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Matthew Wonnacott

Lower activity at Chinese PSSF producers in October - 0 views

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    An October survey of 21 Chinese copper plate, sheet, strip and foil producers, with a annual capacity of 984,200t/y, showed that operating rates fell to 56.40% in October, down 1.13 percentage points from September. The survey also reported that raw materials inventories held by producers fell to 20.08% of production, down 4.61 percentage points from September. The survey cited sluggish demand from European and US markets as a factor weighing on PSSF demand, and said the orders ahead of the Christmas period were still low. The survey also highlighted producer pessimism about the copper price as a factor in lower raw materials stock holdings.
Matthew Wonnacott

CRU analyst sees Chinese consolidation and substitution weighing on demand - 0 views

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    An official from SDI La Farga LLC's said on 11th December that the company is producing limited amounts of wirerod at its new US $39M plant in New Haven, Indiana. The new facility, a joint venture between Spain's La Farga Group and Steel Dynamics Inc, produces wirerod from number 2 scrap copper rather than cathode. The company official said "we've produced quality rod and are in the process of getting approval of customers and we have done so with several customers." He added that plant officials are "waiting for more customer orders to start producing more".
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    According to a US-based cathode seller, US downstream users of copper cathode are hesitant to sign long-term contracts in 2013, believing that there will be sufficient cathode available on the market for last-minute purchases. The report also cited a downstream user as saying that he believes that absent of transport costs, premiums on annual contracts might have been lower in 2013 compared to 2012. However, the report cited the downstream user as saying he preferred to take cathode from merchants due to the "more lenient" payment terms, whereby he received 10-30 days net credit on annual deals, as opposed to cash-on-payment for spot deals.
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    Quanshun copper announced on 8th December that it has begun production at its new 100,000t/y semis plant in Xinxiang City, Henan province. The new facility is capable of producing 50,000t/y of oxygen-free copper wirerod, 20,000t/y of copper bar, 10,000t/y of transposed conductors (copper strips) and 10,000t/y of other specialist copper semis for the electronics industry. The new production capacity, which was built at a cost of RMB700M (USD112M), is aimed at serving the Chinese domestic market, however, a source at the company did not rule out exporting in the coming years.
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    According to an official from the Delixi group, the company plans to build a new 400,000t/y copper wirerod plant in Zhangpu town, Jiangsu province. The total investment in the new plant will be around RMB3.6bn (US$573M), although the official declined to disclose the timeline for the project. According to the company's website, it specialises in the manufacturing of electric power transmission and distribution appliances.
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    Anhui Jincheng, the Shanghai-listed producer of copper PSSF, said on 26th March that it produced 93,872t of copper PSSF in 2012, a 13% y-o-y increase from 2011. Despite the increase in output, the company made a net loss of RMB57M in 2012 from a profit of RMB24M in 2011 (loss of US$9M from a profit of US$3.8M). Remarking on the results the company said that "uncertainties in the global economy, the euro debt crisis, plus the weak Chinese economy, has negatively impacted demand by the downstream processing sector last year."
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    Talking at the annual CESCO/CRU World Copper Conference, CRU Principal Consultant Vivienne Lloyd said that up to 2Mt of copper demand could be lost over the next five years due to substitution and consolidation amongst Chinese semis producers. Lloyd said that the areas under the greatest threat from substitution are the automotive wiring harness sector and the HVAC sector. However, CRU believes that the aluminium/copper price ratio is likely to have peaked in 2012 at around 4:1, and will fall back gradually to 2017 reaching 3:1, which should relieve some of the substitution pressures.
Matthew Wonnacott

KME sees flat growth and more substitution - 0 views

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    Riccardo Garre the Chief Executive officer of KME Group SpA, the Italy-based manufacturer of copper semi-fabricated products, said in an interview with Bloomberg that he expects the company's production of copper and alloy semis to be 435,000t in 2013, unchanged from 2012, and 10% lower than in 2011. The Chief Executive said "to assume that in 2013 the volume will be exactly the same as in 2012, it means it's really a negative vision," although he did note some strength in flat-rolled copper and alloys used in the automotive and electronics industries. In the interview, he also said he believed slowing economic growth had prompted manufacturers to look for cheaper alternatives to copper semis, such as aluminium and plastics.
Matthew Wonnacott

Flat-rolled production slows during Chinese New Year - 0 views

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    A recent survey by the Shanghai Metals Market of 21 major Chinese copper plate, sheet, strip and foil producers, with a total capacity of 966,200t/y, showed that operating rates in February fell to 42%, as factories shut for the Chinese New Year holiday. Copper flat-rolled producers closed facilities as migrant workers returned to their homes and did not come back to work until after the lantern festival in late February. Survey participants were reporting better levels of demand post holiday as end-users such as the automotive industry and the lithium ion battery industry increased production. Survey participants expect utilisation to increase to around 60% in March.
Matthew Wonnacott

