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Sophia Wang

Definitions - 98 views

Alpha and Beta accutally have interesting meanings in business. Alpha 1. A measure of performance on a risk-adjusted basis. Alpha takes the volatility (price risk) of a mutual fund and compares it...

financial crisis definitions

Jasmine Ding

Raters Ignored Proof of Unsafe Loans, Panel Is Told - NYTimes.com - 0 views

  • Yet, Clayton found, Wall Street was placing many of the troubled loans into bundles known as mortgage securities.
  • The Massachusetts attorney general recently accused Morgan Stanley of deceptive practices in its financing of mortgage lenders during this period, saying that the firm had knowingly placed dubious mortgages into securitized pools. Morgan Stanley settled with the attorney general in June and paid $102 million. The facts in that case relied on Clayton reports of loan quality commissioned by Morgan Stanley.
  • According to testimony last week, from January 2006 to June 2007, Clayton reviewed 911,000 loans for 23 investment or commercial banks, including Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, UBS, Merrill Lynch, Bear Stearns and Morgan Stanley.
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  • The statistics provided by these samples, according to Mr. Johnson and Vicki Beal, a senior vice president at Clayton who also testified before the inquiry commission, indicated that only 54 percent of the loans met the lenders’ underwriting standards, regardless of how stringent or weak they were.
  • Some 28 percent of the loans sampled over the period were outright failures — that is, they were unable to meet numerous underwriting standards and did not have positive factors that compensated for their failings. And yet, 39 percent of these troubled loans still went into mortgage pools sold to investors during the period, Clayton’s figures showed.
  • At Goldman Sachs, 19 percent of loans failed to make the grade in the final quarter of 2006 and the first half of 2007, but 34 percent of those loans were still sold by the firm. Throughout this period, Goldman Sachs was also betting against the mortgage market for its own account, according to documents provided to government investigators.
  • A Goldman Sachs spokesman said the percentage of deficient loans that went into its pools was smaller than Clayton’s average, indicating that the firm had done a better job than its peers. Because these loan samples were provided to the Wall Street investment banks that commissioned them, they could see throughout 2006 and into 2007 that the mortgages they were financing and selling to investors were becoming increasingly sketchy.
  • A more proper procedure, analysts said, would have been for lenders like these — New Century Financial and Fremont Investment and Loan among them — to buy back the problem loans and replace them with higher-quality mortgages. But because these companies did not have enough capital to do that, they were happy to sell the troubled mortgages cheaply to the brokerage firms.
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    "The commission, a bipartisan Congressional panel, has been holding hearings on the origins of the financial crisis. D. Keith Johnson, a former president of Clayton Holdings, a company that analyzed mortgage pools for the Wall Street firms that sold them, told the commission on Thursday that almost half the mortgages Clayton sampled from the beginning of 2006 through June 2007 failed to meet crucial quality benchmarks that banks had promised to investors. "
Apiraami Pathmalingam

Global Financial Crisis - 1 views

  • Global Financial Crisis
  • The City Uncovered with Evan Davis: Banks and How to Break Them (January 14, 2008), rating agencies were paid to rate these products (risking a conflict of interest) and invariably got good ratings, encouraging people to take them up.
  • Starting in Wall Street, others followed quickly. With soaring profits, all wanted in, even if it went beyond their area of expertise. For example,Banks borrowed even more money to lend out so they could create more securitization.
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  • Some banks loaned even more to have an excuse to securitize those loans
  • Running out of who to loan to, banks turned to the poor; the subprime, the riskier loans. Rising house prices led lenders to think it wasn’t too risky; bad loans meant repossessing high-valued property. Subprime and “self-certified” loans (sometimes dubbed “liar’s loans”) became popular, especially in the US.
  • Some banks evens started to buy securities from others.
  • Many banks were taking on huge risks increasing their exposure to problems. Perhaps it was ironic, as Evan Davies observed, that a financial instrument to reduce risk and help lend more—securities—would backfire so much.
  • The problem was so large, banks even with large capital reserves ran out, so they had to turn to governments for bail out.
  • As people became successful quickly, they used derivatives not to reduce their risk, but to take on more risk to make more money. Greed started to kick in. Businesses started to go into areas that was not necessarily part of their underlying business.In effect, people were making more bets — speculating. Or gambling.Hedge funds, credit default swaps, can be legitimate instruments when trying to insure against whether someone will default or not, but the problem came about when the market became more speculative in nature.
  • The market for credit default swaps market (a derivative on insurance on when a business defaults), for example, was enormous, exceeding the entire world economic output of $50 trillion by summer 2008. It was also poorly regulated. The world’s largest insurance and financial services company, AIG alone had credit default swaps of around $400 billion at that time. A lot of exposure with little regulation. Furthermore, many of AIGs credit default swaps were on mortgages, which of course went downhill, and so did AIG.
  • The trade in these swaps created a whole web of interlinked dependencies; a chain only as strong as the weakest link. Any problem, such as risk or actual significant loss could spread quickly. Hence the eventual bailout (now some $150bn) of AIG by the US government to prevent them failing.Derivatives didn’t cause this financial meltdown but they did accelerate it once the subprime mortgage collapsed, because of the interlinked investments. Derivatives revolutionized the financial markets and will likely be here to stay because there is such a demand for insurance and mitigating risk. The challenge now, Davis summarized, is to reign in the wilder excesses of derivatives to avoid those incredibly expensive disasters and prevent more AIGs happening.
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    This article provides an overview of the crisis with links for further, more detailed, coverage at the end (REALLY GOOD SITE)
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    This article states a very good point on how it could have been prevented.
Tina Lao

