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Contents contributed and discussions participated by Kevin Mao

Kevin Mao

Definitions - 12 views

  • Kevin Mao
     
    This topic will include the definitions of key terms that relate to Finance, Banking, and the Shadow Banking System.
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  • Kevin Mao
     
    Shadow Banking - Financial transactions across the global financial system that goes unregulated. It can also refer to unregulated activity by regulated financial institutions.

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/shadow-banking-system.asp
  • Kevin Mao
     
    Leverage - "1. The use of various financial instruments or borrowed capital, such as margin, to increase the potential return of an investment.

    2. The amount of debt used to finance a firm's assets. A firm with significantly more debt than equity is considered to be highly leveraged.

    Leverage is most commonly used in real estate transactions through the use of mortgages to purchase a home.

    Leverage helps both the investor and the firm to invest or operate. However, it comes with greater risk. If an investor uses leverage to make an investment and the investment moves against the investor, his or her loss is much greater than it would've been if the investment had not been leveraged - leverage magnifies both gains and losses. In the business world, a company can use leverage to try to generate shareholder wealth, but if it fails to do so, the interest expense and credit risk of default destroys shareholder value."

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/leverage.asp#axzz1vAKg26eK
  • Kevin Mao
     
    Derivative - "A security whose price is dependent upon or derived from one or more underlying assets. The derivative itself is merely a contract between two or more parties. Its value is determined by fluctuations in the underlying asset.

    Derivatives are contracts and can be used as an underlying asset.

    Derivatives are generally used as an instrument to hedge risk, but can also be used for speculative purposes."

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/derivative.asp#ixzz1vBC9gCij
  • Kevin Mao
     
    Hedge Fund - "An aggressively managed portfolio of investments that uses advanced investment strategies such as leveraged, long, short and derivative positions in both domestic and international markets with the goal of generating high returns (either in an absolute sense or over a specified market benchmark).

    It is important to note that hedging is actually the practice of attempting to reduce risk, but the goal of most hedge funds is to maximize return on investment. The name is mostly historical, as the first hedge funds tried to hedge against the downside risk of a bear market by shorting the market (mutual funds generally can't enter into short positions as one of their primary goals). Nowadays, hedge funds use dozens of different strategies, so it isn't accurate to say that hedge funds just "hedge risk". In fact, because hedge fund managers make speculative investments, these funds can carry more risk than the overall market."

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/hedgefund.asp#ixzz1vByyH1LE
  • Kevin Mao
     
    Stress Testing - "A simulation technique used on asset and liability portfolios to determine their reactions to different financial situations. Stress tests are also used to gauge how certain stressors will affect a company or industry. They are usually computer-generated simulation models that test hypothetical scenarios.

    A stress test is also used to evaluate the strength of institutions. For example, the Treasury Department could run stress tests on banks to determine their financial condition. Banks often run these tests on themselves. Changing factors could include interest rates, lending requirements or unemployment."

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/stresstesting.asp#ixzz1vBzp5bjc
  • Kevin Mao
     
    Housing Bubble - "A run-up in housing prices fueled by demand, speculation and the belief that recent history is an infallible forecast of the future. Housing bubbles usually start with an increase in demand (a shift to the right in the demand curve), in the face of limited supply which takes a relatively long period of time to replenish and increase. Speculators enter the market, believing that profits can be made through short-term buying and selling. This further drives demand. At some point, demand decreases (a shift to the left in the demand curve), or stagnates at the same time supply increases, resulting in a sharp drop in prices - and the bubble bursts."

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/housing_bubble.asp#ixzz1vC0IXE81
  • Kevin Mao
     
    Nationalization - "Nationalization is the takeover of ownership and control of a privately owned enterprise by the state."

    http://www.thecanadianencyclopedia.com/articles/nationalization
  • Kevin Mao
     
    Systemic Risk - "The risk inherent to the entire market or entire market segment. Also known as "un-diversifiable risk" or "market risk.""

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/systematicrisk.asp#ixzz1vC39Tdft
  • Kevin Mao
     
    Moral Hazard - "The risk that a party to a transaction has not entered into the contract in good faith, has provided misleading information about its assets, liabilities or credit capacity, or has an incentive to take unusual risks in a desperate attempt to earn a profit before the contract settles."

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/moralhazard.asp#ixzz1vC3Kyeck
  • Kevin Mao
     
    Prime Rate - "The interest rate that commercial banks charge their most credit-worthy customers. Generally a bank's best customers consist of large corporations. The prime interest rate, or prime lending rate, is largely determined by the federal funds rate, which is the overnight rate which banks lend to one another. The prime rate is also important for retail customers, as the prime rate directly affects the lending rates which are available for mortgage, small business and personal loans."

