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rerobinson03

'It's Just Crazy' in Pennsylvania: Mail Voting and the Anxiety That Followed - The New York Times - 0 views

www.nytimes.com/...nia-presidential-election.html

shared by rerobinson03 on 02 Nov 20 - No Cached
  • Armstrong County, northeast of Pittsburgh, is one of Pennsylvania’s smaller counties with 44,829 registered voters. But it is a microcosm of the high tension, confusion and deep uncertainty that have accompanied the broad expansion of mail-in voting this year, during an election of passionate intensity.
  • With all Pennsylvania voters eligible for the first time to vote by mail, more than three million ballots were requested statewide — nearly half the total turnout from 2016. One in five voters in Armstrong County requested a mail-in ballot.
  • A New York Times/Siena College poll of Pennsylvania on Sunday showed Mr. Biden with a lead of six percentage points, and a margin of error of 2.4 points.
  • ...6 more annotations...
  • Many election analysts believe Pennsylvania is the knife’s edge on which the race is balanced, the closest of the three “blue wall” states where Joseph R. Biden Jr., if he sweeps them, has his most likely path to the White House.
  • The state-run portal intended to track mail ballots was unreliable, Ms. Kuznik said. By using a database available only to election officials, she was able to reassure voters about the status of a ballot — in nearly all cases, it had been received.
  • With more Republicans expected to vote on Election Day and Democrats favoring mail ballots in Pennsylvania, when to count and report results have become partisan flash points. Mr. Trump has demanded, without a basis in law, that the vote leader on election night be named the winner.
  • there are wide differences among counties, with some not expecting full results for days.
  • The state’s largest cities, Pittsburgh and Philadelphia, are aiming to report results of mail-in ballots on Tuesday night, according to an aide to a top Democratic official briefed on statewide preparations. But many second-tier counties, including in the Philadelphia suburbs, will be slower. “Erie, Berks, Bucks, Delaware and Lackawanna are real problems,” the aide said. “Their reporting of mail-in votes could go into Wednesday, which will create a lot of election night anxiety.”
  • “They’ll still be separating envelopes and ballots on Wednesday, probably Thursday,” he said.
anonymous

Handwritten Letters Are Being Used to Increase Voter Turnout - The New York Times - 0 views

www.nytimes.com/...vote-forward-letter.html

Politics

shared by anonymous on 02 Nov 20 - No Cached
  • To mobilize new or inactive voters this election, adding a personal touch has been key.
  • Instead, she wrote about children and the importance of policies that protect them. It made Ms. East wonder if Maria was, like her, an educator.
  • Ms. East, who lives just outside of Philadelphia, connected with one other part of the letter: A plea to vote in the upcoming election. So she did, casting a ballot in a presidential race for only the second time in her life, and the first since 2012. Having just graduated and in the midst of a move, Ms. East did not vote in 2016.
  • ...6 more annotations...
  • Voting right now is something I need to get out and do.”
  • Many registered voters are more entrenched than ever this year; just 5 percent of those surveyed in August by the Pew Research Center said they were likely to change their minds about their preferred presidential candidate.
  • ote Forward said it corralled 182,509 volunteers and mailed 17.5 million messages to voters in 21 states.
  • Later races in Ohio and Virginia showed smaller returns, between one to two percentage points, Mr. Forman said. But it proved his theory that something “old-fashioned and authentic” could tip the scales.
  • That’s particularly true when it comes to voters who have been left out of traditional outreach efforts, said Melissa Michelson, a professor of political science at Menlo College in Atherton, Calif., and the co-author of “Mobilizing Inclusion: Transforming the Electorate Through Get-Out-the-Vote Campaigns.”
  • Vote Forward’s success at recruiting volunteers in 2020 may simply reflect Americans’ increasing political engagement, said Jan Leighley, a professor of government at American University. A global health crisis has served as a connecting event much like other national tragedies, and the handling of the pandemic has demonstrated to voters that it matters who sits in the White House.
kaylynfreeman

Opinion | 7 Ways That You Can Save Our Democracy - The New York Times - 0 views

www.nytimes.com/...e-2020-election-democracy.html

US politics

shared by kaylynfreeman on 02 Nov 20 - No Cached
  • one of the greatest threats may be a loss of faith in our electoral system itself.
    • kaylynfreeman
      kaylynfreeman on 02 Nov 20
       
      well the electoral college sucks
  • 1. Don’t overstate the risks.
  • 2. Know what’s real and not.
  • ...6 more annotations...
  • We have seen this already. In September, the Russian media outlet Kommersant reported that Russian hackers had stolen voter roll data from Michigan — but in fact, that data was already publicly available. A few weeks ago, Iranians sent threatening and intimidating emails to voters, masquerading as a white supremacist group.
  • 3. Expect messiness.
  • 4. Check before you share information
  • 5. If you see something, say something.
  • 6. Be patient.
  • 7. Vote.
    • kaylynfreeman
      kaylynfreeman on 02 Nov 20
       
      A lot of people didnt vote four years ago which messed up the election further more.
mariedhorne