S&P to lower ratings on recent mortgage-backed securities | Marketplace From American P... - 1 views

  • Moodys, the credit rating agency, raised its earnings forecast today. It's going to do just fine thanks very much. Profits are expected to be up around 9 percent from a year ago.
  • Standard & Poor's announced it's going to lower its ratings on a whole bunch of mortgage-backed bonds.
  • Well this announcement is about ratings that they put on in 2010 and 2009, after the financial crisis, after they were supposed to take into account that housing crash that you may have heard of. And they are still making mistakes.
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  • messed up on almost 1,200 securities
  • They took bad bonds and then they re-bundled them and split them up again, just like the sort of magic stuff they did during the boom. And the rating agencies obligingly rated a big portion them triple-A. Now they're reassessing those, and they've already downgraded, some of these triple-As have gone into default, which is stunningly rapid and shouldn't really happen.
  • Wall Street banks pay for the ratings, and they know a lot more about the bonds that they put into these structures.
  • really care about market share, these rating agencies, and so what happens is that the Wall Street firms can go shopping for the most lenient ratings and that doesn't give the rating agencies much incentive to get it right.
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    Current situation of what is happening with ratings (not just a reflection on the past).
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    Haha I'll hopefully used this tomorrow. Poor Jeremy :)
Han Kyul Lee

Crisis Pie Infographic - 55 views

Rating agencies, sub-prime mortgage lenders and investment banks are DEFINITELY the biggest titles at fault. The main reasons have already been covered; rating agencies failed to rate the toxic ass...

financial crisis economics crisis blame Financial caused what pie infographic

Abdiwahab Ibrahim

Boom, Bust and Blame - The Inside Story of America's Economic Crisis - Global Recession... - 1 views

  • Millions of workers across all industries and sectors would lose their jobs.
  • we had spent, borrowed, and fooled ourselves into a false sense of security.
  • Government Seizes Fannie Mae And Freddie Mac
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  • Lehman Rocks Wall Street, Declares Bankruptcy
  • The Treasury Department and Federal Reserve watched Lehman implode, unable to predict the scope of the global financial damage that would follow.
  • While Lehman Brothers failed to find a buyer, Merrill Lynch succeeded
  • Merrill’s CEO Stan O’Neal was so fixated on the revenue generated by the mortgage business, he didn’t just want to securitize them, he wanted to originate them, too. So, in 2007, Merrill bought mortgage lender First Franklin.
  • Bank Of America Rescues Merrill From ExtinctionBy September 2008, Merrill Lynch was suffering huge mortgage-related losses.
  • Although Bank of America’s purchase of Merrill ultimately saved the company, the transaction later came under intense scrutiny because of larger-than-expected losses and controversial year-end bonuses paid to Merrill executives.
  • Fed Accused Of 'Cover Up' In BofA, Merrill Deal
  • “Too Big To Fail,” Feds Take Control Of AIG
  • Paulson And Bernanke Issue Dire Warning
  • Paulson requested $700 Billion from Congress for a program intended to buy toxic assets from banks and infuse financial institutions with capital
  • contained no rules and standards for oversight. Infuriated politicians
  • Washington Mutual, weighed down by mortgage-related losses, was seized by federal regulators and sold to JPMorgan Chase.
  • largest bank failure in U.S. history, caused by an old fashioned, Depression-like run on WaMu’s deposits, following rumors about the bank’s ability to survive. 
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged a record 778 points, its biggest drop in history.
  • Congress acted again. This time, lawmakers  approved the package, known as the Troubled Asset Relief Program. It included significantly greater oversight of the $700 Billion and more specific details on how it would be used to bolster the U.S. banking system.
  • Paulson’s “tough love” was a bitter pill for some bank bosses to swallow.
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    P9
Abdiwahab Ibrahim

