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Steven Iarusci

Consumer fatigue an ominous sign for economy - The Globe and Mail - 1 views

  • Consumers typically account for 60 per cent of the country’s gross domestic product, and rising living costs along with elevated debt levels suggest they won’t be much help this year
  • Gross domestic product expanded at an annualized 3.9 per cent in the first quarter, the fastest pace in a year, led by business investment and manufacturing, Statistics Canada said
  • that pace will be cut by almost half in the second quarter, while Finance Minister Jim Flaherty told reporters Monday he’s anticipating “more modest” growth in the rest of the year
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  • In the near term, households are under pressure as rising food and energy costs cut into their budgets
  • “I will never, never do that again. I want to have the money up front before I buy something, because I don’t want to get into that trouble again,” said Ms. Thornton
  • In the longer term, high debt levels could restrain spending for years
  • Kim Thornton, for example, is one fatigued consumer. The mother of four says her family ran up about $50,000 in debt in prior years on credit card spending
  • the household debt service ratio – debt payments to disposable income – jumped to a three-year high of 7.8 per cent from 7.2 per cent
  • Canadians are getting the message about whittling down debt, and that is translating into fewer purchases of discretionary goods
  • reduced hours and leaner wages – a legacy from the recession – mean many families have less money with which to service their debt, he added
Ilia Merkoulovitch

UDPATE: Canada Budget Watchdog Sees Deficit Through Fiscal 2016 - WSJ.com - 0 views

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    Odds are very slim for the Canadian government to balance the budget by 2015. Though growth is projected at 2.9% for 2011, it is projected lower around 2% for 2012 and 2013
Heshani Makalande

Canadian debt load: $26,000 - excluding mortgages - Moneyville.ca - 0 views

  • Already at record levels, Canadians now owe just under $26,000 on average on their lines of credit, credit cards and auto loans, according to credit rating agency, TransUnion.
  • That’s an increase of 4.5 per cent, or another $1,000, over the same period last year.
  • The fear is that higher rates could push more consumers beyond their ability to repay their loans
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  • Debt growth in Canada is slowing from the double-digit pace seen before the recession
  • And total borrowing, including mortgages, typically the biggest household loan, is slowing, major Canadian banks said recently in their quarterly reports.
  • The Bank of Canada’s trend-setting overnight lending rate is just 1 per cent. But with inflation running at 3.3 per cent, above the central bank’s ideal range, Carney is under pressure to start raising lending rates to dampen demand.
  • Total debt per consumer increased to $25,597 in the first three months of this year,
  • Among types of loans, TransUnion said credit card debt, usually the most expensive to carry, barely budged from a year ago, falling $25 to an average of $3,539.
  • In a sign some borrowers may already be struggling, the national credit card delinquency rate rose 11 per cent. The rate measures the ratio of consumers who take 90 days or more to pay their bill.
  • The average line of credit, the most popular loans for their low cost and high flexibility, rose 5.9 per cent to $33,762 compared to last year. However, total line of credit debt declined for the first time in five quarters.
  • One noticeable shift was the decreased use of lines of credit, Higgins said. The category is the largest among consumer loans, making up 41 per cent of the total, and even more in Ontario, at 57 per cent
  • The study found debt loads rose in all provinces, led by Quebec and Newfoundland and Labrador. British Columbians had the highest load at $36,649.
  • Lines of credit are the most popular form of consumer debt, excluding mortgages, accounting for more than 41 per cent of outstanding debt at the end of the first quarter. Debt on lines of credit stood at an average $33,981, up 5.9 per cent from $31,867 in the first quarter of 2010.
dani tav

Op-Ed: Canada's deflating economy - 1 views

  • The reason for the minimal GDP growth that we had was government spending increased over this period and government debt increased by about $139 billion.
  • Government Debt
  • The government is in a dilemma now. Despite the rosy forecasts they like to create showing how well our economy is doing there are reasons for major concerns.
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  • The government's attempt to continue economic growth by borrowing has failed. Canada's economy is going nowhere and we are farther behind because of government debt. The future does not look much better for Canada's economy.
  • Canada's net debt had grown to $582 billion, up from $516 billion two years earlier.
  • Government spending cannot continue to increase especially when it is financed by debt. The recession was started by economies overloaded with debt. Rather than deal with the imbalances government decided to increase spending "grow the economy" and create more debt. Now we are in a predicament that there are no tools left for governments to throw at the economic problems.
  • government borrowing huge amounts of money to bolster the economy
Ilia Merkoulovitch