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/primerate.asp#ixzz1vC61RBXn
  • Kevin Mao
     
    Proprietary Trading - "When a firm trades for direct gain instead of commission dollars. Essentially, the firm has decided to profit from the market rather than from commissions from processing trades."

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/proprietarytrading.asp#ixzz1vC6yJ52J
  • Kevin Mao
     
    Interest - "1. The charge for the privilege of borrowing money, typically expressed as an annual percentage rate.

    2. The amount of ownership a stockholder has in a company, usually expressed as a percentage.

    Interest is commonly calculated using one of two methods: simple interest calculation, or compound interest calculation."

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/interest.asp#ixzz1vC730cbi
Kevin Mao

Canadian banks not immune to housing bubble: OSFI official | Mortgages | Personal Finan... - 0 views

  • Canada’s banks, ranked the soundest on the planet by the World Economic Forum, aren’t immune to collapses triggered by falling housing prices
  • Previous failures of Canadian financial institutions were due to bad real estate lending and sharp falls in housing prices, and these can happen again
  • “Just because nothing happened in Canada in 2008 (a U.S.-centered crisis), does not mean that Canada is not vulnerable to a housing correction now.”
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  • Finance Minister Jim Flaherty has tightened mortgage rules three times and put the federal housing agency’s books under regulator oversight
  • Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney has repeatedly warned household debt is the economy’s biggest domestic risk.
  • Canadian housing starts rose to the highest since September 2007 last month
  • “How many new lending ‘guidelines’ can the market bear before it breaks?”
  • “The market may break because the fundamentals are not sound (i.e. overvaluation of homes), not because of OSFI guidance,” Melessanakis wrote in response.
  • Canadian existing home sales rose 0.8% in April from the previous month and 11.5% from a year earlier
  • The average home price rose 0.9% from April 2011,
  • Four Canadian banks were among the world’s six strongest in Bloomberg’s second annual rankings.
  • Flaherty reduced the amortization period on mortgages backed by the government to 30 years from 35, the third time since 2008 he has tightened rules for home loans
  • Lenders have been increasingly skeptical of the need for new rules to cool the housing market
  • Flaherty introduced legislation April 26 that includes measures to strengthen oversight of Canada Mortgage & Housing Corp.
  • The law allows OSFI to review CMHC’s books at least once a year, and prohibits banks from using insured mortgages to back covered bonds,
  • Canadian banks should not be “lulled into a false sense of security” by steps policy makers are taking to prevent another financial crisis
  • “Are the banks equipped to handle a 40% drop (what occurred in Toronto market in early 1990’s)?
  • in some places like Vancouver, maybe Toronto, obviously you’re going to have greater risk there of price volatility,”
  • OSFI’s guidelines suggest lenders limit home-equity lines of credit to 65% of the property’s value.
  • last financial institution failure in Canada occurred in 1996, when Security Home Mortgage Corp. collapsed
  • Security Home Mortgage had assets of $65-million the year before it failed.
  • Eighteen financial institutions failed in the 1990s, including Confederation Life Insurance Co., which had $19.2-billion in assets at the end of 1993. There were 23 failures in the 1980s, including Northland Bank, which had $1-billion in assets
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    An article about how Canadian banks are not impervious to a housing bubble.
Kevin Mao

Are low interest rates causing low savings rates? | Fox Business - 0 views

  • recent study found that nearly half of American workers are not contributing to any form of retirement plan.
  • People who fail to save money will pay for their short-sightedness in the future, but the decline of savings can also be seen as a logical response to a low-interest-rate environment
  • 49 percent of respondents said they were not contributing to any retirement plan
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  • average personal savings rate in the U.S. slipped to 3.9 percent in the first quarter of 2012 -- the lowest level in over four years
  • With savings account interest rates near zero, people are left with little incentive to save.
  • Bond yields are not much higher, and stocks haven't been very rewarding so far in the 21st century either
  • you have to consider one additional factor: inflation.
  • With interest rates running well below the rate of inflation, money in a savings account or other deposit vehicle is actually losing purchasing power with each passing day
  • However, getting the most for your money is only one consideration. Having resources to support your retirement is also an important function of saving, and in this respect people with low savings rates are not behaving rationally.
  • while low interest rates may seem to discourage saving money, they actually make it more imperative.
  • other important point of this context is that outside of the government, most people no longer have an employer pension plan to fall back on.
  • shift from defined benefit to defined contribution retirement plans put the responsibility for saving solely on the employees
  • people seem to have responded to this trend by saving less rather than more
  • by choosing more immediate consumption over saving for retirement, people are supporting their current lifestyles at the expense of the future.
  • this is a decision that many will regret once that future arrives
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    An article about how interest rates influence saving habits.
Kevin Mao

