince exporters to look beyond the mighty U.S. market and seek customers in fast-growing emerging economies, such as China, India and Brazil.
  • And to some extent, it’s worked. The United States accounted for 75 per cent of total exports last year, down from 85 per cent in the mid-1990s.
  • But a new forecast of long-term export trends by the Department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade suggests the United States will still be our dominant merchandise export destination in 2040, grabbing virtually an identical share as today, at 75.5 per cent.
Lok-Hin Yuen

CTV News | With temporary workers, flexibility's the name of the game - 1 views

  • Weak business confidence coming out of the global credit crisis is playing a major part in keeping jobless rates at painful levels – U.S. unemployment is nine per cent while Canada is stuck above 7.5 per cent in large part because companies are wary of hiring long-term.
  • Canada’s employment-services industry is mostly temporary staffing along with permanent placements and contract staffing, according to Statscan. Revenue has climbed steadily in the past decade, and employment in the sector has jumped six per cent in the past year alone, to 158,000 people.
  • But as the industry grows around the world – staffing firms are expanding in Europe and in emerging markets such as India and China – there’s an intensifying debate over the merits of an increasingly fluid work force. Proponents say it helps both employers and workers be nimble in globally competitive markets; opponents argue it’s part of a shift toward precarious, lower-pay work.
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  • Temporary workers tend to earn less than permanent staff, they get little or no benefits and many can be fired without notice
  • The earnings gap between a permanent and a contract worker is about 13 per cent, while between a permanent and casual worker the gap is about 34 per cent
  • Labour is typically a company’s most expensive cost, and a contingent labour force helps reduce costs
  • What staffing agencies dub “flexible” work, unions call “precarious.”
  • With the recession and the resulting slackness, employers are in a position where they can offer no security, no benefits, unreliable hours and lousy pay – and still have people apply. And that will persist until either the labour market picks up or we put some restrictions in place on how precarious employment works
  • Lower pay leads to weaker consumer spending, restricts workers’ ability to get a mortgage and makes it more difficult to save for the future.
  • $8.7-billionRevenue from temp industry in Canada in 2009 (up from $1-billion in 1993).158,000Number of Canadians employed in temp services in the past year, up six per cent from year earlier.13%Estimated earnings gap between a permanent worker and a temporary contract worker.
Kiruban Mahadeva

The Canadian Press: Time for U.S. to deal with debt problem; spillover could hurt Canad... - 1 views

  • concerned about the mounting level of debt in the United States and its potential to slow Canada's recovery
  • when debt exceeds 90 per cent of GDP, economic growth will slow, and that is a situation facing most of Canada's major trading partners, particularly the U.S
  • as markets lose patience with the pace of deficit reduction, the result will be higher interest rates that impact all
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  • It's a transformation that sees emerging markets like China bound forward while advanced countries — Canada's traditional economic partners — muddle along through years of slow growth because of massive debt.
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