Early voting 2020: Pre-Election Day vote surpasses two-thirds of all 2016 ballots cast - CNNPolitics - 0 views

www.cnn.com/...index.html

pre-election president voting

shared by mariedhorne on 02 Nov 20 - No Cached
  • More than 91.6 million Americans have voted so far, as a majority of states are reporting record early voting turnout in the 2020 election.
  • These votes represent about 43% of registered voters nationwide, according to a survey of election officials in all 50 states and Washington, DC, by CNN, Edison Research, and Catalist.   
  • Trump and Biden's schedules in the final stretch of this campaign have reflected the focus on those competitive states
  • ...2 more annotations...
  • Thirty-five states and Washington, DC, have crossed their halfway marks for total 2016 ballots cast, including 13 of CNN's 16 most competitively ranked states — Texas, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, Florida, Arizona, Colorado, Wisconsin, Maine, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota and Nebraska
  • . Biden then heads to Philadelphia on Sunday, as the President has five rallies planned in five key states -- Michigan, Iowa, North Carolina, Georgia and Florida.
dytonka

In 2020 finale, Trump talks vote fraud, Biden's on offense - ABC News - 0 views

abcnews.go.com/...-us-facing-crossroads-73964843

shared by dytonka on 02 Nov 20 - No Cached
  • President Donald Trump and Democratic challenger Joe Biden have one last chance to make their case to voters in critical battleground states on Monday, the final full day of a campaign that has laid bare their dramatically different visions for tackling the nation’s pressing problems and for the office of the presidency itself.
  • Both campaigns insist they have a pathway to victory, though Biden's options for picking up the required 270 Electoral College votes are more plentiful.
  • Trump and Biden each painted the other as unfit for office and described the next four years in near apocalyptic terms if the other were to win.
  • ...9 more annotations...
  • The election caps an extraordinary year that began with Trump’s impeachment, the near collapse of Biden’s candidacy during the crowded Democratic primary and then was fully reshaped by the coronavirus outbreak.
  • A record number of votes have already been cast, through early voting or mail-in ballots, which could lead to delays in their tabulation.
  • Trump on Sunday threatened litigation to stop the tabulation of ballots arriving after Election Day
  • “If 2020 is the most consequential election of our lifetime, heaven help us for 2024,” Stewart said. “I’m calling Noah and we'll start building the ark.”
  • the election will be the most important of the country’s collective lifetime because it “is about restoring the basic structure of a functioning, multiracial democracy that can be responsive to the will of its people.”
  • Short on campaign cash, Trump has been unable to compete with Biden over the airwaves and has relied on rallies to fire up his base.
  • PITTSBURGH -- In the final day of a campaign unlike any other, President Donald Trump charged across the nation Monday, delivering without evidence his incendiary allegation that the election is rigged
    • dytonka
      dytonka on 03 Nov 20
       
      Such a brat lol
  • Biden, in Pittsburgh, pushed a voting rights message to a mostly Black audience, declaring that Trump believes “only wealthy folks should vote" and describing COVID-19 as a “mass casualty event for Black Americans.”
  • "the first step to beating the virus is beating Donald Trump,”
zarinastone

New Zealand Appoints First Indigenous Female Foreign Minister : NPR - 0 views

www.npr.org/...genous-female-foreign-minister

Politics Culture new zealand diversity representation

shared by zarinastone on 03 Nov 20 - No Cached
  • New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern announced parliament's newest ministers Monday, including the appointment of Nanaia Mahuta to the role of Minister of Foreign Affairs; the nation's first Indigenous woman to hold the position.
  • At the moment, more than half of those representatives are women and about 10% are openly lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender.
  • New Zealand's government is also shifting gears by bringing in younger members of parliament.
  • ...1 more annotation...
  • Professor Paul Spoonley, Pro Vice-Chancellor of the College of Humanities and Social Sciences at Massey University, believes New Zealand's parliament is the most diverse in the nation's history in terms of gender, ethnic and indigenous representation.
mattrenz16

U.S. Cyber Command Expands Operations to Hunt Hackers From Russia, Iran and China - The New York Times - 0 views

www.nytimes.com/...er-command-hackers-russia.html

shared by mattrenz16 on 03 Nov 20 - No Cached
  • FORT MEADE, Md. — The United States Cyber Command expanded its overseas operations aimed at finding foreign hacking groups before the election on Tuesday, an effort to identify not only Russian tactics but also those of China and Iran, military officials said.
  • Cyber Command was expanding on a push begun in 2018, when it sent teams to North Macedonia, Montenegro and other countries to learn more about Russian operations. The move also reflects a stepped-up effort to secure this year’s presidential election.
  • Cyber Command, which runs the military’s offensive and defensive operations in the online world, was largely on the sidelines in 2016.
  • ...7 more annotations...
  • But for the 2018 midterm elections, the command took a far more aggressive posture. In addition to sending the teams to allied countries, it sent warning messages to would-be Russian trolls before the vote, in its first offensive operation against Moscow; it then took at least one of those troll farms offline on Election Day and the days afterward.
  • After getting close to foreign adversaries’ own networks, Cyber Command can then get inside to identify and potentially neutralize attacks on the United States, according to current and former officials.
  • But Cyber Command officials said those efforts uncovered malware being used by adversarial hacking teams.
  • Cyber Command sends teams of experts overseas to work with partner and allied nations to help them find, identify and remove hostile intrusions on their government or military computer networks.
  • For the allied nations, inviting Cyber Command operatives not only helps improve their network defenses but also demonstrates to adversaries that the United States military is working with them. For the United States, the deployments give their experts an early look at tactics that potential adversaries are honing in their own neighborhoods, techniques that could later be used against Americans.
  • Similarly, Cyber Command officials said their efforts to try to counter foreign threats would not end with the close of voting on Tuesday; they will continue as votes are counted and the Electoral College prepares to meet in December.
  • “We are not stopping or thinking about our operations slacking off on Nov. 3,” General Moore said. “Defending the election is now a persistent and ongoing campaign for Cyber Command.”
cartergramiak

