Skip to main content

Home/ wlmac economics/ Contents contributed and discussions participated by Han Kyul Lee

Contents contributed and discussions participated by Han Kyul Lee

Abdiwahab Ibrahim

Crisis Pie Infographic - 55 views

financial crisis economics crisis blame Financial caused what pie infographic
started by Abdiwahab Ibrahim on 14 Jan 11 no follow-up yet
  • Han Kyul Lee
     
    Rating agencies, sub-prime mortgage lenders and investment banks are DEFINITELY the biggest titles at fault. The main reasons have already been covered; rating agencies failed to rate the toxic assets properly, leading investors to make dangerous choices. The toxic assets, according to them were "safe". This clearly states that they did not do their job. The sub-prime mortgage lenders are the root of the problem, as they were the ones who had the guts to start up all the toxic assets to create securities to lend to all kinds of people, responsible and irresponsible. The investment banks then went around and spread it all over the place, and they are the reason why sub-prime mortgage lenders had the motivation to do such a thing in the first place. The homeowners get a pretty small slice (than what I originally intended) even though it was their choice whether or not to buy up the homes, because they lacked reliable sources of investments thanks to the rating agencies (whose piece of the pie will have over 800 calories on it).
Han Kyul Lee

Economists Brace for Worsening Subprime Crisis : NPR - 1 views

  • lenders repurposed "creative financing" products that had previously been marketed to high-income borrowers seeking flexibility with their money. Among the most popular were variations on the adjustable-rate mortgage, or ARM.
  • ARMs are loans whose interest rates adjust up or down periodically. The initial rate is typically fixed for a period of two or three years. The benefit is that the starter rates are lower for ARMs than for traditional, fixed-rate mortgages. That means lower monthly payments, making homeownership more affordable and allowing borrowers to qualify for a bigger loan.
  • payment-option loans
  • ...3 more annotations...
  • interest-only
  • With the former, a borrower only pays the interest on the loan — not the principal balance — during the introductory period.
  • With payment-option ARMs, borrowers get to choose how much they pay each month: enough to cover the interest plus the principal, the interest only... or less than the interest. In that last scenario, the unpaid interest is tacked on to the principal, leaving borrowers owing more than the amount of the original loan.
  •  
    Lenders created variations on the adjustable-rate mortgage to attract a growing pool of borrowers, especially homeowners. Adjustable-rate mortgages have interest rates that adjust up or down periodically, with a fixed rate for a period of two to three years. The starter rates are lower than the traditional starter rates, which makes homeownership more affordable and borrowing more easier.
Han Kyul Lee

How to Help People Whose Home Values Are Underwater - WSJ.com - 0 views

  • The no-recourse mortgage is virtually unique to the United States. That's why falling house prices in Europe do not trigger defaults. The creditors' ability to go beyond the house to other assets or even future salary is a deterrent.
    • Han Kyul Lee
       
      Would be why everyone is defaulting.
  • More than 12 million homeowners now have mortgage debt that exceeds the value of their homes. These negative-equity homeowners have an incentive to default because mortgages are generally "no recourse" loans. That means creditors can take the property if the individual defaults, but cannot take other assets or income to make up the difference between the unpaid loan balance and the lower value of the house.
  • If house prices continue to fall at the current rate for the next 12 months, as experts generally expect, the median loan-to-value ratio of negative-equity homeowners will increase to more than 135%. At that level, a very high fraction of negative-equity homeowners are likely to default.
  • ...3 more annotations...
  • Half of the homeowners with negative equity now owe more than 120% of the value of their homes.
    • Han Kyul Lee
       
      Shocking fact.
  • The key to preventing further defaults and foreclosures among current negative-equity homeowners is to shift those mortgages into loans with full recourse, allowing the creditor to take other property or a fraction of wages.
  • Substituting a full-recourse loan requires the inducement of a substantial write-down in the outstanding loan balance. Creditors have an incentive to accept some write-down in exchange for the much greater security of a full-recourse loan.
Han Kyul Lee

How the SEC Protects Investors, Maintains Market Integrity, and Facilitates Capital For... - 0 views

