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Kevin Mao

Canadian banks not immune to housing bubble: OSFI official | Mortgages | Personal Finan... - 0 views

  • Canada’s banks, ranked the soundest on the planet by the World Economic Forum, aren’t immune to collapses triggered by falling housing prices
  • Previous failures of Canadian financial institutions were due to bad real estate lending and sharp falls in housing prices, and these can happen again
  • “Just because nothing happened in Canada in 2008 (a U.S.-centered crisis), does not mean that Canada is not vulnerable to a housing correction now.”
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  • Finance Minister Jim Flaherty has tightened mortgage rules three times and put the federal housing agency’s books under regulator oversight
  • Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney has repeatedly warned household debt is the economy’s biggest domestic risk.
  • Canadian housing starts rose to the highest since September 2007 last month
  • “How many new lending ‘guidelines’ can the market bear before it breaks?”
  • “The market may break because the fundamentals are not sound (i.e. overvaluation of homes), not because of OSFI guidance,” Melessanakis wrote in response.
  • Canadian existing home sales rose 0.8% in April from the previous month and 11.5% from a year earlier
  • The average home price rose 0.9% from April 2011,
  • Four Canadian banks were among the world’s six strongest in Bloomberg’s second annual rankings.
  • Lenders have been increasingly skeptical of the need for new rules to cool the housing market
  • Flaherty reduced the amortization period on mortgages backed by the government to 30 years from 35, the third time since 2008 he has tightened rules for home loans
  • Flaherty introduced legislation April 26 that includes measures to strengthen oversight of Canada Mortgage & Housing Corp.
  • The law allows OSFI to review CMHC’s books at least once a year, and prohibits banks from using insured mortgages to back covered bonds,
  • Canadian banks should not be “lulled into a false sense of security” by steps policy makers are taking to prevent another financial crisis
  • “Are the banks equipped to handle a 40% drop (what occurred in Toronto market in early 1990’s)?
  • in some places like Vancouver, maybe Toronto, obviously you’re going to have greater risk there of price volatility,”
  • OSFI’s guidelines suggest lenders limit home-equity lines of credit to 65% of the property’s value.
  • last financial institution failure in Canada occurred in 1996, when Security Home Mortgage Corp. collapsed
  • Security Home Mortgage had assets of $65-million the year before it failed.
  • Eighteen financial institutions failed in the 1990s, including Confederation Life Insurance Co., which had $19.2-billion in assets at the end of 1993. There were 23 failures in the 1980s, including Northland Bank, which had $1-billion in assets
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    An article about how Canadian banks are not impervious to a housing bubble.
stefan ayache

12-year-old Ontario girl slams modern banking system, becomes YouTube hit - thestar.com - 1 views

  • Canada’s banking system has been the subject of international praise from economists grappling with global turmoil, but one 12-year-old girl begs to differ
  • earning a reputation as a financial pundit after her tirade against her homeland’s borrowing practices
  • already a veteran of the financial lecture circuit
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  • reasons why so many of the world’s countries are facing staggering debt
  • aim at Canada’s modern day financial system and champions a greater role for the country’s central bank
  • The banks and the government have colluded to financially enslave the people of Canada
  • a brief history of the Canadian banking system, referencing obscure historical figures
  • governments began borrowing from private banks instead at considerably higher interest rates than those available through the central bank
  • The result, Grant argues, is a rapidly increasing national debt
  • If the Canadian Government needs money, they can borrow it directly from the Bank of Canada
  • arguing borrowing from the Bank of Canada would shore up depleted government resources and usher in an era of prosperity for Canada
  • Such a change in monetary policy, combined with crucial changes in tax policy, would make available tens of billions of dollars that are urgently needed to rebuild our public infrastructure, protect our environment, and strengthen Medicare and other social programs so vital in meeting human needs
  • Critics of Crowell’s arguments contend inflation rates would soar if the central bank was able to lend money below commercial interest rates
  • Others, however, were skeptical that Grant’s words were truly her own
Kostya Golovan

Bank of Canada fears weak growth in global economy - The Globe and Mail - 1 views

