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Benno Hansen

Maths used to predict outcome of football match - 2 views

  • Sports commentators will often argue the importance of scoring the first goal and often suggest that a team improves its chances of winning considerably by scoring it.
  • calculating the probability of the first-goal team winning at discrete points in the match after the first goal is scored based on the number of minutes remaining in the game
  • Team X is playing team Y. Team X scores first and there are T minutes left in regulation time.
  • ...2 more annotations...
  • goal scoring follows the law of statistics known as a Poisson distribution
  • From the first whistle, team X has a 50:50 chance of winning.
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