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Amelie Spaniol

Central Bank of Turkey predicts inflation target overshoot until 2013 - Central Banking - 0 views

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    According to this Article inflation in Turkey increased to 10.45% and the central bank's Inflation rate was 5.5%. This difference in inflation rate occurs because when a country's central bank tries to fight inflation, as is being done in Turkey, the nominal interest rate will still tend to increase. Consequently, investment and consumption are discouraged due to the high inflation rate set by banks. This is because firms will not invest anymore because it is more expensive to borrow money and consume. In addition, consumption will decrease because the cost of borrowing money to consume large goods such as cars or houses is a lot more expensive.  
Nils Armin van Willigenburg

U.S. Companies Conduct Fire Drills in Case Greece Exits Euro - NYTimes.com - 0 views

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    It's a rare sight, seeing US banks taking precautions instead of relying on the federal government for a bail out. This though is the precise case at the moment. Seeing as it still isn't clear whether or not Greece is staying in the Eurozone, US banks such as Meryll Lynch and JPMorgan are taking necessary precautions to insure that should Greece retreat from the Eurozone, the banks wouldn't be hit as hard. In a recent survery, sent out by a private advisory firm, 80 percent of the answers predicted that Greeve is going to leave the Eurozone, and a fifth of the given 80% believe that more countries may follow Greece's potential lead. 
A Gysler

BBC News - Indonesia: Clamping down on consumption at what cost? - 1 views

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    Indonesia has been experiencing rapid economic growth which has increased the size of the middle class as well as their disposable incomes. The article describes how an increase in required down-payments on cars and houses may decrease the growth in Indonesia's economy. Last year the automotive finance growth of banks was 55%, the highest in the world. They have noticed that this is an unsustainable rate of growth. Due to these fears the Indonesian central bank has placed new regulations which will make buyers pay higher down-payments when making a purchase on credit. These down-payments have been increased from originally 10-20% to 30% and more. With that households see themselves with less money available for consumption. The new regulations may also result in a dip in property sales as aggregate demand decreases. However on the other side it may also only defer sales, since people will safe longer until they buy property. 
e lynesmith

BBC News - India inflation rate rises faster than expected - 0 views

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    India's inflation rate rose to 7.55% in August, rise that was much faster than expected by analysts. The primary reason behind this is a rise in India's food prices. In order to decrease inflation and lower prices, the Reserve Bank of India tried to raise interest rates. This should cause a decrease in consumption and demand. Thus in the long-run, disinflation will occur as firms will be forced to lower prices in order to maintain a profit. However, altering interest rates has been tricky for central policy-makers as India imports a large quantity of their food from the US, who ultimately have control the prices.  The US will probably add to India's inflation as they are "likely to push up global commodity prices".  Even through raising interest rates, which can be damaging as they hurt businesses and consumer confidence, India still has little control over global prices. As a result, India's inflation will raise even. 
Mor Ovadia

Canada Inflation Slows 2nd Month in August on Natural Gas - Bloomberg - 0 views

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    This article states that Canada's inflation rate has unexpectedly slowed for a second month this past August, meaning a disinflation is taking place. The consumer price index in Canada rose 1.2% in August from a year ago compared to a 1.3% gain in July, showing a slowing down in the rate of inflation. This has reduced pressure for the Bank of Canada governor to raise interest rates. Normally, when a country's price levels are increasing and inflation is taking place, banks are encouraged to increase interest rates. Increasing them make it more profitable for consumers to borrow less and invest more, resulting in a decrease in consumption and therefore a decrease in AD. This will lower price levels in the country in the long run, solving or reducing the problem of inflation.
Julieta Fischer

Two Ways to See China's Problems - Economic View - NYTimes.com - 0 views

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    China faces some serious economic problems. One main problem is that China seems to be suffering from excess capacity resulting from an overinvestment in factories, retail stores or infrastructure which leads to an imbalanced supply and aggregate demand relation. Aggregate demand is the total demand for a nation's goods and services from domestic households, firms, the government and foreigners. The article reveals two different approaches to evaluating China's economy: the Keynesian theory and the Austrian school theory. The Keynesians argue that aggregate demand drives stability and that governments can and should help in difficult times. The Chinese government has the tools to increase aggregate demand as it could for example "adjust interest rates and bank reserve requirements, instruct state-owned banks to maintain lending", deploy foreign exchange reserves, or initiate construction and infrastructure projects. On the other hand, the Austrian school of economics believes that it is hard for the government to invest money wisely, particularly in China, where there seems to be an environment of "economic favoritism". The Keynesians may believe that China will be able to manage its overcapacity; however, the Austrian theory argues that the Chinese government will distort resource allocation and further limit aggregate demand. - Julieta Fischer
Rafael Proeglhoef

