Skip to main content

Home/ Lo mejor de la Blogosfera Educativa/ Group items tagged prediction

Rss Feed Group items tagged

Luciano Ferrer

Civilisation peaked in 1940 and will collapse by 2040: the data-based predictions of 1973 - 0 views

  •  
    "In 1973, near the height of the 'population bomb' panic, a computing programme called World1 offered up some predictions for the future. It anticipated a grim picture for humanity based on current trajectories. Tracing categories such as population, pollution and natural-resource usage, World1 calculated that, by 2040, human civilisation would collapse - a century after the best year to have been alive on the planet: 1940. This film was originally broadcast by the Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) News as part of a report on predictions for the coming decades made by cutting-edge computing technology and leading thinkers of the time. The second segment features interviews with members of the Club of Rome, an elite think tank composed of government officials, academics and business leaders focused on the future of humanity. Their view is a bit sunnier, anticipating a world where global governments are forced to cooperate to solve complex problems, people widen their cultural horizons and work fewer hours, and limited consumption - not wealth - becomes a mark of prestige. Viewed today, it makes for an engrossing artifact, raising far more questions than it answers about humanity's ability to effectively predict its future and correct its course."
Luciano Ferrer

Exxon Predicted 2019's Ominous CO2 Milestone in 1982 - 0 views

  •  
    "... The prediction is a pretty damn good one. The world is now about 1 degree Celsius (1.8 degrees Fahrenheit) warmer than it was and carbon dioxide levels are at 415 ppm. The estimate was part of Exxon's "high case" scenario, which assumed fossil fuel use would quicken and that the world would be able to tap new reserves in the late 2000s from at the time unreachable shale gas. The memo also warned that the extra carbon dioxide would enhance the greenhouse effect and that an "increase in absorbed energy via this route would warm the earth's surface causing changes in climate affecting atmospheric and ocean temperatures, rainfall patterns, soil moisture, and over centuries potentially melting the polar ice caps." Honestly, it gave me chills re-reading the memo 37 years later. The company clearly described all the horrors we're facing now. The only thing its scientists got wrong was that what they called "potentially serious climate problems" wouldn't emerge until the late 21st century. So much for that. ..."
Luciano Ferrer

1732: Earth Temperature Timeline - explain xkcd - 1 views

  •  
    "This comic is a timeline on how the temperature has changed from 20,000 BCE (Before Common Era) to the present day (2016), with three predictions for the rest of the 21st century depending on what actions are taken (or not taken) to stop CO₂ emission. This comic is a direct, but much more thorough, follow up on the previous global warming comic: 1379: 4.5 Degrees. By having readers scroll through millennia of slow-paced natural changes, Randall uses the comic to confront the the rapid temperature rise in the recent years. Over the past 100 years, human action has produced a large amount of CO₂ emissions, which have caused a rise in average global temperature through the greenhouse effect. This is called global warming and is part of a climate change, a subject that has become a recurrent subject on xkcd. There are still many people who claim that this is not happening, or at least that it is not caused by any human actions, called climate change deniers. One argument of theirs is that global warming is happening for natural causes, summarized with the phrase "temperature has changed before". "
Luciano Ferrer

El futuro no es eso que cuentan en las charlas TED - 2 views

  •  
    "Una nueva casta de gurús tecnológicos predica la inmortalidad, la felicidad eterna y la liberación del trabajo. Su "buena nueva" viene disfrazada de ciencia y financiada por grandes fortunas que pagan para que les cuenten lo que quieren oír. Pero las cosas quizá no sean como las cuentan los sacerdotes de la disrupción. Compartir en Meneame Enviar por email Comentar 33 19.07.2017 - 04:00 "Dentro de 20 años no habrá muerte, ni enfermedades, habrá tecnología para todos y desaparecerán los límites del conocimiento: nadie volverá a decir 'yo no sé'". Si usted cierra los ojos y escucha las palabras de José Luis Cordeiro podría llegar a pensar que está en misa, a punto de llegar al relato de la resurrección. Pero no está escuchando las promesas de un sacerdote o un predicador, sino del gurú tecnológico de moda, que va de evento en evento como miembro fundador de la Singularity University y hace todo tipo de promesas en nombre de la ciencia, algunas disparatadas. "Yo personalmente no pienso morir. Es más, pienso que en 30 años voy a ser más joven que hoy, gracias a los avances de la ciencia y la tecnología", aseguraba en su famosa entrevista con Iñaki Gabilondo en el programa "Cuando yo no esté". "Vamos a crear una civilización post-humana que va a ser casi igual a Dios"."
1 - 5 of 5
Showing 20 items per page