  • The mission of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is to protect investors, maintain fair, orderly, and efficient markets, and facilitate capital formation.
  • As more and more first-time investors turn to the markets to help secure their futures, pay for homes, and send children to college, our investor protection mission is more compelling than ever.
  • The world of investing is fascinating and complex, and it can be very fruitful. But unlike the banking world, where deposits are guaranteed by the federal government, stocks, bonds and other securities can lose value. There are no guarantees. That's why investing is not a spectator sport.
  • ...2 more annotations...
  • all investors, whether large institutions or private individuals, should have access to certain basic facts about an investment prior to buying it, and so long as they hold it.
  • The SEC oversees the key participants in the securities world, including securities exchanges, securities brokers and dealers, investment advisors, and mutual funds
  •  
    The description of the U.S. Security and Exchange Commission in terms of investors and the market. Used to answer a discussion question.
Ms Cuttle

Definitions - 98 views

financial crisis definitions
  • Han Kyul Lee
     
    Asset-backed Security (ABS)

    "A security which has a value backed by a pool of underlying assets, such as consumer or commercial receivables. One example is Mortgage-backed security, or MBS."

    Source: http://www.hfh.com/hfhweb/GlossaryofTerms/tabid/68/Default.aspx
  • Han Kyul Lee
     
    Define: Collateral Crisis

    The crisis occurring as the collateral on a bank's balance sheets is not performing as well as announced. This occurs often with securities when the borrowers are not paying their loans, resulting in the company not having the money recorded on its balance sheets.

    The term was found from http://www.skeptically.org/ecodev/id14.html
  • Han Kyul Lee
     
    This is a follow-up to Abdiwahab's question about the role of the SEC.
    http://www.sec.gov/about/whatwedo.shtml

    The main purpose of the SEC is to protect investors while maintaining good markets. The more compelling objective would be to protect the first-time investors, as they wrote that more and more new investors turn to markets for their future. The SEC makes its rules based on their philosophy that all investors should have access to certain basic facts about an investment prior to buying it, and so long as they hold it (worded exactly as on the site). To achieve this, the SEC forces all public companies to disclose reliable and useful information to the general public, that investors may read over and decide whether or not to turn to a certain company. The SEC looks over the securities around the world, and anything concerning securities exchanges, securities brokers and dealers, investment advisors, and mutual funds to safely guide investors over the world.
Han Kyul Lee

Economics focus: A helping hand to homeowners | The Economist - 1 views

  • A lender may recover as little as half the value of the mortgage from a foreclosure, after legal and other costs, because abandoned homes quickly fall into disrepair and can only be sold at a discount.
    • Han Kyul Lee
       
      A lender of a mortgage is actually taking quite a risk, because abandoned property cannot be sold at full price as they quickly fall into disrepair. Thus, they may only recover as little as half the value of the mortgage from a foreclosure.
  • And foreclosures intensify house-price falls by adding to the stock of unsold houses. An enlightened bank may be better off forgiving a part of a mortgage if that persuades borrowers to remain in their homes.
    • Han Kyul Lee
       
      Foreclosures speed the drop of the housing price because the the home is added to the stock of unsold houses. Banks may do better by cutting down a part of the mortgage rather than have the borrowers default.
  • The bait for homeowners would be lower interest costs. Mr Feldstein thinks the scheme’s loans would need to have a fixed interest rate of around 2% to make a material dent in debt-service costs. In return borrowers would take on a slice of debt that they cannot welsh on: the replacement loan would not be secured on the home, but the government would have first claim on the borrower’s future earnings in the event of a default.
  • ...1 more annotation...
  • Given the extent of negative equity and the risk of a negative spiral of defaults and falling prices, efforts to keep homeowners in their homes may yet be necessary to solve the crisis.
    • Han Kyul Lee
       
      Because of the negative spiral of defaults and falling housing prices, homeowners kept in their homes may have been a solution to the financial crisis.
Han Kyul Lee

