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Silvia Capizzi

BBC News - Portugal reveals tough 2013 budget - 0 views

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    The Portuguese government has revealed the details of its draft budget for 2013. It is said to be one of the harshest in the country's recent history.  The Portuguese government has spent a significantly greater amount than the total revenue, and is therefore experiencing a budget deficit. Due to this deficit, government is forced to borrow money from the public, thus increasing its budget deficit even further, and ultimately increasing their total national debt.  The government was already granted a 78 billion- euro bailout last year, which has still not accounted for their budget deficit. Therefore, the Portuguese government was forced to make some huge changes in the economy,.  As stated in the article, the government will have to borrow money from the public through average income taxes, which will increase from 9.8% to 13.2%. Furthermore, they will have to cut spending worth up to 2.7 billion euros next year, which includes laying off 2% of the countries 600.000 public sector employees.  Moreover, the Portuguese government has decided to cut their spending by not raising social security contribution next year from 11% to 18%.  According to Vitor Gaspar,finance minister, this budget would allow Portugal to reduce its budget deficit to 4.5% in 2013.  Ultimately hoping to achieve the European Union target of 3% of GDP. 
Isabelle Cole

UPDATE 2-S.Africa budget deficit widens, prompts spending cap | Reuters - 0 views

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    Currently the economic growth forecast of South Africa isn't looking as promising as thought, while  additionally its budget deficit is going to be higher than promised. 4.8 percent of GDP instead of 4.6 percent. According to the president, Gordhan, this is due to slower economic growth and not due to increase in government spending. He emphasizes that there will be no increase in government spending. From a neoclassical side this is a good thing as an increase in spending accompanied by a decrease in taxes will only further increase the governments budget deficit. The mining strikes ongoing in South Africa have had two significant consequences. 1. more people have become unemployed due to the strikes for higher wages.2. Offshore investors are worried that the government will increase spending to ease the social tensions. As a result both decreases AD as there is less consumption and investment. 
Sophie Groosman

Unemployment in Greece Hits Depression Levels-And Is Headed Higher - Rick Newman (usnew... - 0 views

  • The Greek government recently announced that the nation's unemployment rate hit 24.4 percent this summer, a searing level of joblessness reminiscent of the Great Depression.
  • Among young people aged 14 to 24, unemployment is a staggering 55 percent.
  • To save the Greek economy, it seems, it's necessary to kill it first.
  • ...8 more annotations...
  • Nearly one-quarter of the Greek workforce is employed by the government
  • Greece also suffers from massive tax evasion
  • <a href="http://ad.doubleclick.net/usn/jump/usn.noscript/noscript;sz=300x250;pos=rectangleB;tile=1;ord=000000000?"> <img src="http://ad.doubleclick.net/usn/ad/usn.noscript/noscript;sz=300x250;pos=rectangleB;tile=1;ord=000000000?" width="300" height="250" border="1"> </a> Latest Videos
  • A Greek government providing jobs for life led to falling unemployment from 2000 to 2008, but all the borrowed money required to keep the mirage intact meant the government workforce would have to shrink dramatically at some point. That's what's happening now.
  • Greece has committed to cutting 100,000 government jobs by the end of the year, while also slashing welfare payments and other social spending. So unemployment is likely to rise further, even as Greece's safety net continues to erode
  • The Greek economy has been contracting since 2008, and has shrunk by about 20 percent so far.
  • --which means there's not enough money to pay all those government workers
  • Economists disagree about the best way to pull a sunken economy out of such a big hole,
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    This article discusses the severe rising level of unemployment in Greece. Unemployment rates rose to approximately 24.4% this summer and 55% of young people aged 14 to 24 are unemployed. The reasons behind this high unemployment are that a high percentage of the Greek workforce is employed by the government (about 25%) and these employees receive large unreported subsidies and bonuses. Also, Greece suffers from a large amount of tax evasion, causing it to struggle to pay the high number of government workers. Consequently, Greece had to cut 100,000 government jobs, causing unemployment to rise. Unemployment was high in the first place because of the deep recession which started in 2007. The high unemployment in Greece has further knock on effects on its economy, particularly if the majority of those unemployed are of the younger generation. A young workforce with no jobs means that once the older generation retires, the younger generation will want to take over their jobs but they will not have the experience to do so. Also, they will lose incentive to work hard as they are used to not having jobs. 
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    1/4th of the labor force in Greece was being employed by the Greek government. However the government borrowed a lot of money and that means that the government workforce will end up decreasing dramatically sooner or later, and that happened.  Their economy has shrunk around 20% since 2008. The article also told us that 'Moody's Analytics predicts that the Greek economy won't start growin gagain until 2015, at the earliest". That is bad for Greece because it will take very long and be very hard for it to become a stable and strong economy again. 
A Gysler