Which Ballots Will Count? The Battle Intensifies as Voting Ends - The New York Times - 0 views

www.nytimes.com/...ction-day-ballot-counting.html

biden trump election us gop

shared by cartergramiak on 03 Nov 20 - No Cached
  • In the most aggressive moves to knock out registered votes in modern memory, Republicans have already sought to nullify ballots before they are counted in several states that could tip the balance of the Electoral College.
  • In an early test of one effort, a federal judge in Texas on Monday ruled against local Republicans who wanted to compel state officials to throw out more than 127,000 ballots cast at newly created drive-through polling places in the Houston area. The federal court ruling, which Republicans said they would appeal, came after a state court also ruled against them.
  • In his last days of campaigning, Mr. Trump has essentially admitted that he does not expect to win without going to court. “As soon as that election is over,” he told reporters over the weekend, “we’re going in with our lawyers.”
  • ...9 more annotations...
  • After months of claiming that any election outcome other than a victory for him would have to have been “rigged,” the president used his final days on the campaign trail to cast doubt on the very process of tabulating the count, suggesting without any evidence that any votes counted after Tuesday, no matter how legal, must be suspect.
  • Both sides expect Mr. Trump and his allies to try again to disqualify late-arriving ballots in the emerging center of the legal fight, Pennsylvania, after the state’s high court rejected a previous attempt and the Supreme Court refused to hear an appeal.
  • “This is the most blatant, open attempt at mass disenfranchisement of voters that I’ve ever witnessed,” said Dale Ho, the director of the Voting Rights Project at the American Civil Liberties Union, which has litigated several major cases this year.
  • The Republican efforts moved to an even more aggressive footing on Sunday, after Mr. Trump made clear his intention to challenge an unfavorable outcome through a focus in particular on the mail-in vote, which both sides expect will favor Mr. Biden.
  • On Monday night, in an extraordinary moment that encapsulated the tenor of his presidency, Mr. Trump wrote on Twitter that the Supreme Court’s Pennsylvania decision would “allow rampant and unchecked cheating” and “undermine our entire systems of laws” and “induce violence in the streets,” drawing a warning on the platform that it was misleading.
  • Mr. Trump has spent the past few years appointing conservative judges, an effort that has affected the balance on several appellate panels that will be critical in swing-state voting fights while giving the Supreme Court a new, 6-to-3 conservative tilt.And he has another wild card in Mr. Barr.
  • This summer, Mr. Barr made a string of exaggerated claims about the problems with mail-in voting and opened the door to sending in federal authorities to stop voter fraud threats.
  • That situation has led Josh Shapiro, Pennsylvania’s attorney general and a Democrat, to issue guidance that election officials should segregate any ballots that arrive after 8 p.m. Tuesday.“We made a careful decision to segregate those ballots in part to stave off possible future legal challenges from Donald Trump and his enablers,” Mr. Shapiro said.
  • “They’ll be fanned out across Pennsylvania, on Election Day, and prepared for whatever challenges to possibly come beginning at 8:01 when the polls close,” he said.
rerobinson03

Can Biden Regain Lost Ground With Latinos? - The New York Times - 0 views

www.nytimes.com/...biden-latino-vote.html

shared by rerobinson03 on 03 Nov 20 - No Cached
  • MIAMI — Despite a late push to court Latino voters over the last several weeks, Joseph R. Biden Jr. is ending his presidential bid on shaky and perhaps perilous ground with this diverse, essential segment of the electorate, according to interviews with Democratic officials, community activists and voters.
  • Did Mr. Biden do too little, too late to court Latino voters, committing a strategic error that could be the 2020 version of Hillary Clinton taking Wisconsin for granted in 2016?
  • Polling in battleground states this fall has generally shown Mr. Biden leading President Trump among Hispanic voters, but not in every case — and rarely by the same margin that Mrs. Clinton commanded in 2016, especially among Hispanic men.
  • ...13 more annotations...
  • A New York Times/Siena College poll of Florida released on Sunday showed Mr. Biden with the support of 54 percent of the state’s Latino voters, compared with 62 percent for Mrs. Clinton four years ago. He and Mr. Trump were basically tied among Hispanic men in the state
  • Mr. Biden is competitive among Latino voters, and could still win Florida based on his strength with educated whites.
  • But he would be in better shape, campaign aides privately acknowledged, if the campaign had reached out earlier to recruit infrequent voters and soften Mr. Trump’s support among Hispanic men in the state.
  • “The Biden people have done a good job in playing catch-up, but it is always the same, every cycle,” said Chuck Rocha, who runs Nuestro PAC, a pro-Biden committee that has raised $9 million for Spanish-language advertising and get-out-the-vote efforts. “Everybody only does Latino outreach in the last couple of weeks of the campaign. That has to change.”
  • The coronavirus has also been an impediment, said Mr. Castro, the former secretary of housing and urban development under President Barack Obama and now an adviser to Mr. Biden. “Latino voters like in-person contact,” he said.
  • Thanks to those funds, the Biden campaign has been able to increase its Spanish-language media buys in the closing weeks, with six-figure expenditures booked in Florida, Arizona and Pennsylvania, a spokesman said.
  • Still, the party has seen some successes. The Democratic National Committee invested heavily in microtargeting Puerto Rican voters through the purchase of call lists in 2019, and Mr. Biden owes his surprising strength in Texas and Arizona to strong support from Latino voters.
  • Democratic officials say they expected that nine million Latino voters will have gone to the polls early by mail or in person, up from 3.7 million in 2016.
  • Democrats have also recently begun pouring money and resources into outreach efforts, with donors pumping $28 million into three independent expenditure groups aimed at increasing Latino turnout in the past two months.
  • The overall problem is rooted not only in the party’s inconsistent efforts to reach Latino voters, but also in the particulars of Mr. Biden’s primary campaign. It was a cash-poor operation that was focused on Black voters, a group long courted by the former vice president that turned out to be critical to his primary victory.
  • But much of the Democrats’ resources in the closing days is being devoted to providing basic voting information to registered Latino voters, rather than funding a deeper dive into the voter files to reach more voters, or a big effort to change the minds of wavering male voters, party officials said.
  • On Saturday, Veronica Escobar, the Democratic congresswoman from El Paso, spent 20 minutes on the phone with a young Mexican-American woman in Texas who was outraged at Mr. Trump’s response to the pandemic and frightened by his rhetoric — and had no intention, whatsoever, of voting.
  • Democrats are relying on many Latino voters to go to the polls on Election Day, as they have tended to do in the past.
kaylynfreeman

