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e lynesmith

BBC News - UK economy to enter recession soon, says report - 0 views

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    The National Institute of Economic and Social Research has advised the UK government to ease its fiscal policy because of the danger of the economy entering another recession. The UK fiscal policy is unintentionally causing deficient demand. Demand was already relatively low as private and public sectors were focusing on paying off their debts. This decline in demand has lead to a decrease in consumption and a fall in GDP. Also, businesses have become reluctant to invest due to the uncertainty about domestic and foreign demand. The UK government has been cautious about easing their fiscal policy because of their desire to achieve their fiscal goals, which they have been relatively successful in reaching so far, as stated by a Treasury spokesman who said: "… the government's commitment to deficit reduction has helped maintain market confidence". A way for the UK to ease their fiscal policy and subsequently increase demand would be to cut taxes, which would allow households to have a higher level of disposable income and firms would be incentivized to invest more because of the rising domestic demand.  
Amelie Spaniol

Germany Generates Budget Surplus in First Half of 2012 - SPIEGEL ONLINE - 1 views

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    Based on the article it can be deduced that budget deficit plan in Germany is quite successful. Overall Germany has been able to accumulate a surplus of 8.3 billion Euros through tax revenues and social security funding in only 6 months. The surplus was quite unexpected because in 2011 their was a deficit in Germany. However, this surplus also suggests that the revised tax plan and fiscal policy in Germany are quite successful and that the nation is working towards fully reaching the 4 major economic goals, in particularly that of economic growth. However, the article also suggests that this surplus could decrease by the end of 2012, in which case the fiscal policy may not be as successful after all. To fully examine this budget deficit in Germany data from the whole year of 2012 is needed. However, as of now the article suggests that the policy implemented is quite a successful one.  
A Gysler

Analysis: Fiscal cliff could hit economy harder than many expect | Reuters - 0 views

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    The article discusses that the US may face a fiscal cliff in order to reduce the large deficit that has accumulated in the past. A fiscal policy stands for a series of major tax increases and government spending cuts if Congress does not act. The article discusses that through lower government spending and higher taxes it is expected that $600 billion can be extracted from the economy to decrease the debt. However economists think that every dollar of deficit reduction will subtract the same or a greater amount from economic growth. In theoretical terms this would make sense. If government spending decrease this reduces aggregate demand in the economy and by that will cause a decrease in real GDP. Households will cut back on purchases and especially households that are dependent on government support through unemployment benefits will suffer from the policy. Although this will decrease the deficit of the US it may be that it distracts the fragile recovering economy. 
Tania Plan

Irelands employment rate increases, despite 'tide of emigration' - 0 views

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    Ireland's high current unemployment rate of 14.9 percent is a result from its economic situation : Ireland is in a recession. The article clearly stipulates this, there is a 'recession in the real domestic economy'. The recession arose from the housing bubble : mortgages were cheap, people overborrowed and then the high housing prices fell so that people were less wealthy and no longer able to pay their mortgages. Wealth is a determinant of AD. It is the added value of all assets or stocks. If wealth or perceived wealth increases, then so will a household's consumption of goods, thereby shifting demand, as the household feels 'wealthier' or able to purchase more. The reverse is also the case, when wealth declines, demand declines, such as in Ireland. The Irish were much less willing to consume goods, as they believed they were less wealthy or had less money( which they eventually did , upon having to pay mortgages; debt), and so consumption decreased, which thus shifted aggregate demand into a demand slide recession. This is a situation where prices in a nation inflate and output decreases, due to the lesser demand. If less is being produced, less factors of production are required. Thus labor, a major factor of production is no longer required in the economy, which gives firms the incentive to lay off many of their workers. This is the unemployment Ireland is experiencing. It is interesting that the article also depicts the  'austerity drive'  that the Irish government resulted to in the recession.  As it correctly suggests, this is 'self defeating', as during a demand slide recession the Keynesian policy follows that the government should not save its funding, but rather spend. In a time of recession, the government should spend,  so as to decrease unemployment stimulate the economy. If the government spends, this will have a multiplier effect through the economy, as it provides income to households ( by spending, the government employs labor), where househo
e lynesmith

BBC News - India inflation rate rises faster than expected - 0 views

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    India's inflation rate rose to 7.55% in August, rise that was much faster than expected by analysts. The primary reason behind this is a rise in India's food prices. In order to decrease inflation and lower prices, the Reserve Bank of India tried to raise interest rates. This should cause a decrease in consumption and demand. Thus in the long-run, disinflation will occur as firms will be forced to lower prices in order to maintain a profit. However, altering interest rates has been tricky for central policy-makers as India imports a large quantity of their food from the US, who ultimately have control the prices.  The US will probably add to India's inflation as they are "likely to push up global commodity prices".  Even through raising interest rates, which can be damaging as they hurt businesses and consumer confidence, India still has little control over global prices. As a result, India's inflation will raise even. 
Katharina Metzdorff

Russia's Energy Supply: A Foreign Policy Tool? | Fair Observer° - 0 views

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    This article mentions exports in correlation to a country's GDP - more specifically, Russia's GDP. As one of the world's largest energy suppliers, a lot of Russia's GDP is made up of the amount of exports of their energy goods. As the article says, when oil prices went down in 2009, Russia's GDP decreased dramatically, by about 8%, and when oil prices increased again it rose by 4.2%. Such a high amount of exports suggest high independance. Russia does not rely on other countries to sustain its energy consumption. Also, Russia makes a lot of money from these exports - all of which are injections into the economy. Russian citizens buy the oil because it will likely be cheaper in Russia, as there is so much of it - and the cost of exporting has not yet been included, either. As well as this, foreigners will buy it because they have little other choice. This gives Russia a lot of market power. 
Silvia Capizzi

Brussels set to unveil EU growth plan - FT.com - 0 views

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    This article discusses the changes which European Union officials are planning for the future in order to ensure economic growth. One of the changes mentioned are the Spanish borrowing costs which will be pushed up to their highest levels for four months. In the short-run this will mean less spending from consumers, but in the long run will ensure a significant decrease in debt. Furthermore, they have called on national governments to "implement a series of job-creating policies". These include cutting labor-related taxes, as well as shifting the burden to property, energy and emission levels. These particular changes will cause a rightward shift in aggregate demand as there is an increase in government spending. Moreover, countries will be forced to lift remaining restrictions on worker movement within the EU, which will allow for more employment. This will also cause a rightward shift in aggregate demand because there will be more employed workers and therefore amount of consumption will increase as more people will be able to spend more money.  Overall, this article shows improvements for the future which will increase aggregate demand of the EU. 
Sean Maley

In Defense of the Traditional Unemployment Rate - 1 views

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    The author is defending the single number UE rate as a measure of an economy's well being. His core point, some countries don't encourage working to the same degree as the US. In other words, some countries policies instead encourage people to stay home (and care chldren, for example). Thus, the labor force participation rate for such a country (Germany, in this case) is lower. So, in this sense, to know if the economy is doing well, the UE, as measured against the labor force, is a better single measure.
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