Banking rules may encourage riskier trading, warns ratings agency | Business | The Guar... - 0 views

  • 29 biggest banks in the world could be encouraged to embark on riskier trading activities
  • The 29 banks are deemed to be global systemically important financial institutions
  • agency also warned that borrowing costs for customers could rise as banks try to maintain their profitability
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  • might even be a shift to the capital markets to raise funds and banks could move into the less regulated areas of finance, known as "shadow banking"
  • Banks need to meet the new capital requirements, known as Basel III and being implemented as a result of the 2008 banking crisis, by the end of 2018,
  • need for extra capital will reduce the return on equity
  • in an effort to entice investors the banks may be encouraged to take bigger risks
  • 29 banks will in total need to find $566bn on the assumption that these crucial banks need a 10% capital cushion
  • The impact of holding extra capital – about 23% more than their current holding of $2.5tn – could reduce returns on equity to 8.5% from the 10.8% average of the 29 banks during the period 2005-2011
  • If the banks did not raise equity it would take them three years to raise the extra capital
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    This article is about new banking rules that may encourage riskier trading.
Kevin Mao

JP Morgan (JPM) and Systemic Risk - 0 views

  • On Thursday we learned that JP Morgan has lost over $2 billion in the space of two weeks
  • stock price fell by 9.3%, wiping out $14.4 billion of the company’s value
  • How do you lose so much money so quickly? The short answer is, leverage.
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  • one likely scenario ([1], [2]) involves derivatives constructed from the riskier components of some European corporate bonds.
  • Whale’s notional exposure in one index was speculated to have been $100 billion
  • JP Morgan “was just engaging in financial tricks of little or no social value”.
  • total notional exposure of all of JP Morgan’s trades has been estimated to be $79 trillion.
  • Is JP Morgan “too big to fail”? I think so
  • recent paper by Stanford Professor Darrell Duffie highlights an unresolved weakness in the U.S. financial system
  • Each day something like $100 billion in such short-term lending is intermediated by two clearing banks
  • Duffie believes the system is inherently unstable, as dealer banks depend crucially on the ability and willingness of the clearing banks to provide short-term financing each new day
  • Here is Duffie’s recommendation for how to make the tri-party clearing system more stable: Given the systemic importance of tri-party clearing agents, and given their high fixed costs and additional economies of scale, tri-party repo clearing services for U.S. dealers and cash investors should probably operate through a dedicated regulated utility. Although this would likely increase operating costs for market participants, it would enable investment in more advanced clearing technology and financial expertise, allowing greater resilience of the tri-party repo market in the face of financial shocks such as the default of a major dealer. The moral hazard associated with lending of last resort to a dedicated utility is much reduced relative to the case of a financial institution with a wide scope of risk-taking activities.
  • this week’s news should remind us that more needs to be done to ensure financial stability and that the incentives of private participants align with the public’s best interests
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    An article about JP Morgan and how it lost so much money in so little time.
Kevin Mao

BofA to try converting foreclosures into rentals - Los Angeles Times - 1 views

  • Bank of America Corp. has tentatively joined a nascent housing industry movement in which homes in or near foreclosure are sold to investors as rental properties.
  • often would be better for homeowners, communities and the banks themselves to keep troubled borrowers on as renters rather than kick them out
  • Bank of America doesn't plan to become a longtime landlord for borrowers turned tenants
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  • no more than three months before selling them
  • The bank wants to find out
  • whether getting a loan off its books with a quick sale at a deep discount is a better deal financially than the foreclosure process,
  • nd sign contracts agreeing to rent the home for up to three years at or below market rates
  • designed to test the market for homes ranging in current value from $75,000 to $1 million
  • TwinRock Partners, a private Newport Beach firm, recently told potential investors that more than 100 homes it has acquired and rented out over the last two years have produced annualized returns of 8.7%, with the potential for big resale profits if housing prices recover
  •  
    Article about Bank of America's pilot project to convert foreclosures into investment opportunities for investors.
Kevin Mao

Key Facts - 10 views

started by Kevin Mao on 18 Apr 12 no follow-up yet
  • Kevin Mao
     
    This topic will provide an outline for the fact sheet.
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