The Fourth Turning: What past generations can teach us about our future - YouTube - 0 views
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a 2022 conversation in front of a small audience with historian and demographer, Neil Howe, as we discuss: the patterns of human history, a long-view perspective on the current charge of events, and, most importantly, hope for our future.
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Neil Howe’s theory is all about the patterns of the past and what they suggest we can anticipate in the future.
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Howe and his co-author William Strauss wrote two extremely impactful books – Generations (published in 1991) and The Fourth Turning (published in 1997).
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Strauss and Howe theory considers the 4-stage cycle that repeats every 80-100 years (approximately the length of a human life, also referred to as a saeculum).
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Their books suggest four turnings of history: 1. A High 2. An Awakening 3. An Unravelling 4. (Culminating in) A Crisis
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What can be helpful to remember in these times is that no storm lasts forever, and this too shall pass
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Additionally, one can consider four generational archetypes (a fancy word for patterns) of people born in the same era and coming of age shaped by the same historical events
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The four archetypes Strauss and Howe use to describe generational cohorts are: Prophets, Nomads, Heroes, and Artists
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So, for example, Millennials fall into the Hero archetype, while Gen Xers are Nomads, and Baby Boomers are Prophets. The generation born in or after 2005 are Artists.