Tokyo sees high quake probability, scientists warn - CNN.com - 1 views
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Andrew Leopold on 02 Feb 12Empirical probability of a large scale earthquake in Tokyo within the next 4-30 years.
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Tokyo sees high quake probability, scientists warn - CNN - 0 views
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the probability seems to be empirically based because it's a scientific prediction from the Tokyo's earthquake research center
Big Tokyo earthquake likely 'within the next few years' - 0 views
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75% #probability in next 4 years of magnitude 7+ quake --------------------------------- Says based on data gathered, so presumably run through some sort of simulation and determined that way. Even though a priori, I think closest to an empirical treatment of probability.
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