FRONTLINE: inside the meltdown: watch the full program | PBS - 0 views

  •  
    It's when investors lose confidence that firms start to fail, since they all withdraw their money at the same time. This goes for Bear Stearns, whose way to 'riches' was through a heavy load of toxic assets, buying out the mortgages, bundles them up and loan them out as securities. These loan offers had attracted many homeowners who were so sure that housing prices would only go up. As stocks started dropping, investors lost confidence in Bear Stearns, dropping out on the stocks. By Thursday, with the reserve almost gone, Bear Stearns had turned to the Federal Reserve Bank for emergency loans that they may open tomorrow. Lots of toxic waste such as hidden subprime mortgage loans were found. Federal Reserve bails out Bear Stearns with emergency loans.
Han Kyul Lee

The credit squeeze: Abandon ship | The Economist - 0 views

    • Han Kyul Lee
       
      A combination of very loose-lending practices and increasing interest rates created a very deep, and further deepening bust. It is a downward spiral to both the lenders and the borrowers in the housing market.
    • Han Kyul Lee
       
      Looks like housing prices can drop after all. Because of this crisis at the housing markets, both residential construction and house prices have taken a fall. There are a number of homeowners who took out mortgages at cheap introductory rates, and they are to face ever-higher payments as the loans reset. Because of all the homeowners going default, many lenders have gone out of the market, including American Home Mortgage Investment.
    • Han Kyul Lee
       
      The article also assumed that the housing prices were still yet to fall, as a combination of weak demand for homes and the stock of homes for sale being at its highest in 15 years. If lending standards were to tighten now, however, the demand would grow even weaker, thus further dropping the prices.
  • As for credit markets, the remarkable thing is the low level of spreads before the sell-off, rather than where they are now (see chart).
  • ...6 more annotations...
  • Residential construction has plunged and house prices have fallen. Mortgage defaults have soared, particularly among the least credit-worthy subprime borrowers. Home-owners who took out mortgages at cheap introductory rates face sharply higher payments as these loans reset. There have been plenty of financial-market casualties. The latest was American Home Mortgage Investment, a largish lender which this week said it would no longer fund home loans.
  • Ever since the demise of Long-Term Capital Management in 1998, regulators have worried that banks might lend too much to individual funds. But the Bear Stearns debacle shows that banks may also have to stump up capital to rescue hedge funds within their own stable. Bear had to promise an additional $1.6 billion of collateral to the funds' prime brokers.
    • Han Kyul Lee
       
      Regulators worried that there will be too many loans ever since the demise of the Long-Term Capital Management in 1998.
  • The problems at Bear Stearns triggered the current market decline. Investors were surprised by the scale of the losses and the time it took for them to emerge.
  • There, the deadly combination of loose lending practices and higher interest rates has created a prolonged, and ever-deepening, bust.
  • Credit spreads, the premium that riskier borrowers must pay over government debt, have surged since June. That is a problem for companies and banks in the middle of doing deals.
Han Kyul Lee

Sub-prime Bailout--banks, not homeowners - 2 views

    • Han Kyul Lee
       
      The collateral crisis - the collateral on a bank's balance sheets is not performing as well as they have announced. When homeowners are not paying their mortgages, banks that do hold these mortgages are not getting all the payments that they should be getting. The more loans that are not being paid off, the more trouble caused to these banks. Any mortgage-backed securities are in trouble because of the collateral crisis.
  • But why save Bear Stearns? The beneficiary of this bailout, remember, has often operated in the gray areas of Wall Street and with an aggressive, brass-knuckles approach. Until regulators came along in 1996, Bear Stearns was happy to provide its balance sheet and imprimatur to bucket-shop brokerages like Stratton Oakmont and A. R. Baron, clearing dubious stock trades.
  • Let’s not forget that Bear Stearns lost billions for its clients last summer, when two hedge funds investing heavily in mortgage securities collapsed.
  • ...3 more annotations...
  • “Why not set an example of Bear Stearns, the guys who have this record of dog-eat-dog, we’re brass knuckles, we’re tough?” asked William A. Fleckenstein, president of Fleckenstein Capital in Issaquah, Wash., and co-author with Fred Sheehan of “Greenspan’s Bubbles: The Age of Ignorance at the Federal Reserve.” “This is the perfect time to set an example, but they are not interested in setting an example. We are Bailout Nation.”
  • But, who knows what those mortgages are really worth? According to Bear Stearns’s annual report, $29 billion of them were valued using computer models “derived from” or “supported by” some kind of observable market data.
  • And here is the unfortunate refrain.  Investors, already mistrusting many corporate and government leaders, were once again assured that nothing was wrong — right up until the very end. So is it any wonder investors react to every market rumor of an impending failure with the certainty that it’s true? In too many cases, the rumors turned out to be true, notwithstanding the attempts at reassurance by executives and policy makers.
  •  
    Published March 16, 2008
Han Kyul Lee

