Consumer Sentiment: Sentiment Climbs but Remains Pessimistic - 0 views
-
Karl Wabst on 21 Apr 09Consumer Sentiment rose up by 1.8 points in early January to 61.9%, compared with market expectations for a slight decline to 59.0%. Despite this surprising gain, sentiment is still 8.4 points below its September level and 21.0% below its year ago level. The current level remains well below its recessionary average of the past 50 years. Current Conditions slipped by 0.3 points to 69.2%. This is 5.8 percentage points below its September level and 26.7% below its year ago level. Consumer Expectations jumped by 3.2 points to 57.2%. Nevertheless, they are still 10.0 percentage points below their September level and 16.0% below their year ago level. Bottom Line: Consumer sentiment climbed in early January. However, sentiment had collapsed in October in reaction to the intensification of the financial and credit market turmoil. Overall assessments of the economy, as well as assessment of current conditions and consumer expectations, are still significantly below their September level and well below their year ago levels. Thus, despite this month's increase, household assessments of the economy are still mired at recessionary levels. The causes of consumers' pessimism are also dampening real consumer spending.