Boom, Bust and Blame - The Inside Story of America's Economic Crisis - Inflating The Bu... - 0 views

  • Mortgages had become huge profit-generators for investment banks, which bought the loans from other banks and non-bank lenders, packaged them together, sliced them up, and sold them as securities.
  • Investors from Wall Street to Warsaw bought the securities with little or no knowledge they contained pieces of toxic loans made to high-risk borrowers--- loans that could default on homes that could go into foreclosure.
  • Because credit rating agencies gave them high grades, in many cases the valuable and respected AAA rating.
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  • some investors bought insurance policies called Credit Default Swaps, issued by companies such as AIG.  A CDS guaranteed an investor would not lose money, even on the riskiest asset, assuring a payment even if the underlying security defaulted.
  • Flush with billions, hedge funds and sovereign wealth funds gobbled up these CDOs.
  • One former Moody’s analyst says it was easy to “turn crap into Triple A.”
  • So Fannie and Freddie lowered their standards, just as the lenders had done. They began buying lesser-quality mortgages, including subprime loans, exactly the kind they avoided years earlier.
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    Part 3.
Han Kyul Lee

Sub-prime Bailout--banks, not homeowners - 2 views

    • Han Kyul Lee
       
      The collateral crisis - the collateral on a bank's balance sheets is not performing as well as they have announced. When homeowners are not paying their mortgages, banks that do hold these mortgages are not getting all the payments that they should be getting. The more loans that are not being paid off, the more trouble caused to these banks. Any mortgage-backed securities are in trouble because of the collateral crisis.
  • But why save Bear Stearns? The beneficiary of this bailout, remember, has often operated in the gray areas of Wall Street and with an aggressive, brass-knuckles approach. Until regulators came along in 1996, Bear Stearns was happy to provide its balance sheet and imprimatur to bucket-shop brokerages like Stratton Oakmont and A. R. Baron, clearing dubious stock trades.
  • Let’s not forget that Bear Stearns lost billions for its clients last summer, when two hedge funds investing heavily in mortgage securities collapsed.
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  • “Why not set an example of Bear Stearns, the guys who have this record of dog-eat-dog, we’re brass knuckles, we’re tough?” asked William A. Fleckenstein, president of Fleckenstein Capital in Issaquah, Wash., and co-author with Fred Sheehan of “Greenspan’s Bubbles: The Age of Ignorance at the Federal Reserve.” “This is the perfect time to set an example, but they are not interested in setting an example. We are Bailout Nation.”
  • But, who knows what those mortgages are really worth? According to Bear Stearns’s annual report, $29 billion of them were valued using computer models “derived from” or “supported by” some kind of observable market data.
  • And here is the unfortunate refrain.  Investors, already mistrusting many corporate and government leaders, were once again assured that nothing was wrong — right up until the very end. So is it any wonder investors react to every market rumor of an impending failure with the certainty that it’s true? In too many cases, the rumors turned out to be true, notwithstanding the attempts at reassurance by executives and policy makers.
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    Published March 16, 2008
Abdiwahab Ibrahim

Boom, Bust and Blame - The Inside Story of America's Economic Crisis - Financial Collap... - 0 views

  • Bear Stearns Stock Drops On Wall Street Rumors
  • the Fed announced a $29 Billion dollar loan to JPMorgan, which funneled the cash directly to Bear Stearns.
  • JPMorgan bought Bear Stearns, offering $2 per share.
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  • Bears Stearns was struggling, so was the Main Street retail bank Washington Mutual
  • Many more well-known companies would collapse
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    P8
Tina Lao

The Financial Crisis Blame Game - BusinessWeek - 5 views

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    A chain effect of the financial crisis.  Covers almost every player, their role, and why each player's faults are a dependent reaction to another part of the financial system.
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    Generally, it pulled out the conclusion that the financial crisis should mainly give blame to those politicians, Fannie and Freddie, and those investors, especially those who were in investment bank...
Jeff He

