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Aaron Shaw

Contrarian Investor Predicts Economic Crash in China - NYTimes.com - 0 views

  • As most of the world bets on China to help lift the global economy out of recession, Mr. Chanos is warning that China’s hyperstimulated economy is headed for a crash, rather than the sustained boom that most economists predict.
    • Aaron Shaw
       
      How will the Chinese economic crash effect the world economy?
  • “Bubbles are best identified by credit excesses, not valuation excesses,” he said in a recent appearance on CNBC. “And there’s no bigger credit excess than in China.”
  • Mr. Chanos, 51, whose hedge fund, Kynikos Associates, based in New York, has $6 billion under management, is hardly the only skeptic on China. But he is certainly the most prominent and vocal.
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  • Most economists and governments expect Chinese growth momentum to continue this year, buoyed by what remains of a $586 billion government stimulus program that began last year, meant to lift exports and consumption among Chinese consumers.
  • Mr. Chanos often responds to critics of short-selling by pointing to the critical role they played in identifying problems at Enron, Boston Market and other “financial disasters” over the years.
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    "James S. Chanos built one of the largest fortunes on Wall Street by foreseeing the collapse of Enron and other highflying companies whose stories were too good to be true."
Demetri Orlando

You're Leaving a Digital Trail. What About Privacy? - NYTimes.com - 0 views

  • Pachube
  • reality mining
  • It also noticed that middle-income people — as determined by ZIP code data — tended to order cabs more often just before market downturns.
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  • the researchers determined that face-to-face communication was far more important to an organization’s work than was generally believed.

    Productivity improved 30 percent with an incremental increase in face-to-face communication

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    some interesting examples of how cell phones/gps are being used in the field of "collective intelligence." I suspect some of this could be applied to a PBL project. (e.g. have students use pachube to contribute data)
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