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Benno Hansen

Clive Thompson on Why We Should Learn the Language of Data | Magazine - 0 views

  • We live in a world where the thorniest policy issues increasingly boil down to arguments over what the data mean. If you don’t understand statistics, you don’t know what’s going on — and you can’t tell when you’re being lied to.
  • Activists propagate horror stories
  • correlation is not causation. And individual stories don’t prove anythin
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  • our inability to grasp statistics — and the mother of it all, probability — makes us believe stupid things
  • Statistics is the new grammar
Kiran Kuppa

Machine Learning Video Library - Learning From Data (Abu-Mostafa) - 0 views

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    These are a set of video lectures by Prof. Yaser S. Abu Mostafa of Caltech on Statistical Learning Theory that accompany his book "Learning from Data". The topics covered in brief are: 1.Bayesian Learning 2. Bin Model 3. Data Snooping 4. Ensemble Learning 5. Gradient Descent 6. Learning Curves (Regression) 7. Neural Networks 8. Overfitting problem 9. Radial basis functions and Regularization 10. Support Vector Machines 11. VC Dimension
Benno Hansen

Scientific method: Statistical errors : Nature News & Comment - 3 views

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    ""P values are not doing their job, because they can't,""
Benno Hansen

Maths used to predict outcome of football match - 2 views

  • Sports commentators will often argue the importance of scoring the first goal and often suggest that a team improves its chances of winning considerably by scoring it.
  • calculating the probability of the first-goal team winning at discrete points in the match after the first goal is scored based on the number of minutes remaining in the game
  • Team X is playing team Y. Team X scores first and there are T minutes left in regulation time.
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  • goal scoring follows the law of statistics known as a Poisson distribution
  • From the first whistle, team X has a 50:50 chance of winning.
Benno Hansen

Heat, Drought Linked to Violence Worldwide - weather.com - 1 views

  • Worldwide, shifts in climate are strongly linked to human violence, researchers concluded after examining quantitative studies from the past 25 on climate and various forms of violence.
  • A global temperature rise of 2-degrees Celsius could increase the rate of intergroup conflicts, such as civil wars, by more than 50 percent in many parts of the world, the study's statistical analysis found.
  • studies that find that heat waves lead to more violent crime in U.S. cities, for example, indicate that humans are poorly equipped to deal with exposure to hotter temperatures
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  • In agricultural areas, where climate affects the economy, violence may increase because of weather-caused poor economic conditions.
Benno Hansen

The Economist explains: How might your choice of browser affect your job prospects? | T... - 0 views

  • applicants who have bothered to install new web browsers on their computers (such as Mozilla's Firefox or Google's Chrome) perform better and stay in their posts for 15% longer, on average, than those who use the default pre-installed browser that came with their machine (ie, Internet Explorer on a Windows PC and Safari on an Apple Mac)
  • applicants who belonged to one or two online social networks tended to stay in their jobs for longer than those who belonged to four or more social networks
Benno Hansen

Why Cities Keep Growing, Corporations And People Always Die, And Life Gets Faster | Con... - 0 views

  • you have to innovate faster and faster in order to avoid the collapse
  • The system will collapse, because eventually you would have to be making a major innovation, like you know, IT every six months. Well, that's completely crazy.
  • There's a theorem you can prove that says that if you demand continuous open growth, you have to have continuous cycles of innovation. Well, that's what people believe, and it's the way people have suggested that’s how you get out of the Malthusian paradox. This all agrees within itself but there is a huge catch.
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  • We have open-ended growth, increase in pace of life, and the threat of collapse because of the singularity. But there's a big catch about this innovation. Theory says, sure, you can get out of collapse by innovating, but you have to innovate faster and faster.
  • It's great on the one hand that you have this open ended growth. But if you kept going, of course, it doesn't make any sense. Eventually, you run out of resources anyway, but you would collapse
  • One of the bad things about open-ended growth, growing faster than exponentially, is that open-ended growth eventually leads to collapse. It leads to collapse mathematically because of something called finite times singularity.
Benno Hansen

The Canadian Press: Researchers suggest tall soccer players are more likely to be calle... - 0 views

  • "We found that on average the player who committed the foul is taller than the one who was the victim,"
  • Humans throughout evolution needed to be more afraid of bigger animals because bigger animals usually have more potential to harm us,"
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