Profits up at Aurubis despite falling activity in the group's semis business - 0 views

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    * Aurubis Group, the large German copper smelter and semis producer, announced on 13th December that its operating earnings before tax for the fiscal year Q4 2011-Q3 2012, had increased to EUR296M from EUR292M the previous year (US$385.5M from US$380.3M). Despite the headline increase in profitability, which was driven by the group's smelting unit, Aurubis reported that profits from "copper products were considerably down on the prior-year level due to weak markets for rod and shapes." Operating profits at the group's semis business fell to EUR10.1M this fiscal year from EUR49.7M the prior year (US$13.2M from US$64.7M), with Aurubis citing "the economic influences of the European debt crisis" as a factor weighing on the demand for copper products. Aurubis reported that copper tube output had fallen by 18% to 646,000t in 2011/2012 from 785,000t in 2010/11, copper continuous cast shapes output had fallen by 17% to 164,000t from 197,000t , whilst the output of flat rolled products fared better with output roughly unchanged at 217,000t.
Matthew Wonnacott

Furukawa to consolidate sheet and strip business - 0 views

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    Furukawa Electric Co, the Japanese maker of wire, cable and copper semis announced on 15th April that it will consolidate its copper plate and strip business at its Nikko Offices. Company President Mitsuyoshi Shibata indicated that the company was taking contingencies for 10% drop in demand for copper sheets and strips, including consolidating finishing mills and casting lines. The company is in the midst of a large restructuring taking steps including closing its magnet wires business and off-shoring copper foil production to Taiwan.
Matthew Wonnacott

Furukawa to increase flat-rolled sales in China - 0 views

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    According to Mitsuyoshi Shibata, president of Furukawa Electric Co., Ltd, the company will increase its production and sales of copper and alloy plates and strips in China. The company aims to step up sales to meet the demand from auto makers who are moving operations to China. Furukawa Electric opened a subsidiary Furukawa Metal (Suzhou) Co in October 2012 and ramped and reached full production in early 2013.
Matthew Wonnacott

Furukawa Electric relocates copper foil production to Taiwan - 0 views

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    Fujikura Ltd, the Japanese wire and cable manufacturer, announced on 4th February that it will cut 300 staff as part of an effort to restructure its business units. The company said it will reorganise its business into three units; energies/telecoms, electronics and automotive electronic components. The company also said that it will seek to consolidate its Japanese business in 2013 by cutting staff, whilst reinforcing its automotive components businesses and growing its overseas businesses. Fujikura Ltd announced that it is revising down its estimates for 2012 operating revenue by JPY1B (USD10.8M) to JPY7B(USD75.5M).
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    Furukawa Electric Co. announced recently that it has closed its Tochigi-based Imaichi No.1 copper foil plant. The operation, which had been producing electrolytic copper foil for use in circuit boards in the electronics industry, will be moved to Taiwan to reduce costs. The company cited reduced profitability and rising electricity prices as reasons for the decision. The company also announced it will shut most of its operations at its Imaichi No. 2 plant by the end of September.
Matthew Wonnacott

US service centers see a softening of orders in March - 0 views

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    According to data from the Copper and Brass Servicenter Association(CBSA), total shipments from US brass and copper mills slipped 1.1% y-o-y in 2012, to 261.5Mlb (118,600t). Data from November had indicated that year-to-date shipments were roughly unchanged from 2011, however, a 16.9% m-o-m drop in shipments in December tipped total shipments into contraction territory for the year. In general, copper semis shipments were stronger than alloy shipments, with copper rod shipments up 8.3% in 2012, to 64.4Mlb (29,200t). Total alloy shipments fell 5.4% in 2012, to 139.6Mlb (63,300t), with 300-series alloy RBS shipments declining by the largest amount in the year, falling 11.9% to 61.3Mlb (27,800t).
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    According to Aurubis Buffalo's vice president of marketing and sales, demand for brass mill products in the US has been strong so far in 2013. The company has seen a strong pickup in demand from sectors including ammunition, electronics, heating and HVAC so far this year. The executive said that lead times at service centers were longer than eight weeks in January for flat-rolled products and that the company is considering hiring more workers at its Buffalo operation to meet the demand.
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    The demand for copper flat-rolled products softened coming into March after a strong start to the year, according to sources at some US service centers. Lead times for some copper products, which were quoted as long as eight weeks back in January, may have shorted to six weeks or less in March according to an American Metal Market report. A drop in demand for appliances and connectors market was noted by some sources contacted by AMM, but sales of ammunition, a key end-use of flat-rolled brass, have remained buoyant since the start of the year.
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