America's foreclosure plan: Can't pay or Won't pay? | The Economist - 0 views

  • Is it that homeowners cannot afford to pay; or is it that they are declining to do so, because their homes are now worth less than their mortgages, the phenomenon known as negative equity?
  • One school thinks that, even in cases of negative equity, most homeowners will not default if they can afford the payments—not least because defaulting will wreck their credit records.
  • A second school believes that once the home is worth less than the mortgage, homeowners have a significant incentive to walk away even if they can make the payment, since in many states lenders cannot then pursue them for the shortfall.
  • ...1 more annotation...
  • If negative equity is the real problem, principal will have to be reduced to stem the foreclosures. But lenders are reluctant: they worry that many homeowners who can afford their payments will choose to default, or that investors in the loans will sue them. With house prices still falling, many borrowers would soon have negative equity again.
  •  
    Published February 19, 2009 Notes - Barack Obama pledges $75 billion to reduce the mortgage payments of homeowners at risk of default - A previous effort by George Bush, whose first plan was to help up to 240,000 subprime borrowers refinance their debts into goverment-backed, fixed-rate mortgages, resulting in only 4000 doing so - A Democrat-inspired plan of $300B to guarantee up to 400k mortgages only attracted 517 applications, since lenders were bugged because they had to first write down the principal - This is an issue of whether homeowners cannot afford to pay, or that they refuse to pay, since now their homes are worth less than their mortgages - Economists divide up their opinions - First school: even in cases of negative equity, most homeowners will not default should they be able to afford the payments - Second school: once the home is worth less than the mortgage, homeowners have a significant incentive to walk away from the payment, since lenders cannot then pursure them for the shortfall - Should negative equity be the real issue, the principal for the loans would have to be reduced, but lenders are reluctant as either the homeowners would choose to default or the investors would sue the lenders - House prices are still falling, so many homeowners are ought to have negative equity again
Han Kyul Lee

The Wall Street Journal - Bush Moves in to Aid Homeowners - 0 views

  •  
    Published August 31, 2007 Bush moves in to support homeowners from the supprime-mortgage crisis.
Han Kyul Lee

Bear Stearns Funds' Failure Opened the Door to Credit Crash - 6 views

    • Han Kyul Lee
       
      The failure of the two hedge funds by Bear Stearns resulted in a bailout by extending to the funds emergency loans of $1.6 to $3.2 billion.
  • The failure has caused the near-freezing up of the highly risky $2.6 trillion Collateralized Debt Obligations (CODs) market.
  • On June 22, Bear Stearns investment bank announced that it intended to bail out two of its failing hedge funds, by extending to them between $1.6 to $3.2 billion in emergency loans—the latest twist in Wall Street efforts to prevent a full-blown mortgage securities market crisis.
  •  
    From the July 6, 2007 issue of Executive Intellignece Review Notes: July 6, 2007 issue of Executive Intelligence Review -two hedge funds of Bear Stearns had failed, causing the $2.6 trillion CDOs market to nearly freeze up -Mortgage-backed losses caused another hedge fund by Caliber Global Investments -June 22, 2007: Bear Stearns to bail out its two failing hedge funds by extending to them in emergency loans of $1.6-3.2 billion, whose purposes are to prevent the creditors from seizing and selling the assets, and to prevent the failure of the hedge funds to trigger a systematic breakdown of the financial system -the hedge funds were the High Grade Structured Credit Enhanced Leverage Fund (HGSCELF) and the High-Grade Structured Credit Fund (HGSCF) that were invested in really risky CDOs, predominantly invested in subprime mortgages.
1 - 12 of 12
Showing 20 items per page