Government can't balance books by 2014: watchdog - thestar.com - 1 views

  • The Conservatives, who are running a $30-billion deficit this year, said in the March 22 budget that they could erase the deficit by 2015.
  • The likelihood of realizing budgetary balance or better in 2014-15 is approximately 20 per cent and approximately 35 per cent in 2015-16
  • The parliamentary budget office forecasts annual budget deficits between now and 2015 totalling $128 billion
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  • Unemployment, now at 7.6 per cent, will remain considerably higher between now and 2015
  • Sluggish U.S. growth combined with the Canadian dollar remaining above parity will subdue near-term growth in the Canadian economy and restrain the decline in the unemployment rate.”
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    Government won't be able to get rid of deficit by 2015 as planned
Noah Schafer

Federal deficit could be lower than expected - CTV News - 0 views

  • The federal deficit for the year just finished will come in lower than the $40.5 billion predicted in March's budget, Ottawa says.
  • The assessment about the deficit is contained in the Finance Department's monthly update of the government's books, which sets the preliminary standing on the deficit at $34.4 billion for the fiscal year 2010-11.
  • the department is careful to caution that the figure is preliminary and will likely rise after end-of-year adjustments on tax returns and valuation adjustments for assets and liabilities are done in the fall.
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  • Ottawa set a record $55.6 billion deficit in 2009-10, when the recession hit hardest, but has improved that position by between $15 and $20 billion in one year.
  • "However, based on the results to date, the final 2010-11 deficit is expected to be lower than the $40.5 billion as projected in the March 22 budget."
  • History has shown those adjustments can amount to billions of dollars in additional expenditures.
  • During the election campaign, the Conservatives pledged they would balance the budget in four years -- one year earlier than planned -- by finding an additional $4 billion in savings from operations.
  • The department said $17 billion, or about half, of last year's deficit was due the stimulus package.
  • In April, the International Monetary Fund pegged Canada's combined federal-provincial fiscal deficit at 4.1 per cent of gross domestic product, lower than the U.S. (10.5 per cent) and the United Kingdom (8.1 per cent).
Noah Schafer

CTV Toronto - Harper plan would eliminate deficit by 2014 - CTV News - 2 views

  • Prime Minister Stephen Harper unveiled his party's election platform Friday, promising a Conservative government would eliminate the deficit by 2014-2015
  • Harper said there were no plans to cut major programs and said the billions in cost savings required to balance the books would come from slashing government's operating cost
  • Conservatives understand you cannot tax your way to prosperity, you cannot create jobs by raising taxes," Harper said.
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  • It also features a bundle of crime bills that would be passed in the first 100 days of Parliament
  • The five main priorities of the campaign platform are jobs creation, supporting families, eliminating the deficit, getting tough on crime, and investing in the North.
Noah Schafer

Battle to slay the budget deficit continues to stall - The Globe and Mail - 0 views

  • The Department of Finance estimates that the budget balance for the fiscal year 2010-11 will come in below what had been forecasted, and well below the deficit of 2009-10.
  • he Department of Finance estimates that the budget balance for the fiscal year 2010-11 will come in below what had been forecasted, and well below the deficit of 2009-10. It was expected and hoped that the budget balance would improve as the econom
  • The deficit has been stalled in the $35-billion a year range for the past 8-10 months.
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  • The steep decline in the 12-month moving sum that was produced by the recession finally turned around in early 2010, but the rebound lasted only a few months.
  • The graph also makes it clear that the trend to deficit began in early 2008, several months before the recession began.
  • The federal government’s decision to cut the GST would have produced a deficit even if the economy had remained stable.
Linda Lei

Canada's personal debt rises - Business - CBC News - 1 views

  • Canadians rang up five per cent more in personal debt in the first three months of 2011 compared with 2010, according to a report released Wednesday.
Linda Lei

The Progressive Economics Forum » Reduce Student Debt to Reduce Household Debt - 0 views

  • As Armine made clear in her presentation, household debt in Canada has steadily risen over the past two decades.  In 1990, the average Canadian household had debt representing just under 90% of its personal disposable income.  Today, that figure stands at roughly 150%.
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