Analysis: Fiscal cliff could hit economy harder than many expect | Reuters - 0 views

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    The article discusses that the US may face a fiscal cliff in order to reduce the large deficit that has accumulated in the past. A fiscal policy stands for a series of major tax increases and government spending cuts if Congress does not act. The article discusses that through lower government spending and higher taxes it is expected that $600 billion can be extracted from the economy to decrease the debt. However economists think that every dollar of deficit reduction will subtract the same or a greater amount from economic growth. In theoretical terms this would make sense. If government spending decrease this reduces aggregate demand in the economy and by that will cause a decrease in real GDP. Households will cut back on purchases and especially households that are dependent on government support through unemployment benefits will suffer from the policy. Although this will decrease the deficit of the US it may be that it distracts the fragile recovering economy. 
Tania Plan

Irelands employment rate increases, despite 'tide of emigration' - 0 views

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    Ireland's high current unemployment rate of 14.9 percent is a result from its economic situation : Ireland is in a recession. The article clearly stipulates this, there is a 'recession in the real domestic economy'. The recession arose from the housing bubble : mortgages were cheap, people overborrowed and then the high housing prices fell so that people were less wealthy and no longer able to pay their mortgages. Wealth is a determinant of AD. It is the added value of all assets or stocks. If wealth or perceived wealth increases, then so will a household's consumption of goods, thereby shifting demand, as the household feels 'wealthier' or able to purchase more. The reverse is also the case, when wealth declines, demand declines, such as in Ireland. The Irish were much less willing to consume goods, as they believed they were less wealthy or had less money( which they eventually did , upon having to pay mortgages; debt), and so consumption decreased, which thus shifted aggregate demand into a demand slide recession. This is a situation where prices in a nation inflate and output decreases, due to the lesser demand. If less is being produced, less factors of production are required. Thus labor, a major factor of production is no longer required in the economy, which gives firms the incentive to lay off many of their workers. This is the unemployment Ireland is experiencing. It is interesting that the article also depicts the  'austerity drive'  that the Irish government resulted to in the recession.  As it correctly suggests, this is 'self defeating', as during a demand slide recession the Keynesian policy follows that the government should not save its funding, but rather spend. In a time of recession, the government should spend,  so as to decrease unemployment stimulate the economy. If the government spends, this will have a multiplier effect through the economy, as it provides income to households ( by spending, the government employs labor), where househo
Silvia Capizzi

Brussels set to unveil EU growth plan - FT.com - 0 views

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    This article discusses the changes which European Union officials are planning for the future in order to ensure economic growth. One of the changes mentioned are the Spanish borrowing costs which will be pushed up to their highest levels for four months. In the short-run this will mean less spending from consumers, but in the long run will ensure a significant decrease in debt. Furthermore, they have called on national governments to "implement a series of job-creating policies". These include cutting labor-related taxes, as well as shifting the burden to property, energy and emission levels. These particular changes will cause a rightward shift in aggregate demand as there is an increase in government spending. Moreover, countries will be forced to lift remaining restrictions on worker movement within the EU, which will allow for more employment. This will also cause a rightward shift in aggregate demand because there will be more employed workers and therefore amount of consumption will increase as more people will be able to spend more money.  Overall, this article shows improvements for the future which will increase aggregate demand of the EU. 
A Gysler

Spanish unemployment reaches record high of 24.6% - 2 views

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    The article discusses the increasing level of unemployment in Spain hitting record levels. Currently around 5.7 million Spanish are out of work. Traditionally this number decreased during the second quarter of the year during the tourist season however this year unemployment rose to 24.6% during that time. 53% of the unemployed are under 25. This may have great effects in the future once Spain's economy recovers. The younger generation will want to take over jobs of the older generation. However due to the lack of training they may not have the skills required. The amount of jobs has decreased so much that almost half of the unemployed have been out of work for more than a year. This is largely due to a cut in government, regional and municipal spending that has decreased the number of workers in the public sector by 5% in the past year. Because the number of unemployed is so high and is constantly increasing the government had to cut their unemployment benefits leaving only around 40% in certain areas receiving unemployment benefits. The reason causing the high unemployment is the recession that Spain is currently in. In the future crime rates may increase in Spain as many households have no income and are losing their unemployment benefits from the government. 
e lynesmith

Business leaders plead for growth as CBI predicts economy will shrink 0.3% | Business |... - 0 views

