In 1976, Rhodesian prime minister Ian Smith was summoned to meet South
African premier John Vorster and U.S. secretary of state Henry Kissinger in
Pretoria. In an uncomfortable encounter, Smith was told that his dream of
delaying black majority rule in Zimbabwe for “a thousand years” was
over. Accommodation with the liberation movements would be necessary, both for
the sake of the West’s legitimacy in the struggle against the Soviet Union
and simply because Smith’s position—defending legalized racial
domination by a quarter of a million white settlers over more than six million
indigenous black people, of whom fifty thousand were in the process of taking
up arms, at a time of unprecedented economic crisis—was untenable.
Smith resisted the inevitable with a mix of ineffectual concessions and
heightened repression, but the power that South Africa held over imports and
exports was decisive. Simultaneously, guerrilla war intensified and Smith could
no longer count on Pretoria’s military backing. Three years after the
ultimatum from Vorster and Kissinger, Smith and his conservative black allies
were forced to the Lancaster House negotiating table in London, where Zimbabwe
was born. Thanks to what Smith termed “the great betrayal” by South
Africa and Britain, Zanu and its allies laid down their arms and swept the
first democratic election in February 1980.
A quarter of a century after that fateful meeting in Pretoria, an analogous
moment reappeared in the relations between Zimbabwe and South Africa.
In Zimbabwe, thirteen million black Zimbabweans suffer under the rule of an
undemocratic, exploitative elite and of a repressive state machinery serving
the class interests of a few tens of thousands of well-connected bureaucrats,
military, and paramilitary leaders. And this is in the context of unprecedented
economic crisis.
In South Africa, meanwhile, it is not difficult to posit a similar
trajectory of material decline, ruling-party political illegitimacy, and
ascendant opposition, as the rand crashed by more than 50 percent over a
two-year period and trade union critiques of neoliberal policies harden.