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The transition from conventional to electric cars is probably undergoing the "sailing ship effect". Traditional technology is being improved quite substantially, and this is likely to defer the switch to the emerging technology

It seems clear that cars are going to go electric ... but when and exactly based on which dominant design? Apart from this there is a huge issue related to time. While in high-tech change is very fast and there is a clear strategic case for being fast, this might not be true in "hard" manufacturing, where diffusion is likely to be slow and painful for early movers, and subject so a significant "sailing ship effect".