Group items tagged

THE U.S, CHINA and India drove 60 percent of the growth in tourism emissions from 2009 to 2019, according to Nature Communications. By 2019, they accounted for 39 percent of global tourism emissions. The research, based on data from 175 governments between 2009 and 2020, found that 20 countries drive nearly all global tourism emissions, with efforts to curb the trend proving ineffective. The emissions are generated by airplanes and vehicles used for travel to tourist destinations along with power consumption by travelers. Around 20 countries generate 75 percent of global tourism emissions, while 155 countries share the remaining 25 percent, the study found. There is now a hundredfold gap in per-capita tourism footprints between the most and least traveled nations.

THE U.S. REMAINS the world's top travel and tourism market, contributing a record $2.36 trillion to the economy last year, according to the World Travel & Tourism Council. Despite a slow recovery in international spending, the U.S. holds nearly double the economic contribution of its closest competitor. The council's 2024 Economic Impact Trends Report found that travel and tourism remain vital to many economies, supporting millions of jobs worldwide. "As we look forward to a record-breaking 2024, it's clear that travel and tourism are not only back on track but also set to achieve unprecedented growth," said Julia Simpson, WTTC's president and CEO. "We will continue to prioritize sustainability and inclusivity, ensuring that this growth benefits everyone and protects our planet for future generations. The sector's resilience and potential for innovation continue to drive us forward."

TRADE TENSIONES BETWEEN the U.S. and Canada are beginning to impact the U.S. travel and tourism industry as Canadians cut back on trips. The number of Canadians driving to the U.S. fell 23 percent in February from a year earlier, marking the second straight monthly decline and only the second since March 2021, according to Statistics Canada. President Donald Trump signed an executive order imposing 25 percent tariffs on nearly all Canadian and Mexican goods on Feb. 1, which took effect on March 4. He also repeatedly called for making Canada the 51st state. The decline in Canadian tourists followed former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's call to reconsider U.S. travel and support domestic tourism. Trudeau, who was succeeded by Mark Carney on March 14, made the remarks in response to Trump's tariffs.

U.S. REVPAR IS expected to grow by 1.2 percent this year, down from the previously forecasted 2 percent, according to CBRE. Despite lower full-year projections, second-half growth is set to improve, with a 2 percent increase compared to 0.5 percent in the first half. CBRE's 2024 Global Midyear Hotels Outlook attributes these second-half growth projections to election-related events in the U.S., easier year-over-year comparisons, rising inbound international visitors, anticipated interest rate cuts, and a slight uptick in group and business travel. In the first half of 2024, RevPAR in 57 of the 65 U.S. markets tracked by CBRE returned to pre-pandemic levels. Most of the eight markets still lagging are in Northern California and the Upper Midwest. Major East Coast markets, including New York, Boston, Washington D.C., Atlanta and Miami, have surpassed 2019 levels.

THE U.S. IS unprepared for the air travel demands of the 2026 World Cup and 2028 Los Angeles Olympics, according to the U.S. Travel Association's Commission on Seamless and Secure Travel. Without immediate action, the outdated system will struggle with increased visitors amid concerns over visas, aging infrastructure and inadequate security technology. The USTA-commissioned report estimates the 2026 World Cup, 2028 Olympics and Paralympics, 2025 Ryder Cup and the U.S.'s 250th birthday celebrations could draw 40 million visitors and generate $95 billion in economic activity. "The next several years will bring unprecedented travel demand that our systems are not prepared to handle," said Geoff Freeman, USTA's president and CEO. "Washington has a small window to fix major travel pain points and unlock a $100 billion economic opportunity-but it will require a level of urgency that has been missing in recent years."

STR AND TOURISM ECONOMICS have increased year-over-year growth projections for ADR and RevPAR in the final revision of the U.S. hotel forecast for 2023. While some factors, such as higher interest rates and more restrictive lending, may impact the economy, their effect on the travel industry is not expected to be strong. In 2023, RevPAR saw a 0.3 percentage point increase, propelled by a 0.6ppt rise in ADR growth, according to STR and TE. Meanwhile, recent RevPAR trends affirm rate as the predominant performance driver. Occupancy was downgraded by 0.2ppts, STR and TE said in a statement. Growth projections for key performance metrics in 2024 remained flat from the previous forecast, reflecting the stabilization of long-term average trends.

STR AND TOURISM Economics downgraded their growth rate forecast for the U.S. hotel business with their final revision of 2024. The forecast for next year remains uncertain as the impact of the presidential election becomes clear. For 2024, projected gains in ADR and RevPAR were each downgraded, down 0.5 percentage points to 1.5 percent growth for ADR and with RevPAR's projected growth dropping 0.6 ppts to 1.4 percent, respectively. Occupancy for the year was lowered 0.1 ppts to 62.9 percent, after the previous forecast projected the metric to remain steady from 2023. For 2025, the occupancy growth projection was downgraded 0.4 ppts, and the forecast for ADR and RevPAR increases were lowered to 1.6 percent and 1.8 percent, respectively. "The outlook for 2025 remains somewhat in flux, with positive sentiment potentially offset by the higher cost of living," said Amanda Hite, STR president. "Based on current economic conditions, higher-end hotels will continue to drive industry performance. The change in the presidential administration is anticipated to yield stronger economic conditions at first, which is not yet reflected in the data."

CBRE HOTELS RECENTLY reduced U.S. hotel forecast as lodging demand dips amid soft leisure travel and slower corporate profit growth. The upcoming election in November and other economic factors led to the revisions. The research group now projects a 1.2 percent RevPAR increase for 2024, down from 2 percent in May. However, it expects a 2 percent RevPAR growth in the second half of 2024, up from 0.5 percent in the first half, driven by international tourism and election events. Lodging industry performance is closely linked to economic strength, with GDP growth generally correlating with RevPAR growth, CBRE said in a statement. The company forecasts 2.3 percent GDP growth and 3.2 percent average inflation for 2024. "We expect low single-digit RevPAR growth over the near-term as election-related events, growth in inbound international travel and an anticipated lower interest rate environment should support hotel demand," said Rachael Rothman, CBRE's head of hotel research and data analytics. "Challenges including weakening consumer spending and increased competition from short-term rentals, cruise lines and other lodging alternatives pose downside risks."