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Contents contributed and discussions participated by Mike Seo

Mike Seo

Jobless rate to be at or above 7% through 2014, TD warns - The Globe and Mail - 1 views

  • Canada's jobless rate is projected to be 7.7 per cent this year, down from the 2010 level, and will ease gradually to 7.4 per cent in 2012, 7.2 per cent in 2013, and 7 per cent in 2012, Toronto-Dominion Bank economists said Tuesday in a new forecast.
  • Noting Canada's stronger-than-expected economic growth to date, TD economists said in a new quarterly report that they expected more modest growth for the rest of this year and next. "The end to federal government stimulus remains a wild card to the outlook in the second half of 2011," they said.
  • "We have incorporated a moderate drag on growth as stimulus programs are set to expire in March of this year. However, there is a risk that government spending could contract much more significantly in the second half of 2011."
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  • the share of mortgage in arrears 90 days or more continued to climb through 2011.
Mike Seo

Canadian pork export market threatened - Community News Blog - 3 views

  • The president of Canada Pork International warns the lack of a Canada-South Korea free trade agreement threatens to cost Canada a pork export market worth over 100 million dollars a year.
  • Representatives of the Canadian pork industry have asked Prime Minister Stephen Harper to become directly involved in getting free trade discussions back on track.
  • Canada pork International president Jacques Pomerleau says Canada’s trading partners in South Korea have warned, without a free trade agreement, Canada will be out of that market within two years.
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  • We have to remember that Korea is a very price sensitive market and the fact that there’s no plan for Canada to have a free trade agreement.
Mike Seo

Canada firms may miss Chinese market - 1 views

  • If Canada's energy firms don't start exporting to China now, others might beat them to it, according to an Enbridge Inc. vice-president.
  • They argued the window of opportunity to sell to China won't always be open largely due to competition and the chance the world's second largest economy may cease growing at its current staggering pace - reducing the money its investors can spend.
  • Colombian oil producer Ecopetrol plans to shift the majority of its oil exports from the United States to Asia in a decade due to higher sales profitability on the latter continent.Enbridge is on a similar quest.The company is seeking regulatory approval for its $5.5-billion Northern Gateway pipeline project to connect Canadian oilsands and natural gas fields to the West Coast, where liquefied natural gas could be shipped to Asia.
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  • As some 300 million to 400 million people annually move from rural to urban China, the country becomes richer and people consume more, Abbott said, noting power consumption in 2010 of 3,248 terawatt hours should grow to 4,510 terawatt hours in 2015.
Mike Seo

Canada exporters face headwinds, new minister says | Reuters - 1 views

  • the strong currency and growing competition from emerging economies could stall the country's export growth.
  • Canada's trade-reliant economy has fully recovered from the recession but growth has been restrained by the exchange rate with the U.S. dollar, which erodes exporter competitiveness.
  • The central bank chief and finance minister have been hounding businesses to find ways to compete with the new normal of a currency on par with the U.S. dollar. These include investing in new technologies and taking other steps to outperform global competitors.
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  • Perrin Beatty, chief executive of the Canadian Chamber of Commerce and a former Conservative cabinet minister, warned Canada's dismal productivity rate, which he said is about 25 percent below that of the United States, was the biggest problem facing exporters.
Mike Seo

Sharp export drop squeezes trade surplus - The Globe and Mail - 1 views

  • Exports tumbled 4.9 per cent in February, outpacing a 4-per-cent drop in imports and slicing the country’s trade surplus to just $33-million, trade figures showed Tuesday.
  • Canadian export levels remain 19 per cent below their peak of July, 2008.
  • The sharp drop in February’s trade volumes “portends a slowdown in the Canadian economy in the second quarter of 2011 – a slowdown connected with less robust growth in the U.S., as well as major disruptions to North American vehicle output as a result of critical parts shortages from Japan,” said Brian Bethune, chief economist for Canada at IHS Global Insight.
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  • The surplus narrowed in February, on lower exports of crude petroleum and cars, from a revised $382-million, Statistics Canada said Tuesday. Economists polled by Bloomberg had expected a surplus of $500-million.
  • Both imports and exports fell. Exports tumbled 4.9 per cent after four straight months of growth while imports slid 4 per cent.
  • Import volumes, meanwhile, fell 4.3 per cent while prices rose 0.2 per cent. Again, most of the drop was due to lower volumes in autos and energy. Exports to the United States fell 3.5 per cent after four months in a row of growth. Imports fell 6.1 per cent, leaving the surplus at $4.6-billion. Exports to countries other than the United States fell 8.5 per cent amid lower shipments of precious metals to the European Union. Energy exports fell 8 per cent, led by a drop in crude “reflecting higher inventories in the United States,” the agency said. That follows a 71-per-cent increase in crude exports from September to January.
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