What Time Do the Polls Close? - The New York Times - 0 views

www.nytimes.com/...poll-closing-times.html

US politics

shared by kaylynfreeman on 03 Nov 20 - No Cached
  • Because so many Americans are voting by mail, it’s very possible that we won’t know who won on election night, or even Wednesday morning.
  • 8 p.m. 238 electoral college votes in 21 states and Washington, D.C. </polygon
    • kaylynfreeman
      kaylynfreeman on 03 Nov 20
       
      DE
kaylynfreeman

Trump Winning Michigan, Florida and Arizona? This Pollster Says So - The New York Times - 0 views

www.nytimes.com/...trafalgar-group-poll.html

US politics trump

shared by kaylynfreeman on 03 Nov 20 - No Cached
  • Robert Cahaly’s polls have Arizona, Michigan and Florida in the president’s column. It’s hard to find another pollster who agrees with him. But they didn’t believe him in 2016 either.762
  • Trafalgar does not disclose its methods, and is considered far too shadowy by other pollsters to be taken seriously. Mostly, they dismiss it as an outlier. But for Mr. Cahaly, “I told you so” is already a calling card.
  • Is it possible to believe a guy whose polls consistently give Mr. Trump just enough support for a narrow lead in most swing states, and who refuses to reveal much of anything about how he gets his data?
    • kaylynfreeman
      kaylynfreeman on 03 Nov 20
       
      I think it was just a lucky guess last election. It's impossible to know what's gonna happen this election especially with the mail in ballots and covid.
  • ...9 more annotations...
  • In 2016, its first time publicly releasing polls, Trafalgar was the firm whose state surveys most effectively presaged Mr. Trump’s upset win. A veteran Republican strategist, Mr. Cahaly even called the exact number of Electoral College votes that Mr. Trump and Hillary Clinton would receive —&nbsp;306 to 227 — although his prediction of which states would get them there was just slightly off.
  • “social desirability bias”:&nbsp;the tendency for respondents to say what they think an interviewer wants to hear, not what they actually believe.
  • ut he’s not saying what they are. Mr. Cahaly releases almost no real explanation of his polling methodology; the methods page on Trafalgar’s website contains what reads like a vague advertisement of its services and explains that its polls actively confront social desirability bias, without giving specifics as to how. He says that he uses a mixture of text messages, emails and phone calls — some automated, and some by live callers — to reach an accurate representation of the electorate.
  • “People do not seem embarrassed to support Mr. Trump,” Mr. Cox said. In the past four years, studies seeking to quantify a so-called “shy Trump” effect in surveys have generally found little evidence to support it.
    • kaylynfreeman
      kaylynfreeman on 03 Nov 20
       
      I read another article that says otherwise
  • “It is wildly inappropriate not to tell me, not only what modes you use to draw your sample, but how specifically you did it,” he said. His general rule: “If somebody’s not transparent you can generally assume they’re crap.”
  • In 2010, Mr. Cahaly was arrested and taken to court for violating a law against using automatic calling machines — known as robocalling&nbsp;— to conduct polls. The charges against him were eventually dropped, and he later successfully sued a state law enforcement agency, causing South Carolina’s prohibition on robocalls to be declared unconstitutional.
  • Mr. Cahaly said he was doing legitimate polling, aimed at truly understanding voters’ opinions — and getting what he called “dead-on” results. During the 2016 Republican primaries, he was early to spot a surge of enthusiasm from many working-class voters who had long felt alienated from politics and helped power Mr. Trump’s ascent.
  • “I kept getting these stories about people who showed up to vote and didn’t know how to use the voting machines, they hadn’t voted in so long,” Mr. Cahaly said. So he began to look into who those people might be, and used data available online to create a list of roughly 50 lifestyle characteristics —&nbsp;including, for instance, whether they owned a fishing license — to identify the sorts of low-engagement voters who were turning out in droves. He used that data to make sure he was reaching the right kinds of respondents as he polled off the voter file in advance of the general election.
  • Mr. Cahaly feels no need to reveal his techniques, despite the near-universal doubt about his work from his peers. “I’ve given away enough; I’m not giving away any more,” he said, arguing that it had been a mistake to even tell the public about his “neighbor question,” which some other firms have since adopted in their own surveys.
kaylynfreeman

