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In the last 50 years, oxygen-deficient zones in the open ocean have increased. Scientists have attributed this development to rising global temperatures: Less oxygen dissolves in warmer water, and the tropical ocean's layers can become more stratified.

Oceanic dissolved oxygen (DO) decline in the Indian Ocean has profound implications for Earth's climate and human habitation in Eurasia and Africa. Owing to sparse observations, there is little research on DO variations, regional comparisons, and its relationship with marine environmental changes in the entire Indian Ocean. In this study, we applied different machine learning algorithms to fit regression models between measured DO, ocean reanalysis physical variables, and spatiotemporal variables. We utilized the Extremely Randomized Trees (ERT) model with the best performance, inputting complete reanalysis data and spatiotemporal information to reconstruct a four-dimensional DO dataset of the Indian Ocean during 1980-2019. The evaluation results showed that the ERT-based DO dataset was superior to the DO simulations in Earth System Models across different time and space. Furthermore, we assessed the spatiotemporal variations in reconstructed DO dataset. DO decline and oxygen-minimum zone (OMZ) expansion were prominent in the Arabian Sea, Bay of Bengal, and Equatorial Indian Ocean. Through correlation analysis, we found that temperature and salinity changes related to solubility primarily control the oxygen decrease in the middle and deep sea. However, the complicated factors with solubility change, vertical mixing, and circulation govern the oxygen increase in the upper and middle sea. Finally, we conducted a volume integral to estimate the oxygen content in the Indian Ocean. Overall, a deoxygenation trend of −141.5 ± 15.1 Tmol dec−1 was estimated over four decades, with a slowdown trend of −68.9 ± 31.3 Tmol dec−1 after 2000. Under global warming and climate change, OMZ expanding and deoxygenation in the Indian Ocean are gradually mitigating. This study enhances our understanding of DO dynamics of the Indian Ocean in response to deoxygenation.

Ocean acidification, deoxygenation, and warming are three interconnected global change challenges caused by increased anthropogenic carbon emissions. These issues present substantial threats to marine organisms, ecosystems, and the survival of coastal communities depending on these ecosystems. Coastal upwelling areas may experience significant declines in pH, dissolved oxygen (DO), and temperature levels during upwelling events, making marine organisms and ecosystems in these areas more susceptible to ocean acidification and deoxygenation. Understanding the dynamics of pH, DO, and temperature in coastal upwelling areas is essential for evaluating the susceptibility of resident organisms and ecosystems to lower pH and DO conditions occurring during upwelling events. To accomplish this, we used the pH and the DO loggers to measure high-frequency data for pH and DO, respectively, over six months in the open ocean and for a 24-hour cycle within the mangrove, seagrass, and coral reef ecosystems of the Tanga-Pemba Seascape (T-PS) during the northeast monsoon season. Our findings revealed the occurrence of multiple upwelling events, with varying durations, that result in significant declines in pH, DO, and temperature within the seascape. This is the first study to confirm the occurrence of multiple upwelling events in the T-PS. Moreover, the study has revealed a pH threshold value of 7.43 for ocean acidification in the T-PS. This is the first study to report a threshold value for ocean acidification in coastal upwelling areas of the Western Indian Ocean (WIO). Furthermore, it revealed that the extremely low levels of pH that occurred during upwelling events were above the pH threshold value of 7.43 for ocean acidification, while the extremely low levels of DO fell below the oxygen threshold value of 4.6 mg/L for deoxygenation. During upwelling events, seagrass and coral reef ecosystems, but not mangrove ecosystems, demonstrated elevated mean hourly values of pH and DO com