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Kevin Mao

JP Morgan (JPM) and Systemic Risk - 0 views

  • On Thursday we learned that JP Morgan has lost over $2 billion in the space of two weeks
  • stock price fell by 9.3%, wiping out $14.4 billion of the company’s value
  • How do you lose so much money so quickly? The short answer is, leverage.
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  • one likely scenario ([1], [2]) involves derivatives constructed from the riskier components of some European corporate bonds.
  • Whale’s notional exposure in one index was speculated to have been $100 billion
  • total notional exposure of all of JP Morgan’s trades has been estimated to be $79 trillion.
  • JP Morgan “was just engaging in financial tricks of little or no social value”.
  • Is JP Morgan “too big to fail”? I think so
  • recent paper by Stanford Professor Darrell Duffie highlights an unresolved weakness in the U.S. financial system
  • Each day something like $100 billion in such short-term lending is intermediated by two clearing banks
  • Duffie believes the system is inherently unstable, as dealer banks depend crucially on the ability and willingness of the clearing banks to provide short-term financing each new day
  • Here is Duffie’s recommendation for how to make the tri-party clearing system more stable: Given the systemic importance of tri-party clearing agents, and given their high fixed costs and additional economies of scale, tri-party repo clearing services for U.S. dealers and cash investors should probably operate through a dedicated regulated utility. Although this would likely increase operating costs for market participants, it would enable investment in more advanced clearing technology and financial expertise, allowing greater resilience of the tri-party repo market in the face of financial shocks such as the default of a major dealer. The moral hazard associated with lending of last resort to a dedicated utility is much reduced relative to the case of a financial institution with a wide scope of risk-taking activities.
  • this week’s news should remind us that more needs to be done to ensure financial stability and that the incentives of private participants align with the public’s best interests
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    An article about JP Morgan and how it lost so much money in so little time.
kevinan108

Key Facts - 10 views

Ina Drew- Chief Investment Officer of JP Morgan. She was one of the few women in leadership roles on Wall Street. She was fired after her actions cost JP Morgan $3 billion dollars. She may receive ...

kevinan108

Why We Regulate - NYTimes.com - 0 views

  • He has, however, been fond of giving Gatewood-like speeches about how he and his colleagues know what they’re doing, and don’t need the government looking over their shoulders.
  • So there’s a large heap of poetic justice — and a major policy lesson — in JPMorgan’s shock announcement that it somehow managed to lose $2 billion in a failed bit of financial wheeling-dealing.
  • In the 1930s, after the mother of all banking panics, we arrived at a workable solution, involving both guarantees and oversight.
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  • It probably won’t last; I expect Wall Street to be back to its usual arrogance within weeks if not days.
  • As far as we can tell, it used the market for derivatives — complex financial instruments — to make a huge bet on the safety of corporate debt, something like the bets that the insurer A.I.G. made on housing debt a few years ago.
  • This system gave us half a century of relative financial stability. Eventually, however, the lessons of history were forgotten.
  • No loopholes, no exemptions, no exceptions, no compromise, no ambiguous language. Until Congress reinstates it, moral hazard governs and the losers will be the Americans taxpayers. History will keep repeating itself unless politics and money are taken out of the equation.
kevinan108

JPMorgan's Trading Loss Is Said to Rise at Least 50% - 0 views

  • The trading losses suffered by JPMorgan Chase have surged in recent days, surpassing the bank’s initial $2 billion estimate by at least $1 billion, according to people with knowledge of the losses.
  • In March, the company raised the quarterly dividend by 5 cents, to 30 cents, which will cost the bank about $190 million more this quarter.
  • At the bank’s annual meeting in Tampa, Fla., on Tuesday, Mr. Dimon did not definitively rule out cutting the dividend, although he said that he “hoped” it would not be cut.
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  • “JPMorgan Chase has a big hedge fund inside a commercial bank,” said Mark Williams, a professor of finance at Boston University, who also served as a Federal Reserve bank examiner. “They should be taking in deposits and making loans, not taking large speculative bets.”
  • In its simplest form, traders said, the complex position assembled by the bank included a bullish bet on an index of investment-grade corporate debt, later paired with a bearish bet on high-yield securities, achieved by selling insurance contracts known as credit-default swaps.
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    The trading losses suffered by JPMorgan Chase have surged in recent days, surpassing the bank's initial $2 billion estimate by at least $1 billion, according to people with knowledge of the losses. When Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan's chief executive, announced the losses last Thursday, he indicated they could double within the next few quarters.
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