Biden Campaign: Trump Has 'Harder Hill' To Climb To Win Election | HuffPost - 0 views

www.huffpost.com/...tes_n_5fa19f27c5b6128c6b5d108b

US politics trump

shared by kaylynfreeman on 03 Nov 20 - No Cached
  • President Donald Trump will need to overcome significant deficits in key states from early voting and mail-in ballots in order to win reelection, officials from Joe Biden’s campaign said on Tuesday morning.
  • “Trump has such a harder hill to climb today to overcome the advantage we came into today with,”
  • The Trump campaign would essentially need to sweep all of those states to win the 270 votes necessary to claim an Electoral College victory.&nbsp;
  • ...6 more annotations...
  • She estimated that Trump needed to win 59% of the Election Day vote in Pennsylvania to pull off an upset victory there, well above what he won on Election Day in 2016.
  • he would need 61% of the vote in Wisconsin, compared to the 53% he won on Election Day four years ago.
  • In North Carolina, he would need to win 62% of the Election Day vote, well above the 56% he won four years earlier. In Arizona, the campaign said Biden had picked up 53% of the vote so far and predicted Trump would need to get 60% of Election Day voters to triumph there.&nbsp;
  • The campaign was somewhat less optimistic about Florida and Texas. In Florida, the Biden campaign believes Trump would need to hit 56% of the Election Day vote ― almost exactly what he earned four years ago
  • In Texas, the campaign estimated only 49% of early voters backed Biden and noted that 53% of voters backed Trump on Election Day in 2016.
  • Republicans planned to vote in person because of Trump’s false attacks on the reliability of mail-in ballots.
tsainten

Fact check: Trump's policies for Black Americans - POLITICO - 0 views

www.politico.com/...lack-americans-policies-433744

HBCU Trump Policy US

shared by tsainten on 03 Nov 20 - No Cached
  • Trump won just 8 percent of Black voters in 2016 and has talked more about criminals than criminal justice in the closing days of the campaign. He did, however, sign the bipartisan First Step Act and has granted 28 pardons and 16 sentence commutations.
  • Former President Barack Obama tapped two Black attorneys general to serve in his administration, Eric Holder and Loretta Lynch, and he used his executive authority to create a task force on 21st century policing and granted clemency to more than 1,900 people, the highest figure since Harry Truman’s administration granted clemency to more than 2,000 people.
  • “Black voters are looking for a comprehensive agenda that will get at the structural barriers blocking Black mobility in this country,”
  • ...19 more annotations...
  • the First Step Act would release more than 3,100 federal prison inmates and said its retroactive sentencing reform had led to nearly 1,700 sentence reductions. The Sentencing Project said last year that Black Americans made up 91 percent of everyone receiving reductions.
  • Trump reinstituted the federal death penalty. Seven people have been executed this year under the policy — five were white, one was Native American and the other was Black. And there are 55 federal death-row prisoners. Twenty-five are African Americans, 22 are white, seven are Latino and one is Asian.
  • Under the Trump administration, the Black unemployment rate steadily improved, dropping to 5.4 percent at its bottom in August 2019, compared to 7.5 percent when Trump took office in January 2017. But that achievement is attributable to economic growth that was already revving when Trump took office, economists say.
  • Black workers did not see employment levels ever go “above the trend.”
  • The bill is a 10-year renewal of funding. During Obama’s eight years in office, mandatory HBCU funding ranged from almost $80 million to $85 million per year. The same has been true during Trump’s administration.
  • Even with record-low unemployment rates in 2019, Black Americans still had fewer jobs than their white counterparts — even for those with college or advanced degrees — according to research by EPI.
  • In April, when unemployment peaked at 14.7 percent — the highest level seen since the Great Depression — the unemployment rate for Black workers was even higher, at 16.7 percent. By September, the share of unemployed Black workers still struggling to find a job only dropped to 12.1 percent.
  • Many banks limited their initial application pool for the small business rescue Paycheck Protection Program to previous customers, a staff report by the House coronavirus subcommittee found. Democrats and non-profits argue that shut out many minority-owned businesses that lacked business banking relationships from the program, which offered forgivable loans to companies that kept their workers on the payroll.
  • when the labor market is tight, like it was in first three years of the Trump administration, discrimination tends to decline.
  • The amount of funding for HBCUs is “the same thing that we had under President Obama.”
  • creating “more than 8,000 opportunities zones, bringing jobs and opportunities to our inner-city families.”
  • Opportunity zones “are tax incentives to encourage those with capital gains to invest in low-income and undercapitalized communities,” according to the Tax Policy Center.
  • A feature of the president’s $1.5 trillion tax cuts, the program was intended to benefit Black, Hispanic and low-income communities. But there’s very little data about what’s actually happening in opportunity zones. There isn’t a full accounting of the number of opportunity zone projects, let alone basic information such as what those projects are, why they’re being pursued and who is benefiting from them.
  • the vast majority of opportunity zone capital appears to be going into real estate rather than operating businesses, meaning that the opportunity zones aren’t creating sustainable, long-term jobs.
  • he scrapped an Obama rule requiring localities to track patterns of segregation or lose federal funding.
  • The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development replaced the 2015 Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing Act with a much weaker rule in July, using a waiver to exempt the new regulation from public-comment requirements. Public comments allow people to weigh in on proposed rules before they’re finalized. But by bypassing that critical step, the agency essentially expedited a months-long process without any public input.
  • baseless fear of crime and decreased property value as attempted triggers to get at white anxiety about living with people of color — and African Americans in particular — and the idea of integration itself,”
  • new rule in September overhauling the Obama administration’s 2013 “disparate impact” rule. The new rule would have required plaintiffs to meet a higher threshold to prove unintentional discrimination — known as disparate impact — and given defendants more leeway to rebut the claims.
  • A federal court intervened this month -- the day before the rule was set to take effect last week -- issuing a preliminary nationwide injunction to bar HUD from implementing the new regulation until the merits of a lawsuit brought by civil rights advocates have been decided.
leilamulveny

