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Bill Fulkerson

Balancing Epistemic Humility and Prior Knowledge - Insight - 0 views

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    This virus wasn't something we knew nothing about. There was so much we knew, from day one, including because of SARS, the previous almost-pandemic that was also a similar coronavirus. We could have used that vital pre-information better if we had matched the requisite epistemic humility that a pandemic requires-an acknowledgement that we aren't certain of anything-with an insistence that this situation wasn't a blank slate. We could have utilized our prior knowledge to plan ahead, while not letting go of the uncertainty-taking thoughtful steps but without overstating our confidence.
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