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    This article discusses the need for the U.K. government to "show some political backbone" by becoming more enterprise friendly in order to stimulate the badly required growth of their economy. U.K. business leaders have become increasingly concerned as the CBI has predicted that the U.K. economy will shrink by 0.3% this year. This fall in GDP is a sign that the country is entering a double-dip recession. The reason behind this is declining exports, the on-going euro crisis, a stagnant economy since the coalition, reduced borrowing on credit cards, an increase in unemployment and a lack of household spending. A reduced borrowing on credit cards and lack of household spending directly affects GDP as GDP can be calculated using the expenditure method, where household consumption is one of the factors taken into consideration. If consumption falls, so does GDP. In order to prevent the GDP from falling further and to promote economic growth, schemes such as tax breaks for small firms taking on extra workers ,schemes that boost the mortgage and household market and schemes that support household expenditure have been implemented. This could lead to a rise in employment as well as expenditures, causing GDP to grow. 
Nils Armin van Willigenburg

Luxembourg's Juncker Defends 2013 Budget - 0 views

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    Luxembourg's Prime Minister Jean-Claude Junker is defending the newly released budget bill, in place for 2013. The bill set in place plans to invest more money into the consolidation package, in place to consolidate Luxembourg's budget. A 1.8% increase in government spending, in relation to the budget set in 2012, is put forth to remove any divergence from the country's stability and growth. Juncker stressed that although the recent financial crisis which has caused a recession in Luxembourg over the past 4 years, the bill will insure that Luxembourg's deficit will be lower in 2013 than 2009. Juncker says that in 2013, Luxembourg's deficit will be at 4.3%.  Juncker says the reason Luxembourg has come into deficit is the investment of 200 million Euros into Luxembourg's employment fund. Furthermore, the increase of unemployment isn't beneficial to the countries current financial situation.  He does not plan to raise VAT, as some countries in the EU such as the Netherlands have recently done to fill part of their deficit. This would only harm economic recovery and affect the country's low-income earners.  Juncker's ultimate goal is to make Luxembourg debt free by 2014. The minister promised that the government would try their very best to achieve this goal, while still being aware that the economic development of Luxembourg remains "extremely fragile".
Clara Gannon

Rising food prices likely boosted Brazil inflation - Business - Stocks & economy | NBC ... - 0 views

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    The global rise in food prices, caused by a drought in the US, has increased Brazil's inflation, along with the government trying to put a stop to the currency gains. Due to bad weather conditions, the tomato industry has been affected, and has lead to an increase in the price of tomatoes. With global prices on the rise, there is less want to import goods, but with inflation in Brazil, high food prices all around is hurting its economy. Currency gains are also having a negative affect which is hurting industrial competitiveness. Consumers are finding it difficult to cope with rising food prices and in the short run will mean that a lot of their earnings are being spent on necessities and not spending on luxuries. Low unemployment is pushing up wages, and with interest rates being cut, people will most likely try and save their money.
Lasse Stueben

Britain's budget deficit shrinks in six months | GulfNews.com - 0 views

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    Britain's budget deficit has turned out to be smaller than previously thought in the first six months of the current tax year. However, recent data suggests that they will have to announce extra government spending cuts or taxes rises if it is to meet this year's deficit-cutting target. Britain's plans to eliminate the deficit by 2015 have been pushed back by two years as economic growth has been far weaker than predicted and its deficit still remains the largest of any major European country. 
Clara Gannon

BBC News - UK recession less deep than thought - 0 views

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    Data shows that contraction in the UK has not dropped by as much as it was expected to, so could this mean that they are reaching a trough and the recession is coming to an end? Inflation is down and unemployment is falling, although the productive capacity of the economy has been affected because of a shift to part-time work. The UK  has had a flat economy over the past two years, so the lower than expected changes in GDP do not change that it is in a recession. 
Tania Plan

Irish recession: "Inside an empty town" - 0 views

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    The article is concerned with the current economic situation in Ireland, namely a recession. This is a period of decline in an economy, where in the business cycle it is known as a 'trough'. This is illustrated well in the article through the decline of demand in the housing market, as a decrease demand is a typical characteristic of a recession. The overall demand or aggregate demand of a country decreases during a recession, as seen in the Irish housing market, as people have lost confidence in the economy, uncertainty has gone up and unemployment has increased. Consequently people save their money as the situation is unstable and they are unsure of their furture imployment and income. Saving is a leakage in the cycle and therefore corresponds to the decrease in aggreagate demand. In the article's context, The Irish are untrusting and therefore unwilling to invest in new housing. This is all a result of bad planning. In the 1990s, Ireland's economy was booming: banks were doing well, the housing market rising significantly and in large demand. Therefore the government decided to build Adamstown. Yet as the housing bubble broke and with it the faith and confidencein the Irish economy, people put their spendings " on hold" as the article illustrates, and areas of modern infra structure such as Adamsville became Ghosttowns.
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