Election Day 2020: Economy, Coronavirus and Race Split U.S. Electorate - WSJ - 0 views

www.wsj.com/...-head-to-the-polls-11604406023

election split u s Trump politics

shared by leilamulveny on 04 Nov 20 - No Cached
  • A national voter survey conducted for The Wall Street Journal and other news organizations showed President Trump with his strongest support among men, white voters without a college degree, rural residents and those who said the government should put a higher priority on the economy even if it increases the spread of the coronavirus.
  • the complex mosaic of the 2020 American electorate, a group expected to break a turnout record from 2016 when roughly 139 million people voted.
  • The survey was conducted amid the most unusual voting process in recent memory, with a huge surge in early and absentee voting because of the pandemic.
  • ...4 more annotations...
  • “People are just fed up with him, with the racial divide he made worse,” he said. “It’s like he did everything he could to prove he was unfit for office.”
  • On a central question of the campaign—balancing the spread of a pandemic that has resulted in more than 230,000 reported deaths in the U.S. against further damage to the economy—about two-thirds of voters said it was more important to limit spread of the disease, while a third said limiting additional damage to the economy was more critical
  • . The numbers were similar in the swing states of North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Florida and Georgia.
  • Among those who think the federal government’s top priority should be reducing the spread, about eight in 10 backed Mr. Biden, while about 8 in 10 of those who think the first concern should be limiting additional damage to the economy backed Mr. Trump.
anonymous

'It's real fear': clash of two Americas could get worse before it gets better | US news | The Guardian - 0 views

www.theguardian.com/...trump-era-division-america

shared by anonymous on 04 Nov 20 - No Cached
  • “There’s not a liberal America and a conservative America; there’s the United States of America,” Barack Obama said in 2004.
  • Both Democrats preached one nation, but the 2020 presidential election has exacerbated fractures of American society: a profound polarisation
  • few are under any illusions that a Biden win on Tuesday would drain the poison overnight. Trump and Trumpism would persist, perhaps in an even more raw and angry form
  • ...14 more annotations...
  • “That division and hatred and fear and frustration and anger are not just going to disappear the day after the election,” said Leon Panetta
  • division and divisiveness have been defining hallmarks of the Trump era: female v male, Black v white, young v old, liberal v conservative, urban v rural, Hollywood v heartland, college-educated v blue collar, pro-choice v anti-abortion, “elite” v “deplorable”, instinct v science, hipster v hunter.
  • Democrats have thrived in cities with young and diverse populations while Republicans command support from older white voters in small towns and rural areas.
  • To be in Washington on inauguration day in January 2017 was to see two irreconcilable political tribes circling each other warily, mostly keeping their distance but occasionally crossing bitter words.
  • “In fact, it’s reached the point that when you meet somebody, you can immediately size them up as a ‘Trump voter’ or a ‘Biden voter.’ That kind of easy stereotyping leads us to see the other party as distant and different.
  • the apocalyptic language has created “a perilous moment – the idea that if the other side wins, we’re in for it”.
  • Republicans’ “America versus socialism” framing seeks to portray Biden as a Trojan horse of a radical left that would raise taxes, take away guns and enable abortion on demand.
  • “There’s fear. It’s real fear. And I understand if you’re not a conservative it’s hard to be empathetic and it seems like an exaggeration. But like the same kind of fear on the left that Trump is a unique threat to the country, there’s a real fear on the right, especially I would say from Christians, of what the country would look like under a Democratic president.”
  • Negative partisanship is driven by antipathy to the opposing side.
  • Trump appeared to understand that, with each election cycle, Republicans have to work harder and harder to turn out a shrinking base of white conservative voters if they hope to preserve what is effectively minority rule.
  • “We are at a hinge moment in American history in terms of demographic change in the country and I think that’s what is fuelling a lot of the divides. It goes beyond politics. It goes to this fundamental question of American identity.
  • Whereas white Christians made up 54% of the population when Barack Obama was first running for president in 2008, they now make up only 44%.
  • “But I think this sense of ownership of the culture and the country by white Protestant Christians in particular has been so strong in American culture, it is part of the sense of loss, the sense of disruption that you feel so much on the conservative side of politics as these demographics are changing.
  • “I come from the supposedly ‘Trump communities’ and I know the people in those communities do not want it to be easy to steal elections,”
kaylynfreeman

