he NOAA Coral Reef Watch (CRW)
Coral Bleaching Thermal Stress Outlook
indicates that there is a high
potential for coral bleaching in the Caribbean in 2010. The 2009-2010 El
Niño ended in May 2010. However, the Caribbean typically experiences
elevated temperature during the second year of an El Niño event.
Since the beginning of 2010, sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in most of the
Caribbean region and tropical Atlantic Ocean have been observed more than
1ºC above the normal (see the SST anomaly figure below), based on
Coral Reef Watch's climatology. This pattern is similar to, but has persisted
much longer than, what occurred during the same time period in 2005.
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