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Contents contributed and discussions participated by Bill Fulkerson

Bill Fulkerson

Being a Historian During Historic Times - The Atlantic - 0 views

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    Historians don't just study history. We construct it. We puzzle pieces into meanings. Aided by our instincts and experiences, as well as by our research, we make sense of other times, other nations, other peoples. In that sense, the writing of history is always personal.
Bill Fulkerson

It Saves Lives. It Can Save Money. So Why Aren't We Spending More on Public Health? - T... - 0 views

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    Funding for health campaigns is surprisingly low when you consider they're often so valuable that they pay for themselves.
Bill Fulkerson

Statistical dark arts endanger democracy - and life - 0 views

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    "The world is awash with bullshit, and we're drowning in it … this book is our attempt to fight back." So begins a passionate exposition of how the language of science can be weaponized to mislead both researchers and the public. Its authors are two scourges of the current 'infodemic', Carl Bergstrom and Jevin West.
Bill Fulkerson

Phenomenal World | Another Lost Decade? - 0 views

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    Contrary to common beliefs on fiscal fundamentals, the current debt crisis in the global periphery demonstrates that the solvency of sovereign states is determined by their monetary power. Crucially, liquidity has a cyclical character in the periphery of global capitalism and a countercyclical character in the core.
Bill Fulkerson

Catching plague locusts with their own scent - 0 views

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    A pheromone molecule that makes crop-damaging locusts swarm has been identified. Could this pheromone, which is sensed by odorant receptors, be used to trap these insects and prevent the agricultural devastation that they cause?
Bill Fulkerson

Low-cost measurement of facemask efficacy for filtering expelled droplets during speech... - 0 views

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    Mandates for mask use in public during the recent COVID-19 pandemic, worsened by global shortage of commercial supplies, have led to widespread use of homemade masks and mask alternatives. It is assumed that wearing such masks reduces the likelihood for an infected person to spread the disease, but many of these mask designs have not been tested in practice. We have demonstrated a simple optical measurement method to evaluate the efficacy of masks to reduce the transmission of respiratory droplets during regular speech. In proof-of-principle studies, we compared a variety of commonly available mask types and observed that some mask types approach the performance of standard surgical masks, while some mask alternatives, such as neck fleece or bandanas, offer very little protection. Our measurement setup is inexpensive and can be built and operated by non-experts, allowing for rapid evaluation of mask performance during speech, sneezing, or coughing.
Bill Fulkerson

Retail Chains Abandon Manhattan: 'It's Unsustainable' - The New York Times - 0 views

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    Some national chains, both retail and restaurants, are closing outlets in New York City, which are struggling more than their branches elsewhere.
Bill Fulkerson

Using a real-world network to model localized COVID-19 control strategies | Nature Medi... - 0 views

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    Case isolation and contact tracing can contribute to the control of COVID-19 outbreaks1,2. However, it remains unclear how real-world social networks could influence the effectiveness and efficiency of such approaches. To address this issue, we simulated control strategies for SARS-CoV-2 transmission in a real-world social network generated from high-resolution GPS data that were gathered in the course of a citizen-science experiment3,4. We found that tracing the contacts of contacts reduced the size of simulated outbreaks more than tracing of only contacts, but this strategy also resulted in almost half of the local population being quarantined at a single point in time. Testing and releasing non-infectious individuals from quarantine led to increases in outbreak size, suggesting that contact tracing and quarantine might be most effective as a 'local lockdown' strategy when contact rates are high. Finally, we estimated that combining physical distancing with contact tracing could enable epidemic control while reducing the number of quarantined individuals. Our findings suggest that targeted tracing and quarantine strategies would be most efficient when combined with other control measures such as physical distancing.
Bill Fulkerson

Brace for the Blue Shift - The Atlantic - 0 views

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    This sort of late-breaking Democratic vote is the new, though still underappreciated, normal in national elections. Americans have become accustomed to knowing who won our elections promptly, but there are many legitimate votes that are not counted immediately every election year. For reasons that are not totally understood by election observers, these votes tend to be heavily Democratic, leading results to tilt toward Democrats as more of them are counted, in what has become known as the "blue shift." In most cases, the blue shift is relatively inconsequential, changing final vote counts but not results. But in others, as in 2018, it can materially change the outcome.
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