Obama's Final Message On Election Day: It's Time To 'Decide As A Nation Who We Really Are' | HuffPost - 0 views

www.huffpost.com/...deo_n_5fa1d6d5c5b6128c6b5d57eb

politics US trump

shared by kaylynfreeman on 03 Nov 20 - No Cached
  • “The actions actions you take today will determine what kind of country we decide to be.”That was the message shared by former President Barack Obama, who released an eleventh hour Election Day video urging Americans to cast their vote for the Democratic ticket: former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.).
  • “Consider how tight it was four years ago in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, where less than a 1% difference determined the outcome of the entire election,” Obama said. “Right now, today, we have a chance to make it right — to choose a better course.”&nbsp;
  • Obama has gone all-out in his criticism of President Donald Trump in the months and weeks leading up to Election Day. Most recently, the former president addressed crowds in Florida — a vital swing state with the third-highest number of Electoral College votes —&nbsp;and lambasted his successor, arguing that Trump was “jealous of COVID’s media coverage,” had consistently shown unpresidential behavior during his four years in office, and intolerably bungled the government’s response to the coronavirus pandemic.
  • ...4 more annotations...
  • The 44th president ended his message by urging Americans to “decide as a nation who we really are.”“Make a decision about what you’re going to do about it and then go do it — our democracy depends on it,” Obama said.
  • “The actions actions you take today will determine what kind of country we decide to be.”
  • “decide as a nation who we really are.”
  • “Make a decision about what you’re going to do about it and then go do it — our democracy depends on it,”
martinelligi

Win or Lose, Trump Will Remain a Powerful and Disruptive Force - The New York Times - 0 views

www.nytimes.com/...post-presidency-influence.html

trump politics election

shared by martinelligi on 06 Nov 20 - No Cached
  • WASHINGTON — If President Trump loses his bid for re-election, as looked increasingly likely on Wednesday, it would be the first defeat of an incumbent president in 28 years. But one thing seemed certain: Win or lose, he will not go quietly away.
  • At the very least, he has 76 days left in office to use his power as he sees fit and to seek revenge on some of his perceived adversaries.
  • and commanded about 48 percent of the popular vote, meaning he retained the support of nearly half of the public despite four years of scandal, setbacks, impeachment and the brutal coronavirus outbreak that has killed more than 233,000 Americans.
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  • Even if his own days as a candidate are over, his 88-million-strong Twitter following gives him a bullhorn to be an influential voice on the right, potentially making him a kingmaker among rising Republicans.
  • That following may yet enable Mr. Trump to eke out a second term and four years to try to rebuild the economy and reshape the Republican Party in his image. But even from out of office, he could try to pressure Republican senators who preserved their majority to resist Mr. Biden at every turn, forcing them to choose between conciliation or crossing his political base.
  • Mr. Trump enjoyed strong support within his own party, winning 93 percent of Republican voters.
  • “If he is defeated, the president will retain the undying loyalty of the party’s voters and the new voters he brought into the party
  • Indeed, Mr. Trump failed to reproduce his fluky 2016 success when he secured an Electoral College victory even while losing the popular vote to Hillary Clinton. For all of the tools of incumbency, he failed to pick up a single state that he did not win last time, and as of Wednesday, he had lost two or three, with a couple of others still on the edge.
  • For months, as his chances of being re-elected dwindled, Mr. Trump told advisers — sometimes joking, sometimes not — that should he lose he would promptly announce that he was running again in 2024.
Javier E

The 2020 Elections Have Made the Fringes Fringy Again - Noah Rothman, Commentary Magazine - 0 views

www.commentarymagazine.com/...-made-the-fringes-fringy-again

2020 conservatism politics history Trump election outcome

shared by Javier E on 06 Nov 20 - No Cached
  • Pro-Democrat (or anti-Republican) partisans are already convincing themselves that the party’s stumbles on Tuesday are attributable to “whiteness”—even when the voters they lost weren’t white.
  • Architect of the Pulitzer Prize-winning “1619 Project,” Nikole Hannah-Jones immediately went about explaining away Donald Trump’s surprisingly strong showing in places like Miami-Dade County by attributing the victory to “white Cubans,” who are “Hispanic” only insofar as that is a “contrived ethnic category.” Influential former ESPN host Jemele Hill insisted that it is “on white people” and “no one else” if Trump had won. “I don’t trust the White vote,” former RNC Chair Michael Steele told Washington Post columnist Jonathan Capehart. “And I don’t trust it because, at the end of the day, it is very self-serving.”
  • This is rapidly becoming enforced dogma on the left. When elected Democrats depart from this line of thinking, they are berated and harangued until they retreat.
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  • No matter that weighted exit polling data found that Donald Trump increased his margins among minorities, drawing the support of 32 percent of Hispanics and double-digits among black voters, and Democrats improved their showing among whites.
  • Say goodbye to the Green New Deal, a Universal Basic Income, “debt-free” college, single-payer health care, the dissolution of the Department of Homeland Security’s border enforcement agencies, or half a dozen other big ideas that loomed ominously over American heads for the better part of two years.
  • because the consequences of Democratic weakness at the polls on Tuesday fell disproportionately on the party’s moderates in purple districts, there will be fewer voices around in 2021 to push back against what is essentially a tantalizing conspiracy theory.
  • Progressives can say goodbye to their already tenuous hopes for dramatic reforms to the institutions that govern American political life. There will be no filibuster nuking, no punitive expansion of the federal judiciary, no sweeping institutional reforms to “restructure things to fit our vision.”
  • where is the good news in all this, you ask? These voices have once again been relegated to the fringes of their respective parties. It’s the quisling moderates and dealmakers they so hate who will soon find themselves in the driver’s seat.
  • It is unlikely that we will see much productivity under divided government, but that is not the same thing as dysfunctional government—precisely the opposite,
  • If we’re entering into a period defined by equilibrium in which the federal government is all but paralyzed in the absence of some bipartisan consensus, that would at least be predictable. And predictability has been in short supply these last four years.
  • Much to the chagrin of the American system’s would-be demolishers, no one assuming the reins of power in Washington seems to have much interest in blowing anything up.
Javier E