The Big Picture - 0 views

  • A nonfeasant Fed, that ignored lending standards, and ultra-low rates.
  • This nonfeasance under Greenspan allowed banks, thrifts, and mortgage originators to engage in all manner of lending standard abrogations.
  • "As Freddie Mac Chairman and CEO Richard Syron recently put it, the GSEs have been hit by a "100-year storm" in the housing market, accentuated by some higher-risk mortgages that they were forced to buy to meet government affordable-housing targets.
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  • • Competitors were "snatching lucrative parts" and market share away; • Between 2001-04, the subprime mortgage market grew from $160 to $540 billion • Between 2005-08, Fannie purchased or guaranteed at least $270 billion in loans to risky borrowers.  • By 2004, Fannie had lost 56% of its loan-reselling business to Wall Street; • Angelo Mozilo, Countrywide Financial CEO, the nation’s largest mortgage lender, threatened to end their partnership unless Fannie started buying Countrywide’s riskier loans; • Congress was pressuring for more loans to low-income borrowers; • Hedge fund managers and other investors pressured Fannie executives that the company was not taking enough risk in pursuing profits; • Like many other firms, Fannie’s computer systems did a poor job of analyzing risky loans; • Between 2005-07 -- afte rthe market's peak -- Fannie's acquisitions of mortgages with less than 10% down payments almost tripled; • Fannie expanded in hot real estate areas like California and Florida; • From 2004-06, Fannie operated without a permanent chief risk officer;
    • Jeff He
       
      Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were pressured into taking on high risk mortgages by several entities - congress, shareholders, and banks. 
Han Kyul Lee

Bear Stearns Funds' Failure Opened the Door to Credit Crash - 6 views

    • Han Kyul Lee
       
      The failure of the two hedge funds by Bear Stearns resulted in a bailout by extending to the funds emergency loans of $1.6 to $3.2 billion.
  • the Plunge Protection Committee and Bear Stearns senior executives hammered out an arrangement, whereby Bear Stearns would fork out $3.2 billion in loans—equivalent to one-quarter of the bank's $13 billion in capital—to the two hedge funds, and thus to their creditors, rather than allow the creditors to sell CDOs, and rupture the system.
    • Han Kyul Lee
       
      The Plunge Protection Committee and Bear Stearns have arranged Bear Stearns to fork out $3.2 billion in loans to the hedge funds.
  • the Plunge Protection Committee and Bear Stearns senior executives hammered out an arrangement, whereby Bear Stearns would fork out $3.2 billion in loans—equivalent to one-quarter of the bank's $13 billion in capital—to the two hedge funds, and thus to their creditors, rather than allow the creditors to sell CDOs, and rupture the system.
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  • If CDOs were shown in a large sale in the market to be worth half or less of their claimed or rated value, then this would expose the fact that most CDOs, especially those linked to subprime housing, were worth only 50 cents on the dollar. The holders of CDOs would have to devalue their holdings, and not just Bear Stearns, but all financial firms that hold CDOs. This would mean the write-down of hundreds of billions of dollars worth of fictitious CDO asset valuation, wiping out overnight the $2.6 trillion-plus CDO market, one of the fastest-growing parts of the financial bubble.
  • The failure of CDOs, and the associated credit derivatives, has the potential to rupture the $750 trillion-plus world derivatives market—a rupture which would instantaneously bring down the world financial system.
  • The failure has caused the near-freezing up of the highly risky $2.6 trillion Collateralized Debt Obligations (CODs) market.
  • On June 22, Bear Stearns investment bank announced that it intended to bail out two of its failing hedge funds, by extending to them between $1.6 to $3.2 billion in emergency loans—the latest twist in Wall Street efforts to prevent a full-blown mortgage securities market crisis.
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    From the July 6, 2007 issue of Executive Intellignece Review Notes: July 6, 2007 issue of Executive Intelligence Review -two hedge funds of Bear Stearns had failed, causing the $2.6 trillion CDOs market to nearly freeze up -Mortgage-backed losses caused another hedge fund by Caliber Global Investments -June 22, 2007: Bear Stearns to bail out its two failing hedge funds by extending to them in emergency loans of $1.6-3.2 billion, whose purposes are to prevent the creditors from seizing and selling the assets, and to prevent the failure of the hedge funds to trigger a systematic breakdown of the financial system -the hedge funds were the High Grade Structured Credit Enhanced Leverage Fund (HGSCELF) and the High-Grade Structured Credit Fund (HGSCF) that were invested in really risky CDOs, predominantly invested in subprime mortgages.
Abdiwahab Ibrahim

Boom, Bust and Blame - The Inside Story of America's Economic Crisis - Banks Go Into Pa... - 0 views

  • Mortgage Meltdown Cripples Biggest Lender
  • Dow Sets Record High 20 Years After Crash
  • Stock Market Takes Biggest Dive Ever
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  • But no real action was taken until early 2008, when the subprime meltdown brought down one of the most legendary firms on Wall Street.
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    P6
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