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krystalxu

Why Germany's current-account surplus is bad for the world economy - 0 views

  • the stage is set for a clash between a protectionist America and a free-trading Germany.
  • demanded the renegotiation of another, the North American Free-Trade Agreement.
  • He is weighing whether to impose tariffs on steel imports into America, a move that would almost certainly provoke retaliation.
  • ...15 more annotations...
  • An imminent free-trade deal between Japan and the European Union will add substance to her rhetoric (see article).
  • Mr Trump has grasped an inconvenient truth. He has admonished Germany for its trade surplus, which stood at almost $300bn last year, the world’s largest (China’s hoard was a mere $200bn).
  • put a stop to sales of German cars—may be self-defeating, but the fact is that Germany saves too much and spends too little.
  • this is not the result of a mercantilist government policy, as some foreigners complain.
  • the increase in national saving has come from firms and the government.
  • It is an instinct that helps explain Germany’s transformation since the late 1990s from Europe’s sick man to today’s muscle-bound champion.
  • There is much to envy in Germany’s model. Harmony between firms and workers has been one of the main reasons for the economy’s outperformance.
  • This is one reason why the populist AfD party remains on the fringes of German politics.
  • Exporters do not invest their windfall profits at home. And Germany is not alone; Sweden, Switzerland, Denmark and the Netherlands have been piling up big surpluses, too.
  • For a large economy at full employment to run a current-account surplus in excess of 8% of GDP puts unreasonable strain on the global trading system.
  • Perhaps Germany’s bumper trade surplus will be eroded as China’s was, by a surge in wages.
  • the German instinct for caution is deeply rooted.
  • Germany’s structural budget balance has gone from a deficit of over 3% of GDP in 2010 to a small surplus.
  • The economy lags behind in its readiness for digitalisation, ranking 25th in the world in average download speeds.
  • Above all, it is long past time for Germany to recognise that its excessive saving is a weakness.
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