Those Obama-Trump Counties - The Bulwark - 0 views

thebulwark.com/those-obama-trump-counties

working class Obama-Trump voters crisis politics

shared by Javier E on 07 Nov 20 - No Cached
  • Of the 206 counties that voted for Obama in both 2008 and 2012 but then went for Trump in 2016, nearly all of them—186 as of this writing—remained faithful to the president in 2020.
  • For Democrats the picture is slightly better in the upper Midwest. Trump won by smaller margins in a number of Obama-Trump counties in Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan. A few even flipped back into the Democratic fold: Biden edged out Trump in 1 of Michigan’s 12 Obama-Trump counties, and a few in Minnesota, a state that went narrowly for Clinton
  • Even in these states, though, Trump actually padded his margins in many Democratic strongholds that Obama and Biden won just eight years ago.
  • ...11 more annotations...
  • Biden’s weak showing in Obama-Trump country is a reminder that Democrats will need to reckon with their increasingly strained relationship to the white working class.
  • As we argue in our new book, Trump’s Democrats, citizens in these communities admire Trump not primarily because of defects in their personal character. Rather, they like Trump for reasons that are more cultural than psychological.
  • many were Trumpy well before Trump arrived on the national political stage. Some of these communities’ most beloved Democratic leaders are brazen, thin-skinned, nepotistic, and promise to provide for their constituents by cutting deals—and corners, if needed. This is partly because their political culture has been shaped by a working-class honor culture that prizes strong men and a tradition of boss-style politics that is more transactional than ideological.
  • These citizens also have strong loyalties to hometowns that are confronting serious social and economic problems. Unlike the Proud Boys, most Trump Democrats take more pride in their hometown than their skin color
  • just looking at some of the places where he performed well at the polls suggests that his appeal cannot be reduced to white nationalism.
  • Biden, after all, won back some of these states by the slimmest of margins despite a pandemic and slumping economy hanging over the head of the incumbent president
  • it really took a plague to drive Donald Trump from office.
  • even if Democrats are somehow able to consistently cobble together winning coalitions without these voters, they still have to ask themselves a more existential question: What kind of party do they want theirs to become? More pointedly, do they want to have a broad-based party of the American working class?
  • progressives need to better understand the cultural chasm that divides blue communities in college towns and urban centers from those that lie behind the Democrats’ tattered blue wall.
  • Republicans, meanwhile, face a different challenge. They need to dispense with Trumpism without alienating the president’s new enthusiasts. To walk that tightrope, they need a far better cultural understanding of these Obama-Trump voters
  • For Never Trumpers that begins by resisting the temptation to read Trump’s deplorableness back into his supporters.
Javier E

Opinion | Tucker Carlson gives up - The Washington Post - 0 views

www.washingtonpost.com/...tucker-carlson-gives-up

fox news politics crisis propaganda

shared by Javier E on 18 Sep 20 - No Cached
  • in March, the Lancet published a letter smacking down “conspiracy theories suggesting that covid-19 does not have a natural origin. Scientists from multiple countries have published and analyzed genomes of the causative agent, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), and they overwhelmingly conclude that this coronavirus originated in wildlife.” The Office of the Director of National Intelligence in April issued a statement supporting that consensus.
  • The point of all this background? When Carlson invited Yan to appear on his show, they were challenging a hardened scientific consensus on SARS-CoV-2. A news program would, accordingly, lay out the prevailing view and walk viewers carefully through the contrary allegations, complete with the views of other virologists and detailed explanations of the science.
  • Instead, Carlson allowed Yan to state her case, which included statements like this one: “So, together with my experience, I can tell you, this is created in the lab. This is from that template owned by [the Chinese] military and also, it was spread to the world to make such damage.”
  • ...2 more annotations...
  • he made this association: “Censorship does not make us wiser. It does not make us better informed. If it did, we’d be speaking Russian right now. The Soviet Union would run the world; it would have worked. But, instead, the Soviet Union is extinct. It collapsed under the weight of its own absurdities, absurdities abetted by censorship,” he said, working up to this point: “And that’s the most basic lesson of dictatorships, all of them. Anything built on lies falls apart over time.”
  • Except that’s not true anymore. Lies are working well these days, thanks to all the soft places they have to lay their eggs. As proof, we have Donald Trump, whose lies during the 2016 presidential campaign secured an electoral college victory. We have QAnon, the vile conspiracy-theory community knocking on the door of Congress. And we have “Tucker Carlson Tonight,” a program so stocked with deception and misdirection that it racked up the biggest ratings numbers in cable-news history earlier this year.
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