  • rich countries like the United States and much of Europe do too little to attack their budget and trade deficits, or if emerging giants in Asia refuse to relax capital controls or allow their currencies to appreciate more quickly.
  • Essentially, global economic output would be 8 per cent -- or $6-trillion (U.S.) -- less by 2015 if a range of G20 commitments reinforced late last year at a summit in Cannes, France, are not implemented.
  • China’s GDP would be 12 per cent smaller
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  • “Fiscal consolidation in the United States and Europe, flexible exchange rates and structural policies to stimulate domestic demand in the emerging-market economies of Asia,
  • Delays, meanwhile, could have “severe negative consequences,” leading to “a significantly weaker global economy” and a less stable global financial system.
  • world economic activity would be 7 per cent lower in 2015.
  • The clear message here is both sides of this delicate dance not only need to do their part but, just as crucial, they need to co-ordinate their efforts.
  • A lot of this will sound familiar to anyone who follows global economics from the point of view of the Bank of Canada. Governor Mark Carney also chairs the Financial Stability Board, a G20-linked body tasked with making international finance less of a threat to the wider economy, so he has spoken on these issues many times and outlined the potential benefits of adopting stricter banking rules. But the message about global co-ordination is still ti
  • mely.
  • Chinese imports barely grew in April, causing the country's trade surplus to balloon to $18.4-billion (U.S.) from $5.3-billion the previous month, indicating that consumers and businesses in the faster-growing emerging markets are still not ready to pick up
  • China, until recently, had made strides in narrowing its current-account surplus (which reflects the country’s over-reliance on exports as opposed to domestic spending).
  • U.S. trade deficit that grew 14 per cent in March
  • The U.S. itself is now a more balanced economy that relies less on debt-fuelled spending.
  • But it is smaller and weaker than it was at its pre-crisis peak, and will probably never regain that past form. So its ability to drive global growth is limited
  • work together and get this right, or both will suffer.
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    The Bank of Canada predictions for the future are grim. If the range of commitments made last year in Cannes, France are not fulfilled, the worldwide economy will shrink by 8%, or $6 trillion dollars, by 2015. China's imports barely grew in April pushing the countries trade surplus to $18.5 billion, from $5.3 billion. China is over-dependent on the consumers outside of its borders while its domestic consumption is extremely low.
Kostya Golovan

RBC in the running for Bank of America wealth units - The Globe and Mail - 0 views

  • | NATHAN DENETTE/THE CANADIAN PRESS
    Enlarge this image

    RBC in the running for Bank of America wealth units

    Globe and Mail Update

    Canada’s largest bank, Royal Bank of Canada (RY-T

  • Canada’s largest bank, Royal Bank of Canada (RY-T51.90-1.13-2.13%), is among the financial institutions looking to pick up parts of Bank of America’s wealth management business
  • In 2010 it paid $1.6-billion for U.K.-based Blue Bay Asset Management.
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  • Aside from Europe, executives have recently said that RBC has also been looking to buy operations in Asia. The assets that Bank of America is looking to sell include businesses in both those regions, as well as the Middle East and Latin America.
  • they require less capital to back them up.
  • ING Group sold its private banking assets in Europe and Asia in 2010 to Julius Baer and Singapore’s Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp, respectively, for a total of about $1.9-billion.
  • The units manage about $90-billion of an estimated $2-trillion that the wealth division oversees at the second-largest U.S. bank by total assets.
  • Consolidation in the wealth management industry has been a major theme in the banking sector since the 2008 financial crisis
  • Bank of America is selling because it is shrinking the company
  • Bank of America has lagged peers in recovering from the financial crisis, largely because of huge losses and lawsuits tied to its 2008 acquisition of subprime mortgage lender Countrywide Financial.
  • Canada’s largest bank, which will release second-quarter results on May 24, has been growing its wealth management business and made acquisitions that included British fund manager BlueBay Asset Management for $1.5-billion about two years ago.
  • RBC, which has said it wants to expand its wealth operations organically and with small- and medium-sized acquisitions
  • companies generally prefer to sell the entire group in one go
  • My view is that they are going to sell it as a whole and therefore the number of banks that actually can do it will be more limited
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    RBC, Canada's largest bank, has for years been looking to expand its global wealth management outreach and is now eager to pick up part of Bank of America's wealth management operation which is going on sale. The prospects of such an en devour are great given the predicted growth in number of millionaires in Asia. RBC has for years been interested in such an expansion and is now very interested in acquiring the wealth unit of Bank of America
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