Who cares about the price of onions? - 0 views

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    India's investors and some politicians want the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to lower its interest rates so that more firms could invest in capital goods in the country. This would increase investment, which in turn would shift aggregate demand to the right and lead to GDP growth. RBI however argues that lowering the interest rates could cause inflation to go up, which in turn would have a great effect on India's lower class citizens. The RBI also argues that interest rates are not very high at the moment, and blame the lack of investment in 'bad governance and lack of reforms'. If the RBI lowered the interest rates and investment did not increase much as they argue, while inflation goes up, many poor people would suffer in the process as they wouldn't be able to buy as many essential goods such as food. This would cause a movement along the aggregate demand curve as price level goes up. On the other hand, from an investor's perspective this would be the best way to generate economic growth, which would benefit the country as a whole if it led to more investment on capital goods.
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    Investors in India are asking the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) for lower interest rates, so that more can be invested in order to accelerate the country's growth rate (which has been decelerating). However, the RBI is concerned that this could lead to an increase in inflation (which is already high) as AD would increase, causing the country to produce beyond its full level of employment, meaning that price levels would raise more than RGDP proportionally (demand pull inflation). The RBI believes that people are more concerned with inflation as it causes the price of food to go up, affecting poor families. However, there is a possibility that growth is of more importance to Indians when looking at the country's economic performance. Other factors such as an increase in oil prices and a poor-monsoon could drive food prices even higher. As result the Indian RBI must be very cautious whether it will be worth lowering interest rates.
Lasse Stueben

High inflation leaves UK in doldrums | Business | guardian.co.uk - 0 views

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    Over the past year, high inflation has pushed the UK economy into a recession. Inflation has been caused by prices of goods rising faster than wages, also known as cost-push inflation. The weakness of consumer demand has resulted in a decrease in investment from businesses. Specifically, higher food and oil prices has been the reason as to why disinflation has been occurring slower than anticipated by the Bank of England. The issue is that with rising prices, the spending power of consumers is being diminished. 
winstonreid

BBC News - UK inflation rate rises in July, ONS says - 0 views

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    The increase of the inflation rate is due to a price rise in housing costs and air fares. As rents increased, the over all consumer price index rose "followed by alcohol and tobacco, food, restaurants, and leisure". Cost-push inflation is currently going on in the UK as wages are not rising as quickly as prices for goods and services. UK has frozen both council tax and fuel tax and reduced income tax. Bank of England but its groth forecast to zero. The Bank is cutting intrest rates to get consumers buying again. Lowering tax and intrest rates will help consumers have more money in their pockets and, therefore, more to spend
A Gysler

Iceland Inflation Holds at 5.4% in June as Interest Rates Rise - Bloomberg - 0 views

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    Iceland has been in a serious recession with great inflation rates for several years. To control the situation, the Central bank has started to raise interest rates with the hope to decrease inflation and bring prices back to normal levels. By increasing interest rates consumers will stop borrowing as much money which will cause a decrease in consumption. In addition it will become more expensive for firms to borrow money for their investments and they will decrease investments well. Overall these two factors will cause a decrease in aggregate demand in Iceland. This will push down prices and cause disinflation in the long run. Due to these decreasing prices goods and services from Iceland become more attractive to foreign consumers causing an increase in exports which may strengthen the currency. The article states that due to the increased interest rates inflation remained stable for the past months. This shows that households and firms are consuming/investing less which stops further inflation.
Rafael Proeglhoef

Who cares about the price of onions? - 0 views

Investors in India are asking the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) for lower interest rates, so that more can be invested in order to accelerate the country's growth rate (which has been decelerating). ...

Inflation India Growth Food Prices Price

started by Rafael Proeglhoef on 23 Sep 12 no follow-up yet
Tania Plan

Irish recession: "Inside an empty town" - 0 views

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    The article is concerned with the current economic situation in Ireland, namely a recession. This is a period of decline in an economy, where in the business cycle it is known as a 'trough'. This is illustrated well in the article through the decline of demand in the housing market, as a decrease demand is a typical characteristic of a recession. The overall demand or aggregate demand of a country decreases during a recession, as seen in the Irish housing market, as people have lost confidence in the economy, uncertainty has gone up and unemployment has increased. Consequently people save their money as the situation is unstable and they are unsure of their furture imployment and income. Saving is a leakage in the cycle and therefore corresponds to the decrease in aggreagate demand. In the article's context, The Irish are untrusting and therefore unwilling to invest in new housing. This is all a result of bad planning. In the 1990s, Ireland's economy was booming: banks were doing well, the housing market rising significantly and in large demand. Therefore the government decided to build Adamstown. Yet as the housing bubble broke and with it the faith and confidencein the Irish economy, people put their spendings " on hold" as the article illustrates, and areas of modern infra structure such as Adamsville became Ghosttowns.
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